Overall verdict
Neutral
4.5/10
1-year performance
+29.38%
Score breakdown
Up 29.4% over 1 year, 100% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Valuation 8.5/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 0.5/10.
10 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
AerCap Holdings N.V. engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial flight equipment in the United States, China, and internationally. The company engages in aircraft and engine asset management services, such as remarketing aircraft and engines for lease or sale ; collecting rental and supplemental maintenance rent payments, monitoring aircraft maintenance, monitoring and enforcing contract compliance, and accepting delivery and redelivery of aircraft and engines ;
conducting ongoing lessee financial performance reviews. Its aircraft and engine asset management services also include periodically inspecting the leased aircraft and engines ; coordinating technical modifications to aircraft to meet new lessee requirements ; conducting restructuring negotiations in connection with lease defaults ; repossessing aircraft and engines ; arranging and monitoring insurance coverage ;
registering and de-registering aircraft ; arranging for aircraft and engine valuations ; and providing market research services. In addition, the company provides corporate administrative services comprising accounting, and corporate secretarial services consisting of the preparation of budgets and financial statements ; and cash management services, including treasury services, such as the financing, refinancing, hedging, and ongoing cash management of companies.
Further, it offers airframe and engine parts and supply chain solutions to airlines; maintenance, repair, and overhaul service providers; and aircraft parts distributors. The company has a portfolio of owned, managed, or on order aircraft, consisting of 3,500 aircraft, engines, and helicopters. AerCap Holdings N.V. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Trading Companies and Distributors
Primary listing
Nyse
Ireland
CEO
Aengus Kelly
Founded
1995
Employees
668
Revenue / employee
11.1M USD
Next earnings
February 5, 2027 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
176.70 USD
52-week low
129.85 USD
1-year performance
29.38%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
21.68%
Rising
Drawdown
-0.08%
Near its high
Position in the 52-week range
100% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 20 years, from November 2006 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 3.3 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
$10,000 placed at the end of November 2006 are worth today
| AerCap Holdings | $69,833 |
| World ETF | $48,882 |
| S&P 500 | $77,515 |
| Risk-free placement | $13,704 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.3 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-91Â % between June 2007 and December 2008. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $941. The world ETF, at worst: -53Â %. Back to its high in 60 months.
AerCap Holdings earned more than the world ETF since 2006
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of November 2006, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- AerCap Holdings: $69,833
- World ETF: $48,882
- S&P 500: $77,515
- Risk-free placement: $13,704
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 175.00 USD - 200.00 USD (2 methods agree)
Gross margin 56.0%, net margin 41.0%, ROIC 5.0%, ROE 17.0%.
Net margin
41.03%
Exceptional
Sector 4.45%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
55.97%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
17.00%
Exceptional
Sector 10.99%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
5.03%
Low
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
-10.18%
Negative
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
-0.25x
Low
Margin stability
16.5 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
2.5/10Revenue up 3.8% over 1 year, 10.9% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
7.6Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
3.80%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
9.14%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
-11.71%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
18.01%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
8.5/10P/E 9.0x, forward P/E 8.7x, EV/EBITDA 10.8x. The multiple sits in the 67th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
9.0x
Cheap
Sector 17.4x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
8.7x
Cheap
EV / EBITDA
10.8x
Fair
Sector 10.3x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
—
Sector 0.63|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
185.00 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 33% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
27.3Md USD
Financial strength
0.9/10Cash covers 6.1% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 6.8x.
Net debt / EBITDA
6.8x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
218.35%
Stretched
Cash
2.7Md USD
Cash / market cap
9.73%
Solid
Cash / total debt
6.12%
Stretched
Interest coverage
1.9x
Stretched
Net debt
40.7Md USD
Equity
18.6Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 175.85 USD
- MM20155.84
- MM50148.61
- MM200145.43
- RSI 1483.1
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+0.79%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+2.27%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+1.55%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.52 % per day
Volatility change
-0.42%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20.37 (3) | 21.89 (9) | 9 037 (8) | 7 988 (5) | 3 203 (4) |
| 2027 | 18.30 (3) | 19.04 (9) | 8 488 (7) | 7 231 (5) | 2 659 (3) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 1, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 170 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | URI | 7.1 | 6.2 | 71.3Md USD | 25.3x | 16.3 % | 15.7 % | 12.3 % | 2.1x | 1.3 % | 35.0 % | ||
| 2 | FERG | 6.6 | 6.7 | 51.2Md USD | 21.7x | 7.0 % | 18.4 % | 19.6 % | 1.7x | 3.2 % | 4.9 % | ||
| 3 | 8001 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 115Md USD | 17.2x | 6.3 % | 9.9 % | 9.5 % | 3.5x | 3.0 % | 29.1 % | ||
| 4 | GWW | 6.3 | 6.7 | 69.6Md USD | 32.5x | 11.2 % | 11.3 % | 32.5 % | 0.8x | 2.5 % | 56.2 % | ||
| 5 | 8002 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 52.8Md USD | 14.8x | 6.2 % | 26.0 % | 9.5 % | 4.5x | 5.2 % | 34.3 % | ||
| 6 | 8058 | 5.8 | 6.3 | 111Md USD | 18.6x | 5.1 % | 18.3 % | 7.5 % | 5.7x | 9.3 % | 45.3 % | ||
| 7 | FAST | 5.5 | 5.0 | 63.7Md USD | 45.0x | 15.6 % | 15.5 % | 32.8 % | 0.1x | 1.8 % | 34.1 % | ||
| 8 | 8031 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 87.6Md USD | 14.7x | 6.3 % | 14.9 % | 7.5 % | 6.3x | -3.2 % | 28.1 % | ||
| 9 | AER | 4.5 | 4.6 | 27.3Md USD | 9.0x | 41.0 % | 3.8 % | 5.0 % | 6.8x | -2.8 % | 29.4 % |
