Overall verdict
Neutral
5.7/10
1-year performance
+33.44%
Score breakdown
Up 33.4% over 1 year, 84% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 7.2/10. Weakest: Financial strength 2.9/10.
9 analysts, target -0.0% vs the price.
Penske Automotive Group, Inc., a diversified transportation services company, operates automotive and commercial truck dealerships in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, Japan, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Retail Automotive, Retail Commercial Truck, Other, and Non-Automotive Investments. The company operates franchise dealerships under franchise agreements with various automotive manufacturers and distributors.
It is also involved in the sale of new and used vehicles, maintenance and repair services, sale and placement of third-party finance and insurance products, third-party extended service and maintenance contracts, replacement and aftermarket automotive products, collision repair services, and wholesale of parts. In addition, the company operates a heavy and medium duty truck dealership, which offers Freightliner and Western Star branded trucks, as well as offers a range of used trucks.
Further, it imports and distributes Western Star heavy-duty trucks, MAN heavy and medium duty trucks and buses, and Dennis Eagle refuse collection vehicles with associated parts, as well as distributes diesel and gas engines, and power systems. Penske Automotive Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan. Penske Automotive Group, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Penske Corporation, Inc.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Specialty Retail
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Roger Penske
Founded
1990
Employees
27 700
Revenue / employee
1.1M USD
Next earnings
February 10, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC0.52%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.43%
- FMR LLC0.24%
- Rest of the register98.81%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
227.00 USD
52-week low
140.12 USD
1-year performance
33.44%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
34.06%
Rising
Drawdown
-6.09%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
84% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned much more, but shaking 3.0 times harder: once that risk is counted, it did about as well as the ETF.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Penske Automotive | $634,378 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.0 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-76Â % between January 2007 and February 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $2,361. The world ETF, at worst: -53Â %. Back to its high in 36 months.
Penske Automotive earned 10 times as much as the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Penske Automotive: $634,378
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 210.00 USD - 212.00 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 13.60% per year; the company grows at 15.94%.
Gross margin 15.5%, net margin 2.8%, ROIC 9.1%, ROE 15.5%.
Net margin
2.77%
Fair
Sector 2.40%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
15.49%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
15.48%
Exceptional
Sector 9.92%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
9.12%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
1.11%
Low
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.40x
Low
Margin stability
1.1 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
2.9/10Revenue up 4.5% over 1 year, 9.2% a year over 5, EPS 15.9% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
32.6Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
4.50%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
14.36%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
-1.25%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
15.94%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
-1.93%
Revised down
Valuation
5.8/10P/E 15.5x, forward P/E 16.2x, EV/EBITDA 12.5x, PEG 0.97. The multiple sits in the 97th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
15.5x
Fair
Sector 15.5x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
16.2x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
12.5x
Expensive
Sector 9.7x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.97
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.95|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
210.00 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 3% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
14.0Md USD
Financial strength
2.9/10Cash covers 0.7% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 6.8x.
Net debt / EBITDA
6.8x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
152.13%
Stretched
Cash
68.3M USD
Cash / market cap
0.49%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
0.75%
Stretched
Interest coverage
26.7x
Very solid
Net debt
9.1Md USD
Equity
6.0Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 213.44 USD
- MM20211.46
- MM50209.80
- MM200184.48
- RSI 1460.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+2.78%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+9.13%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-1.33%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.94 % per day
Volatility change
+12.91%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13.19 (1) | 13.30 (7) | 32 896 (4) | 1 413 (1) | 876 (4) |
| 2027 | 13.96 (4) | 14.07 (10) | 33 469 (9) | 1 530 (5) | 913 (5) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 2, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 73 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADNOCDIST | 6.5 | 6.9 | 13.4Md USD | 13.7x | 8.7 % | 52.8 % | 35.2 % | 1.1x | 7.2 % | 4.3 % | ||
| 2 | MUSA | 6.3 | 6.8 | 9.6Md USD | 14.8x | 2.9 % | 34.8 % | 19.5 % | 2.7x | 7.0 % | 46.0 % | ||
| 3 | AZO | 6.0 | 5.4 | 52.1Md USD | 21.2x | 12.6 % | 5.6 % | 27.1 % | 3.0x | 3.5 % | -13.3 % | ||
| 4 | CVNA | 5.9 | 6.0 | 81.5Md USD | 31.6x | 6.2 % | 42.4 % | 19.9 % | 1.3x | 1.4 % | 13.5 % | ||
| 5 | ORLY | 5.8 | 5.1 | 72.6Md USD | 27.8x | 14.3 % | 8.8 % | 36.6 % | 2.1x | 2.9 % | -8.1 % | ||
| 6 | 2207 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 8.6Md USD | 12.8x | 7.6 % | 29.4 % | 25.9 % | 6.3x | 8.3 % | -10.2 % | ||
| 7 | PAG | 5.7 | 5.2 | 14.0Md USD | 15.5x | 2.8 % | 4.5 % | 9.1 % | 6.8x | 2.6 % | 33.4 % | ||
| 8 | KMX | 4.8 | 4.1 | 7.6Md USD | 26.4x | 1.0 % | 17.6 % | 1.2 % | 18.6x | 15.0 % | 60.9 % | ||
| 9 | COPEC | 4.8 | 5.9 | 8.3Md USD | 7.2x | 3.6 % | 21.8 % | 4.6 % | 3.6x | -6.2 % | -9.7 % |
