Overall verdict
Neutral
6.2/10
1-year performance
-0.04%
Score breakdown
Down 0.0% over 1 year, 28% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Valuation 8.4/10. Weakest: Financial strength 1.7/10.
15 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Lithia Motors, Inc. operates as an automotive retailer in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. The company operates in two segments, Vehicle Operations and Financing Operations. It offers a range of products and services fulfilling the entire vehicle ownership lifecycle, including new and used vehicles, financing and insurance products, and aftersales automotive repair and maintenance services.
The company provides its products and services through a network of physical locations, e-commerce platforms, captive finance solutions, fleet management offerings, and other synergistic adjacencies. Lithia Motors, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Medford, Oregon.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Specialty Retail
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Bryan DeBoer
Founded
1946
Employees
30 000
Revenue / employee
1.3M USD
Next earnings
February 10, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- FMR LLC8.16%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.86%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.99%
- Rest of the register88.99%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
439.49 USD
52-week low
239.78 USD
1-year performance
-0.04%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-11.20%
Declining
Drawdown
-32.50%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
28% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned much more, but shaking 3.4 times harder: once that risk is counted, it did about as well as the ETF.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Lithia Motors | $240,981 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.4 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-94Â % between March 2006 and March 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $648. The world ETF, at worst: -53Â %. Back to its high in 44 months.
Lithia Motors earned 4 times as much as the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Lithia Motors: $240,981
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 450.11 USD - 490.00 USD (2 methods agree)
Gross margin 14.4%, net margin 2.1%, ROIC 4.7%, ROE 11.8%.
Net margin
2.06%
Fair
Sector 2.42%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
14.41%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
11.78%
Fair
Sector 9.92%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
4.73%
Fair
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
-1.25%
Negative
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
-0.61x
Low
Margin stability
0.9 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.5/10Revenue up 2.8% over 1 year, 23.5% a year over 5, EPS 10.6% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
38.2Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
2.80%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
33.51%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
53.59%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
10.58%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
-1.02%
Revised down
Valuation
8.4/10P/E 8.5x, forward P/E 8.1x, EV/EBITDA 8.4x, PEG 0.81. The multiple sits in the 70th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
8.5x
Cheap
Sector 15.6x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
8.1x
Cheap
EV / EBITDA
8.4x
Fair
Sector 9.7x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.81
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.95|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
470.05 USD
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 30% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
6.4Md USD
Financial strength
1.7/10Cash covers 2.3% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 8.1x.
Net debt / EBITDA
8.1x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
248.36%
Stretched
Cash
383M USD
Cash / market cap
5.97%
Tight
Cash / total debt
2.27%
Stretched
Interest coverage
5.7x
Solid
Net debt
16.5Md USD
Equity
6.6Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 305.82 USD
- MM20297.47
- MM50313.91
- MM200306.70
- RSI 1451.1
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-1.22%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+0.28%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-9.17%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
3.78 % per day
Volatility change
+37.27%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36.43 (7) | 35.96 (14) | 38 418 (13) | 1 662 (10) | 815 (7) |
| 2027 | 39.57 (7) | 40.27 (14) | 39 467 (13) | 1 748 (9) | 861 (8) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 6, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 73 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADNOCDIST | 6.5 | 6.9 | 13.4Md USD | 13.7x | 8.7 % | 52.8 % | 35.2 % | 1.1x | 7.2 % | 4.3 % | ||
| 2 | MUSA | 6.3 | 6.8 | 9.6Md USD | 14.8x | 2.9 % | 34.8 % | 19.5 % | 2.7x | 7.0 % | 46.0 % | ||
| 3 | LAD | 6.2 | 5.8 | 6.4Md USD | 8.5x | 2.1 % | 2.8 % | 4.7 % | 8.1x | -7.5 % | -0.0 % | ||
| 4 | AZO | 6.0 | 5.4 | 52.1Md USD | 21.2x | 12.6 % | 5.6 % | 27.1 % | 3.0x | 3.5 % | -13.3 % | ||
| 5 | CVNA | 5.9 | 6.0 | 81.5Md USD | 31.6x | 6.2 % | 42.4 % | 19.9 % | 1.3x | 1.4 % | 13.5 % | ||
| 6 | ORLY | 5.8 | 5.1 | 72.6Md USD | 27.8x | 14.3 % | 8.8 % | 36.6 % | 2.1x | 2.9 % | -8.1 % | ||
| 7 | 2207 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 8.6Md USD | 12.8x | 7.6 % | 29.4 % | 25.9 % | 6.3x | 8.3 % | -10.2 % | ||
| 8 | PAG | 5.7 | 5.2 | 14.1Md USD | 15.6x | 2.8 % | 4.5 % | 9.1 % | 6.8x | 2.6 % | 34.1 % | ||
| 9 | COPEC | 4.8 | 5.9 | 8.3Md USD | 7.2x | 3.6 % | 21.8 % | 4.6 % | 3.6x | -6.2 % | -9.7 % |
