Overall verdict
Neutral
5.8/10
1-year performance
+36.56%
Score breakdown
Up 36.6% over 1 year, 60% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 9.7/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 3.3/10.
12 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Royal Gold, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires and manages precious metal streams, royalties, and related interests in North America, South and Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Australia Pacific. It operates through Acquisition and Management of Stream Interests and Acquisition and Management of Royalty Interests segments. The company engages in the acquisition of existing stream and royalty interests ;
and the financing of projects that are in production, development, or in the exploration stage in exchange for stream or royalty interests, which consists of gold, silver, copper, nickel, zinc, lead, molybdenum, diamonds, uranium, iron, platinum, palladium, rhodium, lithium, titanium, cobalt, barite, tungsten, and coal. Its properties are located in Canada, Chile, the Dominican Republic, the United States, Zambia, Australia, Ghana, Brazil, Mexico, Bolivia, Argentina, Nicaragua, Macedonia, Botswana, Spain, and internationally. Royal Gold, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Denver, Colorado.
Sector
Materials
Industry
Metals and Mining
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
William Heissenbuttel
Founded
1981
Employees
39
Revenue / employee
26.4M USD
Next earnings
February 10, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.01%
- FMR LLC1.58%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.88%
- Rest of the register95.53%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
306.25 USD
52-week low
181.01 USD
1-year performance
36.56%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
14.62%
Rising
Drawdown
-16.17%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
60% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned much more, but shaking 3.2 times harder: once that risk is counted, its lead is thin.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Royal Gold | $1,043,392 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.2 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-69Â % between September 2012 and January 2016. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $3,141. The world ETF, at worst: -53Â %. Back to its high in 19 months.
Royal Gold earned 16 times as much as the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Royal Gold: $1,043,392
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 234.01 USD - 265.89 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 4.09% per year; the company grows at 17.16%.
Gross margin 66.2%, net margin 47.7%, ROIC 13.9%, ROE 15.1%.
Net margin
47.65%
Exceptional
Sector 25.97%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
66.18%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
15.06%
Fair
Sector 20.23%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
13.92%
Fair
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
66.12%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.39x
Exceptional
Margin stability
20.9 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.1/10Revenue up 84.4% over 1 year, 15.6% a year over 5, EPS 17.2% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
1.8Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
84.38%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
70.83%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
39.06%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
17.16%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
2.98%
Revised up
Valuation
3.4/10P/E 25.9x, forward P/E 21.2x, EV/EBITDA 14.9x, PEG 1.51. The multiple sits in the 98th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
25.9x
Very expensive
Sector 12.6x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
21.2x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
14.9x
Very expensive
Sector 6.7x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
1.51
Expensive
Sector 0.10|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
249.95 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 2% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
21.7Md USD
Financial strength
9.7/10Cash covers 126.3% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.8x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
Solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-0.49%
Net cash
Cash
185M USD
Cash / market cap
0.85%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
126.27%
Net cash
Interest coverage
27.3x
Very solid
Net debt
-38.4M USD
Equity
7.8Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 274.57 USD
- MM20242.67
- MM50245.03
- MM200240.49
- RSI 1465.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.39%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+4.42%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+0.34%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
3.31 % per day
Volatility change
+44.29%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12.11 (2) | 10.70 (11) | 1 835 (7) | 1 512 (8) | 935 (5) |
| 2027 | 13.59 (4) | 12.72 (11) | 2 151 (7) | 1 754 (8) | 1 155 (5) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 6, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 146 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GFI | 7.5 | 9.2 | 33.9Md USD | 7.3x | 39.6 % | 64.0 % | 44.0 % | 0.3x | 13.4 % | -13.3 % | ||
| 2 | AU | 7.4 | 8.0 | 46.5Md USD | 11.9x | 32.6 % | 8.4 % | 37.5 % | -0.1x | 8.7 % | 21.6 % | ||
| 3 | 2259 | 7.4 | 8.4 | 48.2Md USD | 17.0x | 34.3 % | 79.9 % | 36.7 % | -0.9x | 6.2 % | -12.7 % | ||
| 4 | NEM | 6.9 | 7.7 | 123Md USD | 13.8x | 35.2 % | 17.2 % | 23.1 % | -0.2x | 8.2 % | 33.2 % | ||
| 5 | ABX | 6.7 | 6.8 | 65.1Md USD | 10.2x | 30.3 % | 24.1 % | 20.8 % | -0.2x | 8.0 % | 12.8 % | ||
| 6 | AEM | 6.2 | 6.2 | 94.7Md USD | 15.6x | 41.0 % | 16.5 % | 22.7 % | -0.3x | 4.3 % | 12.1 % | ||
| 7 | FNV | 6.0 | 5.8 | 49.1Md USD | 33.5x | 63.8 % | 57.2 % | 19.7 % | -0.4x | 1.8 % | 29.3 % | ||
| 8 | RGLD | 5.8 | 5.6 | 21.7Md USD | 25.9x | 47.7 % | 84.4 % | 13.9 % | 0.8x | 5.4 % | 36.6 % | ||
| 9 | WPM | 5.3 | 4.4 | 61.8Md USD | 30.3x | 60.4 % | 64.7 % | 20.9 % | -0.6x | -3.9 % | 34.0 % |
