Overall verdict
Neutral
6.1/10
1-year performance
-6.93%
Score breakdown
Down 6.9% over 1 year, 34% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Valuation 9.5/10. Weakest: Financial strength 1.7/10.
13 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
AutoNation, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Domestic, Import, Premium Luxury, and AutoNation Finance. It offers a range of automotive products and services, including new and used vehicles; and parts and services, such as automotive repair and maintenance, and wholesale parts and collision services.
The company also provides automotive finance and insurance products comprising vehicle services and other protection products; and indirect financing, as well as arranges finance for vehicle purchases through third-party finance sources. It owns and operates new vehicle franchises from stores located in metropolitan markets in the Sunbelt region, as well as AutoNation-branded collision centers, AutoNation USA used vehicle stores, AutoNation-branded automotive auction operations, and parts distribution centers.
The company was formerly known as Republic Industries, Inc. and changed its name to AutoNation, Inc. in 1999. AutoNation, Inc. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Specialty Retail
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Michael Manley
Founded
1980
Employees
24 800
Revenue / employee
1.1M USD
Next earnings
February 11, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- FMR LLC1.91%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.45%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.51%
- Rest of the register96.12%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
235.81 USD
52-week low
151.82 USD
1-year performance
-6.93%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-12.40%
Declining
Drawdown
-23.48%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
34% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned much more, but shaking 2.4 times harder: once that risk is counted, it did about as well as the ETF.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| AutoNation | $299,400 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.4 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-69Â % between April 2006 and October 2008. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $3,051. The world ETF, at worst: -53Â %. Back to its high in 21 months.
AutoNation earned 5 times as much as the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- AutoNation: $299,400
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 478.19 USD - 490.76 USD (comparables only)
Gross margin 16.8%, net margin 2.6%, ROIC 8.7%, ROE 30.2%.
Net margin
2.63%
Fair
Sector 2.40%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
16.82%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
30.22%
Exceptional
Sector 9.92%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
8.65%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
-0.27%
Negative
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
-0.10x
Low
Margin stability
1.3 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
3.5/10Revenue down 0.4% over 1 year, 6.3% a year over 5, EPS 31.7% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
27.4Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
-0.39%
Declining
Revenue growth (3y)
2.40%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
-13.67%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
31.69%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
-5.24%
Sharply revised down
Valuation
9.5/10P/E 8.7x, forward P/E 8.5x, EV/EBITDA 6.2x, PEG 0.27. The multiple sits in the 70th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
8.7x
Cheap
Sector 15.6x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
8.5x
Cheap
EV / EBITDA
6.2x
Fair
Sector 9.7x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.27
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.95|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
484.48 USD
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 30% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
5.8Md USD
Financial strength
1.7/10Cash covers 1.1% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 6.4x.
Net debt / EBITDA
6.4x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
495.93%
Stretched
Cash
129M USD
Cash / market cap
2.24%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
1.14%
Stretched
Interest coverage
6.4x
Solid
Net debt
11.2Md USD
Equity
2.3Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 184.14 USD
- MM20170.06
- MM50174.91
- MM200192.55
- RSI 1460.1
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-2.32%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-4.19%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-7.84%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.96 % per day
Volatility change
+32.71%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21.23 (2) | 20.67 (13) | 27 569 (11) | 1 543 (6) | 701 (4) |
| 2027 | 23.11 (4) | 23.34 (13) | 28 304 (11) | 1 641 (6) | 725 (5) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 9, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 73 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADNOCDIST | 6.5 | 6.9 | 13.4Md USD | 13.7x | 8.7 % | 52.8 % | 35.2 % | 1.1x | 7.2 % | 4.3 % | ||
| 2 | MUSA | 6.3 | 6.8 | 9.6Md USD | 14.8x | 2.9 % | 34.8 % | 19.5 % | 2.7x | 7.0 % | 46.0 % | ||
| 3 | AN | 6.1 | 6.2 | 5.8Md USD | 8.7x | 2.6 % | -0.4 % | 8.7 % | 6.4x | -1.3 % | -6.9 % | ||
| 4 | AZO | 6.0 | 5.4 | 52.1Md USD | 21.2x | 12.6 % | 5.6 % | 27.1 % | 3.0x | 3.5 % | -13.3 % | ||
| 5 | CVNA | 5.9 | 6.0 | 81.5Md USD | 31.6x | 6.2 % | 42.4 % | 19.9 % | 1.3x | 1.4 % | 13.5 % | ||
| 6 | ORLY | 5.8 | 5.1 | 72.6Md USD | 27.8x | 14.3 % | 8.8 % | 36.6 % | 2.1x | 2.9 % | -8.1 % | ||
| 7 | 2207 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 8.6Md USD | 12.8x | 7.6 % | 29.4 % | 25.9 % | 6.3x | 8.3 % | -10.2 % | ||
| 8 | PAG | 5.7 | 5.2 | 14.1Md USD | 15.6x | 2.8 % | 4.5 % | 9.1 % | 6.8x | 2.6 % | 34.1 % | ||
| 9 | COPEC | 4.8 | 5.9 | 8.3Md USD | 7.2x | 3.6 % | 21.8 % | 4.6 % | 3.6x | -6.2 % | -9.7 % |
