Overall verdict
Neutral
4.9/10
1-year performance
+56.25%
Score breakdown
Up 56.2% over 1 year, 62% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Shareholder return 6.7/10. Weakest: Financial strength 1.6/10.
20 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
CarMax, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer of used vehicles and related products in the United States. The company operates in two segments: CarMax Sales Operations and CarMax Auto Finance. The CarMax Sales Operations segment offers customers a range of makes and models of used vehicles, including domestic, imported, and luxury vehicles, as well as hybrid and electric vehicles; wholesale auctions; extended protection plans to customers at the time of sale; and reconditioning and vehicle repair services.
The CarMax Auto Finance segment provides financing alternatives for retail customers across a range of credit spectrum and arrangements with various financial institutions. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Richmond, Virginia.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Specialty Retail
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Keith Barr
Founded
1993
Employees
27 796
Revenue / employee
998 178 USD
Next earnings
December 18, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.68%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.56%
- FMR LLC0.20%
- Rest of the register97.55%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
65.28 USD
52-week low
31.95 USD
1-year performance
56.25%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
35.78%
Rising
Drawdown
-19.36%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
62% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned much more, but shaking 3.0 times harder: once that risk is counted, it did about as well as the ETF.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| CarMax | $282,311 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.0 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-80Â % between November 2021 and November 2025. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $1,994. The world ETF, at worst: -53Â %. The share has not returned to its high yet.
CarMax earned 4 times as much as the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- CarMax: $282,311
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 47.00 USD - 48.15 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -10.11% per year; the company grows at -10.00%.
Gross margin 10.5%, net margin 1.0%, ROIC 1.2%, ROE 4.7%.
Net margin
0.99%
Low
Sector 2.42%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
10.53%
Low
Return on equity (ROE)
4.68%
Low
Sector 10.90%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
1.21%
Low
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
3.89%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
3.92x
Exceptional
Margin stability
0.9 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.3/10Revenue up 17.6% over 1 year, 6.7% a year over 5, EPS -18.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
29.4Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
17.64%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
-10.86%
Declining
EPS growth (1y)
82.04%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
-18.02%
Declining
EPS revisions (3 months)
18.15%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
5.3/10P/E 25.8x, forward P/E 16.3x, EV/EBITDA 23.4x, PEG 0.31. The multiple sits in the 93th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
25.8x
Expensive
Sector 15.5x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
16.3x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
23.4x
Very expensive
Sector 9.7x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.31
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.95|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
47.16 USD
Overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 7% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
7.5Md USD
Financial strength
1.6/10Cash covers 4.3% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 18.6x.
Net debt / EBITDA
18.6x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
274.32%
Stretched
Cash
775M USD
Cash / market cap
10.38%
Solid
Cash / total debt
4.29%
Stretched
Interest coverage
4.8x
Tight
Net debt
17.3Md USD
Equity
6.3Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 54.19 USD
- MM2053.34
- MM5055.85
- MM20049.60
- RSI 1450.1
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+2.03%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+11.95%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-4.83%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
3.30 % per day
Volatility change
+26.64%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.23 (14) | 3.34 (14) | 29 019 (16) | 1 086 (8) | 473 (11) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 5, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 73 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADNOCDIST | 6.5 | 6.9 | 13.4Md USD | 13.7x | 8.7 % | 52.8 % | 35.2 % | 1.1x | 7.2 % | 4.3 % | ||
| 2 | MUSA | 6.3 | 6.8 | 9.6Md USD | 14.8x | 2.9 % | 34.8 % | 19.5 % | 2.7x | 7.0 % | 46.0 % | ||
| 3 | AZO | 6.0 | 5.4 | 52.1Md USD | 21.2x | 12.6 % | 5.6 % | 27.1 % | 3.0x | 3.5 % | -13.3 % | ||
| 4 | CVNA | 5.9 | 6.0 | 81.5Md USD | 31.6x | 6.2 % | 42.4 % | 19.9 % | 1.3x | 1.4 % | 13.5 % | ||
| 5 | ORLY | 5.8 | 5.1 | 72.6Md USD | 27.8x | 14.3 % | 8.8 % | 36.6 % | 2.1x | 2.9 % | -8.1 % | ||
| 6 | 2207 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 8.6Md USD | 12.8x | 7.6 % | 29.4 % | 25.9 % | 6.3x | 8.3 % | -10.2 % | ||
| 7 | PAG | 5.7 | 5.2 | 14.1Md USD | 15.6x | 2.8 % | 4.5 % | 9.1 % | 6.8x | 2.6 % | 34.1 % | ||
| 8 | KMX | 4.9 | 4.1 | 7.5Md USD | 25.8x | 1.0 % | 17.6 % | 1.2 % | 18.6x | 15.3 % | 56.2 % | ||
| 9 | COPEC | 4.8 | 5.9 | 8.3Md USD | 7.2x | 3.6 % | 21.8 % | 4.6 % | 3.6x | -6.2 % | -9.7 % |
