Overall verdict
Neutral
5.4/10
1-year performance
+35.44%
Score breakdown
Up 35.4% over 1 year, 100% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.8/10. Weakest: Valuation 0.5/10.
18 analysts, target -0.1% vs the price.
Fastenal Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of industrial and construction supplies in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It offers fasteners, and related industrial and construction supplies under the Fastenal name. The company's fastener products include threaded fasteners, bolts, nuts, screws, studs, and related washers that are used in manufactured products and construction projects, as well as in the maintenance and repair of machines.
It offers miscellaneous supplies and hardware, including pins, machinery keys, concrete anchors, metal framing systems, wire ropes, strut products, rivets, and related accessories. The company serves the manufacturing market comprising original equipment manufacturers ; maintenance, repair, and operations customers ; non-residential construction market ; farmers, truckers, railroads, mining companies, schools, and retail trades ; and oil exploration, production, and refinement companies, as well as federal, state, and local governmental entities. Fastenal Company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, Minnesota.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Trading Companies and Distributors
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Jeffery Watts
Founded
1967
Employees
24 489
Revenue / employee
334 865 USD
Next earnings
January 19, 2027
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.52%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp1.40%
- FMR LLC0.49%
- Rest of the register94.59%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
55.53 USD
52-week low
38.97 USD
1-year performance
35.44%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
37.93%
Rising
Drawdown
0.00%
Near its high
Position in the 52-week range
100% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned much more, but shaking 1.8 times harder: once that risk is counted, its lead is thin.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Fastenal | $505,328 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.8 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-41Â % between August 2008 and February 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $5,904. The world ETF, at worst: -53Â %. Back to its high in 14 months.
Fastenal earned 8 times as much as the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Fastenal: $505,328
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 27.52 USD - 29.07 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 18.08% per year; the company grows at 7.95%.
Gross margin 42.7%, net margin 15.6%, ROIC 32.8%, ROE 35.3%.
Net margin
15.62%
Exceptional
Sector 4.45%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
42.75%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
35.26%
Exceptional
Sector 10.99%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
32.80%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
12.96%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.83x
Fair
Margin stability
1.0 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
4.7/10Revenue up 15.5% over 1 year, 7.7% a year over 5, EPS 8.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
9.1Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
15.47%
Strong
Revenue growth (3y)
17.48%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
19.79%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
7.95%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
1.15%
Revised up
Valuation
0.5/10P/E 45.0x, forward P/E 43.6x, EV/EBITDA 31.1x, PEG 5.67. The multiple sits in the 100th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
45.0x
Very expensive
Sector 17.2x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
43.6x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
31.1x
Very expensive
Sector 10.3x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
5.67
Very expensive
Sector 1.02|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
28.29 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 1% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
63.7Md USD
Financial strength
7.6/10Cash covers 46.9% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.1x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
5.78%
Stretched
Cash
212M USD
Cash / market cap
0.33%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
46.91%
Solid
Interest coverage
503.9x
Very solid
Net debt
240M USD
Equity
4.1Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 54.84 USD
- MM2052.33
- MM5050.86
- MM20047.55
- RSI 1468.0
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+2.27%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+6.64%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+1.18%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.44 % per day
Volatility change
+7.95%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.27 (15) | 1.28 (18) | 9 329 (16) | 2 118 (11) | 1 466 (12) |
| 2027 | 1.41 (15) | 1.41 (18) | 10 224 (16) | 2 336 (11) | 1 619 (12) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 12, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 170 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | URI | 7.1 | 6.2 | 71.3Md USD | 25.3x | 16.3 % | 15.7 % | 12.3 % | 2.1x | 1.3 % | 35.0 % | ||
| 2 | FERG | 6.6 | 6.7 | 51.2Md USD | 21.7x | 7.0 % | 18.4 % | 19.6 % | 1.7x | 3.2 % | 4.9 % | ||
| 3 | 8053 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 50.2Md USD | 12.9x | 8.4 % | 12.6 % | 7.8 % | 6.2x | 7.2 % | 49.5 % | ||
| 4 | 8001 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 115Md USD | 17.2x | 6.3 % | 9.9 % | 9.5 % | 3.5x | 3.0 % | 29.1 % | ||
| 5 | GWW | 6.3 | 6.7 | 69.6Md USD | 32.5x | 11.2 % | 11.3 % | 32.5 % | 0.8x | 2.5 % | 56.2 % | ||
| 6 | 8002 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 52.8Md USD | 14.8x | 6.2 % | 26.0 % | 9.5 % | 4.5x | 5.2 % | 34.3 % | ||
| 7 | 8058 | 5.8 | 6.3 | 111Md USD | 18.6x | 5.1 % | 18.3 % | 7.5 % | 5.7x | 9.3 % | 45.3 % | ||
| 8 | FAST | 5.4 | 4.8 | 63.7Md USD | 45.0x | 15.6 % | 15.5 % | 32.8 % | 0.1x | 1.8 % | 35.4 % | ||
| 9 | 8031 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 87.6Md USD | 14.7x | 6.3 % | 14.9 % | 7.5 % | 6.3x | -3.2 % | 28.1 % |
