Overall verdict
Neutral
5.5/10
1-year performance
+5.26%
Score breakdown
Up 5.3% over 1 year, 58% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Shareholder return 7.6/10. Weakest: Growth 3.9/10.
9 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
Essent Group Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides private mortgage insurance and reinsurance, and title insurance and settlement services to mortgage lenders, borrowers, and investors in the United States. It operates through two segments, Mortgage Insurance and Reinsurance. The company's mortgage insurance products include primary, pool, and master policy.
It also provides information technology maintenance and development services; customer support-related services; underwriting consulting services to third-party reinsurers; and contract underwriting services, as well as credit risk management products. In addition, the company offers title insurance and settlement services; and title insurance underwriting services. It serves the originators of residential mortgage loans, such as regulated depository institutions, mortgage banks, credit unions, and other lenders. Essent Group Ltd. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Financial Services
Primary listing
Nyse
Bermuda
CEO
Mark Casale
Founded
2008
Employees
514
Revenue / employee
2.4M USD
Next earnings
February 12, 2027 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
71.84 USD
52-week low
55.34 USD
1-year performance
5.26%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
0.12%
Rising
Drawdown
-9.67%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
58% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 13 years, from November 2013 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 2.2 times harder.
$10,000 placed at the end of November 2013 are worth today
| Essent Group | $30,828 |
| World ETF | $37,947 |
| S&P 500 | $51,943 |
| Risk-free placement | $12,830 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.2 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-65Â % between November 2019 and March 2020. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $3,506. The world ETF, at worst: -34Â %. Back to its high in 46 months.
Essent Group earned less than the world ETF since 2013
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of November 2013, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Essent Group: $30,828
- World ETF: $37,947
- S&P 500: $51,943
- Risk-free placement: $12,830
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 68.95 USD - 80.00 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -9.73% per year; the company grows at 12.18%.
Net margin 50.0%, ROE 12.0%.
Net margin
50.01%
Exceptional
Sector 23.19%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
—
Return on equity (ROE)
12.04%
Fair
Sector 13.50%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
11.07%
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
62.76%
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.25x
Margin stability
10.4 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
3.9/10Revenue up 20.2% over 1 year, 5.7% a year over 5, EPS 12.2% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
1.4Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
20.21%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
23.41%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
9.19%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
12.18%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
-0.35%
Revised down
Valuation
7.0/10P/E 8.9x, forward P/E 8.8x, PEG 0.73. The multiple sits in the 87th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
8.9x
Fair
Sector 9.6x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
8.8x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
—
Sector 22.4x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.73
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.46|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
70.50 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 13% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
5.7Md USD
Not scored for a bank or an insurer: its solidity is measured by regulatory capital ratios, which we do not collect.
Net debt / EBITDA
—
Gearing (net debt / equity)
6.04%
Cash
64.9M USD
Cash / market cap
1.14%
Cash / total debt
13.09%
Net debt
336M USD
Equity
5.6Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 64.68 USD
- MM2065.99
- MM5065.45
- MM20063.12
- RSI 1447.0
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+0.44%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+1.78%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-1.57%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.45 % per day
Volatility change
+54.77%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.38 (3) | 7.51 (3) | 1 456 (2) | — | 687 (3) |
| 2027 | 7.79 (6) | 7.86 (6) | 1 415 (4) | — | 658 (5) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 9, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 39 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RDN | 6.4 | 6.8 | 4.7Md USD | 9.1x | 29.4 % | 105.9 % | — | — | — | 4.9 % | ||
| 2 | MTG | 6.2 | 6.7 | 5.5Md USD | 8.6x | 58.1 % | -1.8 % | — | — | — | -1.9 % | ||
| 3 | ACT | 6.0 | 6.1 | 6.2Md USD | 9.6x | 54.1 % | 0.4 % | — | — | — | 23.1 % | ||
| 4 | FNMA | 6.0 | 7.7 | 5.0Md USD | 20.7x | 9.6 % | -0.3 % | — | — | — | -60.3 % | ||
| 5 | ESNT | 5.5 | 6.2 | 5.7Md USD | 8.9x | 50.0 % | 20.2 % | — | — | — | 5.3 % | ||
| 6 | BAJAJHFL | 4.9 | 4.0 | 7.2Md USD | 24.6x | 23.2 % | 18.0 % | 2.2 % | 10.0x | — | -23.3 % | ||
| 7 | LICHSGFIN | 4.9 | 4.8 | 3.2Md USD | 5.4x | 20.6 % | 1.5 % | 1.9 % | 10.0x | — | 0.5 % | ||
| 8 | RKT | 4.2 | 2.9 | 41.0Md USD | 31.5x | 12.7 % | 34.3 % | — | — | — | -16.1 % | ||
| 9 | PFSI | 3.1 | 1.0 | 3.2Md USD | 14.0x | 5.5 % | -34.1 % | — | — | — | -51.5 % |
