Overall verdict
Neutral
6.0/10
1-year performance
+8.16%
Score breakdown
Up 8.2% over 1 year, 39% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.8/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 0.4/10.
24 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. It provides vehicle acquisition, inspection and reconditioning, online search and shopping experience, financing, complementary products, logistics network and distinctive fulfillment experience, and post-sale customer support services. The company also operates auction sites. Carvana Co. was founded in 2012 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Specialty Retail
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Ernest Garcia
Founded
2012
Employees
23 100
Revenue / employee
879 740 USD
Next earnings
February 18, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- FMR LLC2.98%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.53%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.30%
- Rest of the register95.20%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
97.38 USD
52-week low
54.46 USD
1-year performance
8.16%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
-15.41%
Rising
Drawdown
-26.74%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
39% of range
Range: 36.24 USD - 55.17 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 21.66% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 18.4%, net margin 6.2%, ROIC 19.9%, ROE 51.5%.
Net margin
6.21%
Exceptional
Sector 2.40%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
18.40%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
51.46%
Exceptional
Sector 9.92%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
19.95%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
4.05%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.65x
Fair
Margin stability
8.7 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.9/10Revenue up 42.4% over 1 year, 29.5% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
27.5Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
42.38%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
49.38%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
431.92%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
5.38%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
3.3/10P/E 30.5x, forward P/E 43.9x, EV/EBITDA 30.2x, PEG 0.19. The multiple sits in the 23th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
30.5x
Expensive
Sector 15.5x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
43.9x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
30.2x
Very expensive
Sector 9.7x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.19
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.95|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
45.70 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 23% lowest valuations
Cheaper than usual
Market cap
78.7Md USD
Financial strength
8.3/10Cash covers 64.1% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.3x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
36.95%
Solid
Cash
3.7Md USD
Cash / market cap
4.74%
Tight
Cash / total debt
64.09%
Very solid
Interest coverage
6.1x
Solid
Net debt
2.1Md USD
Equity
5.7Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 73.02 USD
- MM2064.97
- MM5065.84
- MM20068.53
- RSI 1459.6
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-3.67%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-5.31%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-4.12%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
5.01 % per day
Volatility change
+40.42%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.62 (13) | 1.52 (9) | 29 732 (20) | 2 954 (21) | 1 098 (8) |
| 2027 | 2.09 (13) | 2.12 (9) | 37 482 (22) | 3 877 (21) | 1 531 (8) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 10, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 73 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADNOCDIST | 6.5 | 6.9 | 13.4Md USD | 13.7x | 8.7 % | 52.8 % | 35.2 % | 1.1x | 7.2 % | 4.3 % | ||
| 2 | MUSA | 6.3 | 6.8 | 9.6Md USD | 14.8x | 2.9 % | 34.8 % | 19.5 % | 2.7x | 7.0 % | 46.0 % | ||
| 3 | AZO | 6.0 | 5.4 | 52.1Md USD | 21.2x | 12.6 % | 5.6 % | 27.1 % | 3.0x | 3.5 % | -13.3 % | ||
| 4 | CVNA | 6.0 | 6.1 | 78.7Md USD | 30.5x | 6.2 % | 42.4 % | 19.9 % | 1.3x | 1.4 % | 8.2 % | ||
| 5 | ORLY | 5.8 | 5.1 | 72.6Md USD | 27.8x | 14.3 % | 8.8 % | 36.6 % | 2.1x | 2.9 % | -8.1 % | ||
| 6 | 2207 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 8.6Md USD | 12.8x | 7.6 % | 29.4 % | 25.9 % | 6.3x | 8.3 % | -10.2 % | ||
| 7 | PAG | 5.7 | 5.2 | 14.1Md USD | 15.6x | 2.8 % | 4.5 % | 9.1 % | 6.8x | 2.6 % | 34.1 % | ||
| 8 | KMX | 4.8 | 4.1 | 7.6Md USD | 26.4x | 1.0 % | 17.6 % | 1.2 % | 18.6x | 15.0 % | 60.9 % | ||
| 9 | COPEC | 4.8 | 5.9 | 8.3Md USD | 7.2x | 3.6 % | 21.8 % | 4.6 % | 3.6x | -6.2 % | -9.7 % |
