Overall verdict
Neutral
6.4/10
1-year performance
+40.13%
Score breakdown
Up 40.1% over 1 year, 85% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 10.0/10. Weakest: Valuation 3.0/10.
18 analysts, target -0.0% vs the price.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services in the Americas, North Asia, South Asia, Europe, and Middle East, Africa, and India. The company offers airfreight services, such as air freight consolidation and forwarding ; ocean freight and ocean services, including ocean freight consolidation, direct ocean forwarding, and order management ;
customs brokerage and other services, import, intra-continental ground transportation and delivery, and warehousing and distribution services ; and customs clearance, purchase order management, vendor consolidation, time-definite transportation services, temperature-controlled transit, cargo insurance, specialized cargo monitoring and tracking, and other logistics solutions. It also provides optimization, trade compliance consulting, cargo insurance, cargo security, and solutions.
In addition, it acts as a freight consolidator or as an agent for the airline that carries the shipment. Further, the company provides ancillary services that include preparation of shipping and customs documentation, packing, crating, insurance services, and the preparation of documentation to comply with local export and import laws. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Air Freight and Logistics
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Daniel Wall
Founded
1979
Employees
19 800
Revenue / employee
559 041 USD
Next earnings
February 16, 2027
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.79%
- FMR LLC1.08%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.51%
- Rest of the register95.62%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
207.93 USD
52-week low
129.59 USD
1-year performance
40.13%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
31.54%
Rising
Drawdown
-5.65%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
85% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned much more, but shaking 1.8 times harder: once that risk is counted, it did about as well as the ETF.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Expeditors | $192,565 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.8 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-50Â % between June 2006 and February 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $5,004. The world ETF, at worst: -53Â %. Back to its high in 22 months.
Expeditors earned 3 times as much as the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Expeditors: $192,565
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 171.22 USD - 185.73 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 9.06% per year; the company grows at 7.86%.
Gross margin 15.0%, net margin 7.9%, ROIC 37.6%, ROE 45.0%.
Net margin
7.86%
Exceptional
Sector 3.58%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
15.02%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
45.05%
Exceptional
Sector 9.93%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
37.64%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
7.00%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.89x
Fair
Margin stability
0.5 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.3/10Revenue up 41.9% over 1 year, 2.9% a year over 5, EPS 7.9% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
13.2Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
41.90%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
-35.16%
Declining
EPS growth (1y)
61.16%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
7.86%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
12.10%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
3.0/10P/E 24.9x, forward P/E 22.7x, EV/EBITDA 17.8x, PEG 3.17. The multiple sits in the 97th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
24.9x
Expensive
Sector 19.4x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
22.7x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
17.8x
Expensive
Sector 9.4x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
3.17
Very expensive
Sector 0.91|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
178.47 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 3% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
25.3Md USD
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 189.7% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.7x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.7x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-22.04%
Net cash
Cash
1.1Md USD
Cash / market cap
4.31%
Tight
Cash / total debt
189.72%
Net cash
Interest coverage
279.3x
Very solid
Net debt
-517M USD
Equity
2.3Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 189.19 USD
- MM20196.04
- MM50192.32
- MM200168.03
- RSI 1443.3
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+2.48%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+9.21%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+2.54%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.68 % per day
Volatility change
+10.88%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.65 (13) | 8.64 (15) | 14 230 (12) | 1 523 (10) | 1 130 (10) |
| 2027 | 8.88 (15) | 8.72 (18) | 14 425 (16) | 1 517 (13) | 1 137 (13) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 7, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 93 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZTO | 7.7 | 8.3 | 15.5Md USD | 11.2x | 19.0 % | 30.7 % | 14.8 % | -1.1x | — | 7.9 % | ||
| 2 | 002352 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 23.4Md USD | 15.0x | 3.4 % | 4.9 % | 8.2 % | 0.4x | 9.9 % | -19.2 % | ||
| 3 | EXPD | 6.4 | 6.4 | 25.3Md USD | 24.9x | 7.9 % | 41.9 % | 37.6 % | -0.7x | 3.7 % | 40.1 % | ||
| 4 | DHL | 6.0 | 5.8 | 72.9Md USD | 18.0x | 4.3 % | 12.6 % | 8.5 % | 2.3x | 9.1 % | 36.2 % | ||
| 5 | CHRW | 5.9 | 5.1 | 15.5Md USD | 24.0x | 3.7 % | 29.5 % | 20.5 % | 1.4x | 3.4 % | -11.0 % | ||
| 6 | 1519 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 11.9Md USD | 29.9x | 2.5 % | 18.4 % | 5.7 % | 1.2x | 4.5 % | -6.4 % | ||
| 7 | UPS | 5.8 | 6.2 | 95.7Md USD | 21.7x | 4.8 % | 6.7 % | 10.2 % | 1.9x | 6.6 % | 19.9 % | ||
| 8 | FDX | 5.7 | 4.9 | 75.6Md USD | — | 4.1 % | 2.9 % | 8.4 % | 2.7x | — | 57.4 % | ||
| 9 | DSV | 5.0 | 3.9 | 49.8Md USD | 44.7x | 2.7 % | 12.1 % | 4.0 % | 3.2x | 2.7 % | 2.5 % |
