Overall verdict
Neutral
5.6/10
1-year performance
-40.09%
Score breakdown
Down 40.1% over 1 year, 2% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Growth 6.9/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 2.1/10.
27 analysts, target +0.6% vs the price.
Dutch Bros Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates and franchises drive-thru shops in the United States. The company sells and distributes coffee, coffee-related products, and accessories. It operates through Company-Operated Shops and Franchising and Other segments.
The company sells its products under various brands such as Dutch Bros, Dutch Bros Coffee, Dutch Bros Rebel, Dutch Bros, and Blue Rebel. Dutch Bros Inc. was founded in 1992 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Christine Barone
Founded
1992
Employees
32 000
Revenue / employee
51 192 USD
Next earnings
February 12, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- FMR LLC11.04%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.40%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.61%
- Rest of the register86.95%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
74.02 USD
52-week low
33.17 USD
1-year performance
-40.09%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-44.36%
Declining
Drawdown
-53.88%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
2% of range
Range: 18.12 USD - 19.47 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 22.21% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 24.4%, net margin 5.1%, ROIC 5.5%, ROE 13.7%.
Net margin
5.08%
High
Sector 4.16%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
24.44%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
13.73%
High
Sector 11.37%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
5.47%
Fair
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
4.03%
Low
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.79x
Fair
Margin stability
2.2 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.9/10Revenue up 29.8% over 1 year, 38.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
2.0Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
29.81%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
121.67%
Hyper-growth
EPS growth (1y)
42.98%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
-5.63%
Sharply revised down
Valuation
4.4/10P/E 44.4x, forward P/E 44.7x, EV/EBITDA 17.7x, PEG 0.84. The multiple sits in the 3th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
44.4x
Expensive
Sector 25.3x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
44.7x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
17.7x
Expensive
Sector 12.4x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.84
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.94|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
18.79 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 3% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
6.0Md USD
Financial strength
3.0/10Cash covers 15.0% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 3.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.3x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
109.35%
Stretched
Cash
195M USD
Cash / market cap
3.26%
Tight
Cash / total debt
14.99%
Stretched
Interest coverage
6.9x
Solid
Net debt
1.1Md USD
Equity
1.0Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 35.29 USD
- MM2040.91
- MM5040.88
- MM20052.59
- RSI 1436.2
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-4.06%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-8.90%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-10.98%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
5.54 % per day
Volatility change
+76.20%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.76 (13) | 0.92 (21) | 2 126 (25) | 380 (23) | 116 (14) |
| 2027 | 1.03 (14) | 1.19 (21) | 2 649 (25) | 469 (24) | 166 (14) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 9, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 127 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CPG | 6.9 | 7.5 | 56.3Md USD | 28.6x | 4.2 % | 9.7 % | 15.2 % | 1.4x | 5.4 % | 4.2 % | ||
| 2 | CMG | 6.4 | 5.4 | 46.3Md USD | 34.3x | 10.8 % | 9.6 % | 17.6 % | 1.7x | 3.3 % | 20.5 % | ||
| 3 | DASH | 6.0 | 5.9 | 77.7Md USD | 74.0x | 6.2 % | 34.0 % | 8.0 % | -1.5x | 2.8 % | -11.9 % | ||
| 4 | BROS | 5.6 | 4.7 | 6.0Md USD | 44.4x | 5.1 % | 29.8 % | 5.5 % | 3.3x | 1.4 % | -40.1 % | ||
| 5 | YUM | 5.5 | 5.9 | 43.0Md USD | 12.9x | 39.1 % | 3.8 % | 73.5 % | 4.4x | 3.8 % | 7.5 % | ||
| 6 | MCD | 5.4 | 4.9 | 194Md USD | 21.7x | 32.4 % | 1.1 % | 17.2 % | 3.7x | 3.9 % | -8.7 % | ||
| 7 | SBUX | 5.2 | 4.2 | 125Md USD | 49.7x | 6.7 % | -4.4 % | 18.5 % | 3.3x | 3.0 % | 29.3 % | ||
| 8 | 3690 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 59.4Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -9.9 % | 22.0 % | -15.9 % | 2.9x | — | -29.0 % | ||
| 9 | ETERNAL | 3.5 | 2.0 | 37.4Md USD | 686.4x | 0.6 % | 77.6 % | 1.4 % | -3.0x | — | 18.9 % |
