Overall verdict
Neutral
5.4/10
1-year performance
+6.31%
Score breakdown
Up 6.3% over 1 year, 71% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Growth 7.3/10. Weakest: Financial strength 3.1/10.
26 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
Yum! Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises traditional and non-traditional quick service restaurants in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in four segments: KFC Division, Taco Bell Division, Pizza Hut Division, and Habit Burger & Grill Division.
It also operates restaurants under the KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and Habit Burger & Grill brands, which specialize in chicken, Mexican-style food and pizza categories, made-to-order chargrilled burgers, sandwiches, and other products. The company was formerly known as TRICON Global Restaurants, Inc. and changed its name to Yum! Brands, Inc. in May 2002. Yum! Brands, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Christopher Turner
Founded
1997
Employees
49 000
Revenue / employee
167 633 USD
Next earnings
February 3, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.13%
- FMR LLC0.76%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.64%
- Rest of the register95.46%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
170.14 USD
52-week low
134.26 USD
1-year performance
6.31%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
5.45%
Rising
Drawdown
-6.08%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
71% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned much more, but shaking 1.6 times harder: once that risk is counted, its lead is thin.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Yum! Brands | $393,956 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.6 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-52 % between September 2019 and March 2020. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $4,783. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 13 months.
Yum! Brands earned 6 times as much as the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Yum! Brands: $393,956
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 242.60 USD - 268.39 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 8.67% per year; the company grows at 13.51%.
Gross margin 44.7%, net margin 39.1%, ROIC 73.5%, ROE -50.4%.
Net margin
39.14%
Exceptional
Sector 4.16%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
44.72%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
-50.37%
Negative
Sector 11.39%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
73.45%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
18.39%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.47x
Low
Margin stability
3.2 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.3/10Revenue up 3.8% over 1 year, 7.8% a year over 5, EPS 13.5% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
8.8Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
3.79%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
20.05%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
319.27%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
13.51%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
-3.85%
Revised down
Valuation
6.5/10P/E 12.8x, forward P/E 13.0x, EV/EBITDA 10.9x, PEG 0.95. The multiple sits in the 84th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
12.8x
Cheap
Sector 25.4x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
13.0x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
10.9x
Fair
Sector 12.4x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.95
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.96|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
255.50 USD
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 16% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
42.9Md USD
Financial strength
3.1/10Cash covers 18.0% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 4.4x.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.4x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
—
Cash
2.3Md USD
Cash / market cap
5.35%
Tight
Cash / total debt
17.99%
Tight
Interest coverage
7.9x
Solid
Net debt
10.5Md USD
Equity
-6.2Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 160.21 USD
- MM20154.66
- MM50147.15
- MM200153.65
- RSI 1463.0
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+0.02%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-0.45%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+1.12%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.94 % per day
Volatility change
+19.09%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12.28 (8) | 6.39 (25) | 8 663 (24) | 2 962 (17) | 3 320 (9) |
| 2027 | 6.64 (12) | 6.71 (25) | 8 528 (24) | 3 056 (17) | 1 742 (12) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 127 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CPG | 6.9 | 7.5 | 56.3Md USD | 28.6x | 4.2 % | 9.7 % | 15.2 % | 1.4x | 5.4 % | 4.2 % | ||
| 2 | CMG | 6.4 | 5.4 | 46.3Md USD | 34.3x | 10.8 % | 9.6 % | 17.6 % | 1.7x | 3.3 % | 20.5 % | ||
| 3 | DASH | 6.0 | 5.9 | 77.7Md USD | 74.0x | 6.2 % | 34.0 % | 8.0 % | -1.5x | 2.8 % | -11.9 % | ||
| 4 | QSR | 5.5 | 5.7 | 34.6Md USD | 19.3x | 16.6 % | 3.1 % | 8.5 % | 5.2x | 4.2 % | 10.6 % | ||
| 5 | MCD | 5.4 | 4.9 | 194Md USD | 21.7x | 32.4 % | 1.1 % | 17.2 % | 3.7x | 3.9 % | -8.7 % | ||
| 6 | YUM | 5.4 | 5.9 | 42.9Md USD | 12.8x | 39.1 % | 3.8 % | 73.5 % | 4.4x | 3.8 % | 6.3 % | ||
| 7 | SBUX | 5.2 | 4.2 | 125Md USD | 49.7x | 6.7 % | -4.4 % | 18.5 % | 3.3x | 3.0 % | 29.3 % | ||
| 8 | 3690 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 59.4Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -9.9 % | 22.0 % | -15.9 % | 2.9x | — | -29.0 % | ||
| 9 | ETERNAL | 3.5 | 2.0 | 37.4Md USD | 686.4x | 0.6 % | 77.6 % | 1.4 % | -3.0x | — | 18.9 % |
