Overall verdict
Buy
7.3/10
1-year performance
-44.05%
Score breakdown
Down 44.1% over 1 year, 4% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Valuation 8.5/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 6.6/10.
51 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Netflix, Inc. provides entertainment services worldwide. The company offers television (TV) series, documentaries, feature films, games, and live programming across various genres and languages. It also provides members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes, and mobile devices. Netflix, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, California.
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Entertainment
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Gregory Peters
Founded
1997
Employees
16 000
Revenue / employee
2.8M USD
Next earnings
January 19, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.68%
- FMR LLC1.69%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.60%
- Rest of the register95.03%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
116.73 USD
52-week low
61.39 USD
1-year performance
-44.05%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-32.35%
Declining
Drawdown
-45.45%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
4% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 24 years, from May 2002 to October 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
$10,000 placed at the end of May 2002 are worth today
| Netflix | $5,767,228 |
| World ETF | $78,601 |
| S&P 500 | $109,868 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,256 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.8 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-80 % between May 2011 and September 2012. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $2,010. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 11 months.
Netflix earned 73 times as much as the world ETF since 2002
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of May 2002, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Netflix: $5,767,228
- World ETF: $78,601
- S&P 500: $109,868
- Risk-free placement: $15,256
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 57.19 USD - 81.59 USD (3 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 6.82% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 51.0%, net margin 29.5%, ROIC 34.2%, ROE 53.5%.
Net margin
29.53%
Exceptional
Sector 3.01%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
50.96%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
53.46%
Exceptional
Sector 4.06%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
34.21%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
22.75%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.77x
Low
Margin stability
6.9 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
8.1/10Revenue up 10.6% over 1 year, 12.6% a year over 5, EPS 33.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
50.0Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
10.61%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
43.20%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
48.84%
Strong
EPS CAGR (5y)
32.98%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
0.07%
Revised up
Valuation
8.5/10P/E 18.4x, forward P/E 17.8x, EV/EBITDA 17.2x, PEG 0.56. The multiple sits in the 13th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
18.4x
Fair
Sector 25.6x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
17.8x
Cheap
EV / EBITDA
17.2x
Expensive
Sector 11.9x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.56
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.59|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
69.30 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 13% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
261Md USD
Financial strength
8.3/10Cash covers 47.3% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
31.27%
Solid
Cash
8.2Md USD
Cash / market cap
3.15%
Tight
Cash / total debt
47.32%
Solid
Interest coverage
18.2x
Very solid
Net debt
9.2Md USD
Equity
29.3Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 63.26 USD
- MM2065.55
- MM5070.32
- MM20080.82
- RSI 1439.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-3.03%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-9.72%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-6.62%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
Yes
20-day volatility
2.34 % per day
Volatility change
+13.60%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.58 (37) | 3.57 (35) | 51 124 (41) | 17 059 (30) | 15 172 (34) |
| 2027 | 3.77 (44) | 3.77 (42) | 56 601 (45) | 19 719 (29) | 15 545 (38) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 27, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 93 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ROKU | 7.4 | 7.4 | 23.9Md USD | 47.8x | 9.3 % | 24.1 % | 16.0 % | -5.5x | 2.4 % | 58.8 % | ||
| 2 | NFLX | 7.3 | 8.1 | 261Md USD | 18.4x | 29.5 % | 10.6 % | 34.2 % | 0.3x | 4.4 % | -44.1 % | ||
| 3 | FWON.K | 6.2 | 6.3 | 27.7Md USD | 50.9x | 13.4 % | 13.0 % | 4.7 % | 4.1x | 3.5 % | 8.9 % | ||
| 4 | SPOT | 6.2 | 6.2 | 125Md USD | 40.4x | 15.7 % | 14.5 % | 34.3 % | -3.4x | 3.0 % | -1.8 % | ||
| 5 | DIS | 6.0 | 5.9 | 207Md USD | 24.7x | 8.7 % | 7.5 % | 5.9 % | 2.1x | 4.0 % | 6.2 % | ||
| 6 | TKO | 5.9 | 6.3 | 37.6Md USD | 53.1x | 5.2 % | 21.5 % | 3.6 % | 2.0x | 4.6 % | 11.1 % | ||
| 7 | WMG | 5.9 | 5.9 | 16.7Md USD | 25.2x | 9.1 % | 10.4 % | 12.2 % | 2.7x | 5.0 % | 6.5 % | ||
| 8 | UMG | 5.5 | 5.2 | 34.8Md USD | 97.5x | 2.5 % | 5.7 % | 4.4 % | 1.1x | 4.9 % | -23.8 % | ||
| 9 | LYV | 4.1 | 2.8 | 42.5Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -0.1 % | 18.9 % | -0.3 % | 1.5x | 2.0 % | 25.7 % |
