Overall verdict
Buy
7.1/10
1-year performance
+37.78%
Score breakdown
Up 37.8% over 1 year, 69% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Valuation 8.0/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 4.2/10.
9 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Toyota Tsusho Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing, processing, and sale of various products in Japan and internationally. It operates through Metal+ (Plus), Circular Economy, Supply Chain, Mobility, Green Infrastructure, Digital Solutions, Lifestyle, and Africa segments. The company processes, manufactures, and sells automotive steel and aluminum sheets, special and stainless steel sheets, electrical steel sheets, and steel bars and pipes, as well as building materials ;
and develops, sells, and distributes critical metals, batteries, electronic materials, synthetic resins, rubber, organic chemicals, additives, and pharmaceutical raw materials. It also procures, designs, develops, sells, and services mobility interior and exterior parts and accessories, as well as offers logistics, airport management, resources recycling, and supply chain-related business development services ;
and import and exports commercial, passenger, industrial, and other vehicles and supply parts, as well as provides vehicle installation and assembly services. In addition, the company trades in manufacturing and logistics equipment, parts and tools, and construction machineries, as well as develops social infrastructure and operates power generation plants, airports, and ports ; and sells electronic devices and components, semiconductors, IT-related products, computers, peripherals, and software, as well as offers network construction and maintenance, help desk, cybersecurity, and software development.
Further, it is involved in the import and export of grain, agricultural, livestock, and marine products, as well as provision of insurance agency and brokerage services, textiles and fiber products, real estate development and management, and healthcare centers ; and leasing and sale of new and used cars, after-sale services, sale of pharmaceutical products, and retail business. The company was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Trading Companies and Distributors
Primary listing
Tse
Japan
CEO
Tetsuya Watanuki
Founded
1948
Employees
74 927
Revenue / employee
153M JPY
Next earnings
January 29, 2027 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
7798.00 JPY
52-week low
4657.00 JPY
1-year performance
37.78%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
23.33%
Rising
Drawdown
-12.54%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
69% of range
Range: 7627.50 JPY - 10300.00 JPY (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 15.97% per year; the company grows at 22.44%.
Gross margin 10.8%, net margin 3.3%, ROIC 10.3%, ROE 16.2%.
Net margin
3.34%
Fair
Sector 4.46%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
10.80%
Low
Return on equity (ROE)
16.18%
Exceptional
Sector 10.99%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
10.34%
High
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
1.04%
Low
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.31x
Low
Margin stability
0.6 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.1/10Revenue up 28.0% over 1 year, 12.9% a year over 5, EPS 22.4% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
13.3T JPY
Revenue growth (1y)
28.01%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
17.40%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
2.20%
Moderate
EPS CAGR (5y)
22.44%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
6.34%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
8.0/10P/E 15.5x, forward P/E 14.4x, EV/EBITDA 9.7x, PEG 0.69. The multiple sits in the 93th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
15.5x
Fair
Sector 17.4x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
14.4x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
9.7x
Fair
Sector 10.5x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.69
Growth unpriced
Sector 1.02|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
8751.74 JPY
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 7% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
6.4T JPY
Financial strength
7.3/10Cash covers 35.6% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.3x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
58.67%
Solid
Cash
920Md JPY
Cash / market cap
14.32%
Solid
Cash / total debt
35.61%
Solid
Interest coverage
9.4x
Solid
Net debt
1.7T JPY
Equity
2.8T JPY
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 11, 2026: 6,857.00 JPY
- MM207,077.70
- MM507,289.86
- MM2006,676.63
- RSI 1446.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+2.67%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+12.35%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-0.21%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
3.37 % per day
Volatility change
+47.87%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 472.81 (9) | — | 13 287 717 (6) | 853 386 (5) | 458 222 (9) |
Amounts in millions of JPY, EPS in JPY per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 2, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 170 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8015 | 7.1 | 6.6 | 40.2Md USD | 15.5x | 3.3 % | 28.0 % | 10.3 % | 1.3x | 2.2 % | 37.8 % | ||
| 2 | URI | 7.1 | 6.2 | 71.3Md USD | 25.3x | 16.3 % | 15.7 % | 12.3 % | 2.1x | 1.3 % | 35.0 % | ||
| 3 | FERG | 6.6 | 6.7 | 51.2Md USD | 21.7x | 7.0 % | 18.4 % | 19.6 % | 1.7x | 3.2 % | 4.9 % | ||
| 4 | 8001 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 115Md USD | 17.2x | 6.3 % | 9.9 % | 9.5 % | 3.5x | 3.0 % | 29.1 % | ||
| 5 | GWW | 6.3 | 6.7 | 69.6Md USD | 32.5x | 11.2 % | 11.3 % | 32.5 % | 0.8x | 2.5 % | 56.2 % | ||
| 6 | 8002 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 52.8Md USD | 14.8x | 6.2 % | 26.0 % | 9.5 % | 4.5x | 5.2 % | 34.3 % | ||
| 7 | 8058 | 5.8 | 6.3 | 111Md USD | 18.6x | 5.1 % | 18.3 % | 7.5 % | 5.7x | 9.3 % | 45.3 % | ||
| 8 | FAST | 5.5 | 5.0 | 63.7Md USD | 45.0x | 15.6 % | 15.5 % | 32.8 % | 0.1x | 1.8 % | 34.1 % | ||
| 9 | 8031 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 87.6Md USD | 14.7x | 6.3 % | 14.9 % | 7.5 % | 6.3x | -3.2 % | 28.1 % |
