Overall verdict
Neutral
6.2/10
1-year performance
+8.08%
Score breakdown
Up 8.1% over 1 year, 42% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 10.0/10. Weakest: Valuation 3.0/10.
22 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a sports and entertainment company. The company operates through three segments: UFC, WWE and IMG. The UFC segment distributes programming content; ticket sales and site fees associated with the business's global live events; partnerships and marketing; and consumer products licensing agreements of UFC-branded products.
The WWE segment consists of media rights fees associated with the distribution of its programming content; ticket sales and site fees associated with the business's global live events; partnerships and marketing; and consumer products licensing agreements of WWE-branded products. The IMG segment specializing in media rights management and sales, multi-channel content production and distribution, brand partnerships, strategic consulting, digital services, and event management.
This segment also offers hospitality business, offering ticketing, curated guest experiences, live event production and travel management services. It is also involved in the merchandising of video games, apparel, equipment, trading cards, memorabilia, digital goods, and toys. In addition, the company engages in the sponsorships and advertising business, which offers sale of in-venue and in-broadcast advertising assets, content product integration, and digital impressions. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is based in New York, New York. TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is a subsidiary of WME Group, Inc.
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Entertainment
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Ariel Emanuel
Founded
1980
Employees
4 000
Revenue / employee
1.2M USD
Next earnings
February 25, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC0.89%
- FMR LLC0.42%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.20%
- Rest of the register98.48%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
226.94 USD
52-week low
170.14 USD
1-year performance
8.08%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
-7.46%
Rising
Drawdown
-14.39%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
42% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned much more, but shaking 2.6 times harder: once that risk is counted, it did about as well as the ETF.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| TKO Group Holdings | $112,925 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.6 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-69Â % between April 2019 and March 2020. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $3,067. The world ETF, at worst: -53Â %. Back to its high in 37 months.
TKO Group Holdings earned more than the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- TKO Group Holdings: $112,925
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 88.57 USD - 115.36 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 5.77% per year; the company grows at 7.62%.
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Gross margin 51.5%, net margin 5.2%, ROIC 3.6%, ROE 8.0%.
Net margin
5.18%
Exceptional
Sector 3.01%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
51.46%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
7.99%
Exceptional
Sector 4.06%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
3.59%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
31.16%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
6.01x
Exceptional
Revenue to net income
Growth
8.0/10Revenue up 21.5% over 1 year, 37.2% a year over 5, EPS 7.6% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
5.5Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
21.45%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
315.31%
Hyper-growth
EPS growth (1y)
186.09%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
7.62%
Low
EPS revisions (3 months)
5.15%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
3.0/10P/E 51.7x, forward P/E 39.7x, EV/EBITDA 24.0x, PEG 6.79. The multiple sits in the 53th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
51.7x
Very expensive
Sector 24.9x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
39.7x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
24.0x
Very expensive
Sector 11.6x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
6.79
Very expensive
Sector 0.34|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
101.97 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 47% highest valuations
In line with its history
Market cap
36.6Md USD
Financial strength
3.8/10Cash covers 32.1% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 2.0x.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.0x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
40.54%
Solid
Cash
1.6Md USD
Cash / market cap
4.34%
Tight
Cash / total debt
32.13%
Solid
Interest coverage
4.6x
Tight
Net debt
3.4Md USD
Equity
8.3Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 11, 2026: 199.50 USD
- MM20182.76
- MM50183.61
- MM200192.87
- RSI 1469.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-1.26%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-2.02%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-1.93%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
Yes
20-day volatility
1.84 % per day
Volatility change
-3.75%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.89 (8) | 4.85 (1) | 5 822 (20) | 2 308 (20) | 456 (12) |
| 2027 | 5.82 (8) | 4.25 (3) | 5 906 (20) | 2 452 (19) | 677 (12) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 6, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 93 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ROKU | 7.4 | 7.4 | 23.9Md USD | 47.8x | 9.3 % | 24.1 % | 16.0 % | -5.5x | 2.4 % | 58.8 % | ||
| 2 | NFLX | 7.3 | 8.1 | 265Md USD | 18.6x | 29.5 % | 10.6 % | 34.2 % | 0.3x | 4.3 % | -42.3 % | ||
| 3 | FWON.K | 6.2 | 6.3 | 27.7Md USD | 50.9x | 13.4 % | 13.0 % | 4.7 % | 4.1x | 3.5 % | 8.9 % | ||
| 4 | SPOT | 6.2 | 6.2 | 125Md USD | 40.4x | 15.7 % | 14.5 % | 34.3 % | -3.4x | 3.0 % | -1.8 % | ||
| 5 | TKO | 6.2 | 6.4 | 36.6Md USD | 51.7x | 5.2 % | 21.5 % | 3.6 % | 2.0x | 4.7 % | 8.1 % | ||
| 6 | DIS | 6.0 | 5.9 | 207Md USD | 24.7x | 8.7 % | 7.5 % | 5.9 % | 2.1x | 4.0 % | 6.2 % | ||
| 7 | WMG | 5.9 | 5.9 | 16.7Md USD | 25.2x | 9.1 % | 10.4 % | 12.2 % | 2.7x | 5.0 % | 6.5 % | ||
| 8 | UMG | 5.5 | 5.2 | 34.8Md USD | 97.5x | 2.5 % | 5.7 % | 4.4 % | 1.1x | 4.9 % | -23.8 % | ||
| 9 | LYV | 4.1 | 2.8 | 42.5Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -0.1 % | 18.9 % | -0.3 % | 1.5x | 2.0 % | 25.7 % |
