Overall verdict
Neutral
5.2/10
1-year performance
+23.49%
Score breakdown
Up 23.5% over 1 year, 89% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 7.1/10. Weakest: Valuation 2.0/10.
36 analysts, target +0.0% vs the price.
Starbucks Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a roaster, marketer, and retailer of coffee internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Channel Development. Its stores offer coffee, tea, and other beverages, roasted whole beans and ground coffees, complementary food, packaged coffees, single-serve products, and ready-to-drink beverages; and various food products, such as pastries, breakfast sandwiches, and lunch items.
The company also licenses its trademarks through licensed stores, and grocery and foodservice accounts. The company offers its products under the Starbucks Coffee, Teavana, Seattle's Best Coffee, Ethos, and Starbucks Reserve brands. Starbucks Corporation was founded in 1971 and is based in Seattle, Washington.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Brian Niccol
Founded
1971
Employees
381 000
Revenue / employee
99 454 USD
Next earnings
January 26, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.55%
- FMR LLC2.36%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.72%
- Rest of the register94.38%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
111.50 USD
52-week low
81.97 USD
1-year performance
23.49%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
28.48%
Rising
Drawdown
-2.95%
Near its high
Position in the 52-week range
89% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Starbucks | $255,526 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.0 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-76 % between June 2006 and November 2008. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $2,365. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 31 months.
Starbucks earned 4 times as much as the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Starbucks: $255,526
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 50.74 USD - 52.09 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 11.59% per year; the company grows at -9.01%.
Gross margin 17.0%, net margin 6.7%, ROIC 18.5%, ROE -25.8%.
Net margin
6.67%
Exceptional
Sector 4.16%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
17.02%
Low
Return on equity (ROE)
-25.82%
Negative
Sector 11.39%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
18.47%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
9.83%
Fair
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.47x
High
Margin stability
4.2 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.2/10Revenue down 4.4% over 1 year, 5.5% a year over 5, EPS -9.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
37.9Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
-4.45%
Declining
Revenue growth (3y)
5.45%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
406.94%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
-9.01%
Declining
EPS revisions (3 months)
3.28%
Revised up
Valuation
2.0/10P/E 49.0x, forward P/E 34.1x, EV/EBITDA 28.7x, PEG 1.40. The multiple sits in the 82th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
49.0x
Expensive
Sector 25.3x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
34.1x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
28.7x
Very expensive
Sector 12.4x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
1.40
Fair
Sector 0.94|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
51.42 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 18% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
123Md USD
Financial strength
2.7/10Cash covers 17.2% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 3.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.3x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
—
Cash
3.9Md USD
Cash / market cap
3.13%
Tight
Cash / total debt
17.24%
Tight
Interest coverage
5.4x
Solid
Net debt
18.5Md USD
Equity
-7.7Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 109.95 USD
- MM20102.74
- MM5099.25
- MM200100.27
- RSI 1467.5
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+1.32%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+4.73%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-1.73%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.92 % per day
Volatility change
+33.48%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.18 (17) | 3.21 (35) | 37 812 (33) | 6 658 (25) | 3 634 (16) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 9, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 127 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CPG | 6.9 | 7.5 | 56.3Md USD | 28.6x | 4.2 % | 9.7 % | 15.2 % | 1.4x | 5.4 % | 4.2 % | ||
| 2 | CMG | 6.4 | 5.4 | 46.3Md USD | 34.3x | 10.8 % | 9.6 % | 17.6 % | 1.7x | 3.3 % | 20.5 % | ||
| 3 | DASH | 6.0 | 5.9 | 77.7Md USD | 74.0x | 6.2 % | 34.0 % | 8.0 % | -1.5x | 2.8 % | -11.9 % | ||
| 4 | QSR | 5.5 | 5.7 | 34.6Md USD | 19.3x | 16.6 % | 3.1 % | 8.5 % | 5.2x | 4.2 % | 10.6 % | ||
| 5 | YUM | 5.5 | 5.9 | 43.0Md USD | 12.9x | 39.1 % | 3.8 % | 73.5 % | 4.4x | 3.8 % | 7.5 % | ||
| 6 | MCD | 5.4 | 4.9 | 194Md USD | 21.7x | 32.4 % | 1.1 % | 17.2 % | 3.7x | 3.9 % | -8.7 % | ||
| 7 | SBUX | 5.2 | 4.2 | 123Md USD | 49.0x | 6.7 % | -4.4 % | 18.5 % | 3.3x | 3.0 % | 23.5 % | ||
| 8 | 3690 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 59.4Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -9.9 % | 22.0 % | -15.9 % | 2.9x | — | -29.0 % | ||
| 9 | ETERNAL | 3.5 | 2.0 | 37.4Md USD | 686.4x | 0.6 % | 77.6 % | 1.4 % | -3.0x | — | 18.9 % |
