Overall verdict
Neutral
5.7/10
1-year performance
+48.94%
Score breakdown
Up 48.9% over 1 year, 40% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 7.2/10. Weakest: Growth 0.9/10.
29 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
FedEx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Express U.S. Domestic and Express International. It provides e-commerce and digital solutions ; dataworks ; printing and shipping management, including digital printing, professional finishing, document creation, design solutions, direct mail, signs and graphics, custom-branded boxes, copying, computer rental, Wi-Fi, corporate print solutions, shredding, U.S. passport processing and renewal, and digital notarization ;
packing services, as well as packing supplies and boxes ; document and business services ; and retail access for package transportation. In addition, the company offers logistics services, air and ocean cargo transportation, specialty transportation, customs brokerage, trade management tools and data, and door-to-door solutions ; and third party logistics and supply chain management solutions, such as inbound logistics, warehousing and distribution, fulfillment, contract packaging and product configuration, systems integration, returns process and disposition, test, repair, refurbishment, and product liquidation. Further, it provides sales, marketing, administrative, information technology, and back-office support services. FedEx Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Air Freight and Logistics
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Rajesh Subramaniam
Founded
1971
Employees
530 000
Revenue / employee
178 717 USD
Next earnings
February 2, 2027
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.25%
- FMR LLC1.37%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.63%
- Rest of the register95.76%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
413.87 USD
52-week low
259.79 USD
1-year performance
48.94%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
38.22%
Rising
Drawdown
-22.30%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
40% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned much more, but shaking 1.9 times harder: once that risk is counted, it did about as well as the ETF.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| FedEx | $123,025 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.9 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-66 % between January 2018 and March 2020. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $3,403. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 7 months.
FedEx earned more than the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- FedEx: $123,025
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 353.04 USD - 384.30 USD (3 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 1.37% per year; the company grows at -1.01%.
Gross margin 82.5%, net margin 4.1%, ROIC 8.4%, ROE 12.5%.
Net margin
4.09%
Fair
Sector 3.58%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
82.47%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
12.50%
High
Sector 9.93%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
8.44%
High
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
5.21%
High
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.27x
High
Margin stability
1.7 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
0.9/10Revenue up 2.9% over 1 year, 2.5% a year over 5, EPS -1.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
95.3Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
2.86%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
5.06%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
-82.34%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
-1.01%
Declining
EPS revisions (3 months)
3.20%
Revised up
Valuation
6.0/10P/E 19.7x, forward P/E 8.9x, EV/EBITDA 8.8x. The multiple sits in the 84th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
19.7x
Fair
Sector 19.5x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
8.9x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
8.8x
Fair
Sector 9.5x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
—
Sector 0.91|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
364.08 USD
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 16% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
75.3Md USD
Financial strength
3.6/10Cash covers 32.8% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 2.7x.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.7x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
66.55%
Tight
Cash
11.2Md USD
Cash / market cap
14.89%
Solid
Cash / total debt
32.77%
Solid
Interest coverage
5.6x
Solid
Net debt
23.0Md USD
Equity
34.6Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 11, 2026: 322.63 USD
- MM20308.37
- MM50302.46
- MM200338.27
- RSI 1461.5
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+0.10%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+2.54%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-2.61%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.83 % per day
Volatility change
-13.26%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36.01 (8) | 18.28 (25) | 91 975 (22) | 9 830 (20) | 8 676 (9) |
| 2027 | 20.87 (13) | 19.52 (3) | 92 778 (3) | 10 532 (2) | 4 929 (13) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 4, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 93 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZTO | 7.7 | 8.3 | 15.5Md USD | 11.2x | 19.0 % | 30.7 % | 14.8 % | -1.1x | — | 7.9 % | ||
| 2 | 002352 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 23.4Md USD | 15.0x | 3.4 % | 4.9 % | 8.2 % | 0.4x | 9.9 % | -19.2 % | ||
| 3 | EXPD | 6.5 | 6.5 | 25.1Md USD | 24.7x | 7.9 % | 41.9 % | 37.6 % | -0.7x | 3.7 % | 38.6 % | ||
| 4 | DHL | 6.0 | 5.8 | 72.9Md USD | 18.0x | 4.3 % | 12.6 % | 8.5 % | 2.3x | 9.1 % | 36.2 % | ||
| 5 | CHRW | 5.9 | 5.1 | 15.5Md USD | 24.0x | 3.7 % | 29.5 % | 20.5 % | 1.4x | 3.4 % | -11.0 % | ||
| 6 | 1519 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 11.9Md USD | 29.9x | 2.5 % | 18.4 % | 5.7 % | 1.2x | 4.5 % | -6.4 % | ||
| 7 | UPS | 5.8 | 6.2 | 95.7Md USD | 21.7x | 4.8 % | 6.7 % | 10.2 % | 1.9x | 6.6 % | 19.9 % | ||
| 8 | FDX | 5.7 | 4.9 | 75.3Md USD | 19.7x | 4.1 % | 2.9 % | 8.4 % | 2.7x | 6.6 % | 48.9 % | ||
| 9 | DSV | 5.0 | 3.9 | 49.8Md USD | 44.7x | 2.7 % | 12.1 % | 4.0 % | 3.2x | 2.7 % | 2.5 % |
