Overall verdict
Neutral
5.2/10
1-year performance
-10.68%
Score breakdown
Down 10.7% over 1 year, 40% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 6.3/10. Weakest: Financial strength 2.4/10.
34 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, frozen desserts, sundaes, soft serve cones, cookies, pies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages; and full or limited breakfast, as well as sells various other products during limited-time promotions.
The company owns and operates franchised restaurants under various structures, including conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate. McDonald's Corporation was founded in 1940 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Christopher Kempczinski
Founded
1940
Employees
150 000
Revenue / employee
179 233 USD
Next earnings
February 8, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.97%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.69%
- FMR LLC0.39%
- Rest of the register95.94%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
341.75 USD
52-week low
229.20 USD
1-year performance
-10.68%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-10.25%
Declining
Drawdown
-19.82%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
40% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| McDonald's | $144,818 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.3 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-59Â % between December 2000 and February 2003. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $4,093. The world ETF, at worst: -53Â %. Back to its high in 23 months.
McDonald's earned 2 times as much as the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- McDonald's: $144,818
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 239.05 USD - 298.02 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 8.33% per year; the company grows at 13.64%.
Gross margin 57.7%, net margin 32.4%, ROIC 17.2%, ROE -717.9%.
Net margin
32.38%
Exceptional
Sector 4.16%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
57.74%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
-717.88%
Negative
Sector 11.39%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
17.19%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
26.96%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.83x
Fair
Margin stability
4.4 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
4.3/10Revenue up 1.1% over 1 year, 7.0% a year over 5, EPS 13.6% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
27.8Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
1.12%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
15.97%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
10.30%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
13.64%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
0.09%
Revised up
Valuation
5.9/10P/E 21.7x, forward P/E 21.4x, EV/EBITDA 17.2x, PEG 1.59. The multiple sits in the 18th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
21.7x
Fair
Sector 25.4x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
21.4x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
17.2x
Expensive
Sector 12.4x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
1.59
Expensive
Sector 0.94|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
268.54 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 18% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
193Md USD
Financial strength
2.4/10Cash covers 2.2% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 3.7x.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.7x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
—
Cash
1.2Md USD
Cash / market cap
0.62%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
2.19%
Stretched
Interest coverage
8.0x
Solid
Net debt
53.3Md USD
Equity
-343M USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 282.17 USD
- MM20257.68
- MM50249.48
- MM200282.06
- RSI 1476.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-1.84%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-5.71%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-2.15%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.80 % per day
Volatility change
+35.55%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12.79 (16) | 12.94 (30) | 27 867 (29) | 15 629 (25) | 9 065 (17) |
| 2027 | 13.70 (18) | 13.66 (31) | 28 160 (31) | 16 344 (24) | 9 569 (19) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 12, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 127 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CPG | 6.9 | 7.5 | 56.3Md USD | 28.6x | 4.2 % | 9.7 % | 15.2 % | 1.4x | 5.4 % | 4.2 % | ||
| 2 | CMG | 6.4 | 5.4 | 46.3Md USD | 34.3x | 10.8 % | 9.6 % | 17.6 % | 1.7x | 3.3 % | 20.5 % | ||
| 3 | DASH | 6.0 | 5.9 | 77.7Md USD | 74.0x | 6.2 % | 34.0 % | 8.0 % | -1.5x | 2.8 % | -11.9 % | ||
| 4 | QSR | 5.5 | 5.7 | 34.6Md USD | 19.3x | 16.6 % | 3.1 % | 8.5 % | 5.2x | 4.2 % | 10.6 % | ||
| 5 | YUM | 5.5 | 5.9 | 43.0Md USD | 12.9x | 39.1 % | 3.8 % | 73.5 % | 4.4x | 3.8 % | 7.5 % | ||
| 6 | MCD | 5.2 | 5.2 | 193Md USD | 21.7x | 32.4 % | 1.1 % | 17.2 % | 3.7x | 3.9 % | -10.7 % | ||
| 7 | SBUX | 5.2 | 4.2 | 125Md USD | 49.7x | 6.7 % | -4.4 % | 18.5 % | 3.3x | 3.0 % | 29.3 % | ||
| 8 | 3690 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 59.4Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -9.9 % | 22.0 % | -15.9 % | 2.9x | — | -29.0 % | ||
| 9 | ETERNAL | 3.5 | 2.0 | 37.4Md USD | 686.4x | 0.6 % | 77.6 % | 1.4 % | -3.0x | — | 18.9 % |
