Overall verdict
Buy
7.0/10
1-year performance
+25.64%
Score breakdown
Up 25.6% over 1 year, 60% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 10.0/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 6.8/10.
22 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Newmont Corporation operates as a gold producer. It also explores for copper, silver, lead, zinc, and other metals. It has operations and/or assets in the United States, Papua New Guinea, Australia, Ghana, Suriname, Argentina, Dominican Republic, Chile, Peru, Ecuador, Mexico, and Canada. The company was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Sector
Materials
Industry
Metals and Mining
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Natascha Viljoen
Founded
1916
Employees
44 100
Revenue / employee
501 066 USD
Next earnings
February 18, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.68%
- FMR LLC2.15%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp1.34%
- Rest of the register93.83%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
135.29 USD
52-week low
81.34 USD
1-year performance
25.64%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
12.53%
Rising
Drawdown
-16.00%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
60% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 2.5 times harder: once that risk is counted, it did about as well as the ETF.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Newmont | $95,216 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.5 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-75 % between November 2011 and September 2015. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $2,537. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 55 months.
Newmont earned more than the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Newmont: $95,216
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 114.22 USD - 154.44 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -2.04% per year; the company grows at 12.75%.
Gross margin 56.9%, net margin 35.2%, ROIC 23.1%, ROE 26.8%.
Net margin
35.23%
High
Sector 25.97%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
56.87%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
26.82%
High
Sector 20.20%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
23.13%
High
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
38.41%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.09x
Exceptional
Margin stability
16.5 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.9/10Revenue up 17.2% over 1 year, 14.1% a year over 5, EPS 12.7% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
26.2Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
17.16%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
84.93%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
41.40%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
12.75%
Low
EPS revisions (3 months)
-1.81%
Revised down
Valuation
6.9/10P/E 13.2x, forward P/E 12.1x, EV/EBITDA 6.7x, PEG 1.04. The multiple sits in the 45th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
13.2x
Fair
Sector 12.6x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
12.1x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
6.7x
Fair
Sector 6.7x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
1.04
Fair
Sector 0.10|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
135.48 USD
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 45% lowest valuations
In line with its history
Market cap
118Md USD
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 158.1% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.2x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.2x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-9.05%
Net cash
Cash
8.8Md USD
Cash / market cap
7.48%
Tight
Cash / total debt
158.09%
Net cash
Interest coverage
103.6x
Very solid
Net debt
-3.2Md USD
Equity
35.9Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 119.96 USD
- MM20114.84
- MM50118.72
- MM200112.35
- RSI 1454.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+0.37%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+7.08%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-1.55%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
Yes
20-day volatility
3.40 % per day
Volatility change
+23.81%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9.41 (6) | 9.16 (12) | 26 282 (16) | 16 801 (21) | 10 047 (14) |
| 2027 | 9.89 (9) | 10.10 (13) | 27 665 (16) | 17 823 (21) | 9 961 (14) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 146 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GFI | 7.5 | 9.2 | 33.9Md USD | 7.3x | 39.6 % | 64.0 % | 44.0 % | 0.3x | 13.4 % | -13.3 % | ||
| 2 | AU | 7.4 | 8.0 | 46.5Md USD | 11.9x | 32.6 % | 8.4 % | 37.5 % | -0.1x | 8.7 % | 21.6 % | ||
| 3 | 2259 | 7.4 | 8.4 | 48.2Md USD | 17.0x | 34.3 % | 79.9 % | 36.7 % | -0.9x | 6.2 % | -12.7 % | ||
| 4 | NEM | 7.0 | 7.7 | 118Md USD | 13.2x | 35.2 % | 17.2 % | 23.1 % | -0.2x | 8.5 % | 25.6 % | ||
| 5 | ABX | 6.7 | 6.8 | 65.1Md USD | 10.2x | 30.3 % | 24.1 % | 20.8 % | -0.2x | 8.0 % | 12.8 % | ||
| 6 | AEM | 6.2 | 6.2 | 94.7Md USD | 15.6x | 41.0 % | 16.5 % | 22.7 % | -0.3x | 4.3 % | 12.1 % | ||
| 7 | FNV | 6.0 | 5.8 | 49.1Md USD | 33.5x | 63.8 % | 57.2 % | 19.7 % | -0.4x | 1.8 % | 29.3 % | ||
| 8 | WPM | 5.3 | 4.4 | 61.8Md USD | 30.3x | 60.4 % | 64.7 % | 20.9 % | -0.6x | -3.9 % | 34.0 % | ||
| 9 | NST | 4.1 | 3.3 | 26.0Md USD | 22.6x | 21.8 % | 18.8 % | 9.9 % | 0.2x | 1.8 % | 0.6 % |
