Overall verdict
Buy
6.7/10
1-year performance
-22.16%
Score breakdown
Down 22.2% over 1 year, 19% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 10.0/10. Weakest: Growth 1.4/10.
9 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacture, distribution, and trading of cigarettes and other tobacco products in Indonesia and Internationally. It offers combustible cigarettes, including machine-made kretek (SKM), hand-rolled kretek, machine-made white, and hand-rolled white cigarettes under the Dji Sam Soe Magnum, Sampoerna Kretek, Sampoerna A, Magnum, and Marlboro Filter Black brand names.
The company also provides smoke-free products, such as heat-not-burn, e-vapor, and oral smokeless products. In addition, it is involved in general trading; e-commerce and agency; and property development business. Further, the company offers general importer, warehousing, and delivery services; job training; and management consulting, advertising, and brand management services. The company was founded in 1913 and is headquartered in Surabaya, Indonesia. PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Philip Morris Indonesia.
Sector
Consumer Staples
Industry
Tobacco
Primary listing
Idx
Indonesia
CEO
Ivan Cahyadi
Founded
1913
Employees
19 816
Revenue / employee
2.4Md IDR
Next earnings
March 31, 2027 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
1000.00 IDR
52-week low
570.00 IDR
1-year performance
-22.16%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-10.34%
Declining
Drawdown
-35.00%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
19% of range
Range: 1589.07 IDR - 1698.25 IDR (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -8.02% per year; the company grows at -5.09%.
Gross margin 45.7%, net margin 18.8%, ROIC 31.4%, ROE 31.6%.
Net margin
18.81%
High
Sector 13.79%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
45.68%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
31.58%
Exceptional
Sector 14.02%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
31.36%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
21.56%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.15x
High
Margin stability
6.2 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
1.4/10Revenue up 7.8% over 1 year, 4.4% a year over 5, EPS -5.1% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
45.8T IDR
Revenue growth (1y)
7.80%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
20.85%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
-0.55%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
-5.09%
Declining
EPS revisions (3 months)
1.89%
Revised up
Valuation
8.9/10P/E 8.8x, forward P/E 9.1x, EV/EBITDA 5.8x, PEG 0.19. The multiple sits in the 28th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
8.8x
Cheap
Sector 15.6x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
9.1x
Cheap
EV / EBITDA
5.8x
Fair
Sector 8.9x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.19
Growth unpriced
Sector 1.16|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
1637.76 IDR
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 28% lowest valuations
Cheaper than usual
Market cap
74.6T IDR
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 3226.0% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.4x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.4x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-31.29%
Net cash
Cash
8.5T IDR
Cash / market cap
11.41%
Solid
Cash / total debt
3226.03%
Net cash
Interest coverage
283.7x
Very solid
Net debt
-8.3T IDR
Equity
26.4T IDR
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 11, 2026: 645.00 IDR
- MM20642.75
- MM50655.50
- MM200723.50
- RSI 1449.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-1.46%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-4.57%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-6.17%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.95 % per day
Volatility change
+39.24%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 71.59 (6) | 71.30 (9) | 114 238 578 (6) | 11 485 370 (5) | 8 400 125 (8) |
| 2027 | 78.62 (5) | 78.32 (8) | 121 008 960 (8) | 13 203 657 (5) | 9 192 243 (7) |
Amounts in millions of IDR, EPS in IDR per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 30, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 26 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HMSP | 6.7 | 7.4 | 4.1Md USD | 8.8x | 18.8 % | 7.8 % | 31.4 % | -0.4x | 13.2 % | -22.2 % | ||
| 2 | 2914 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 61.1Md USD | 17.2x | 15.9 % | 11.8 % | 10.7 % | 0.9x | 8.5 % | 5.8 % | ||
| 3 | IMB | 6.4 | 6.2 | 28.7Md USD | 13.7x | 9.0 % | 2.7 % | 13.4 % | 1.9x | 13.0 % | -9.9 % | ||
| 4 | MO | 6.2 | 6.3 | 129Md USD | 16.0x | 39.2 % | 3.6 % | 38.4 % | 1.4x | 7.0 % | 33.9 % | ||
| 5 | ITC | 6.1 | 6.0 | 37.2Md USD | 18.9x | 24.4 % | 3.9 % | 26.4 % | -0.8x | — | -29.8 % | ||
| 6 | PM | 5.8 | 4.4 | 306Md USD | 28.7x | 24.8 % | 5.2 % | 33.0 % | 2.3x | 4.4 % | 26.3 % | ||
| 7 | BATS | 5.3 | 4.3 | 129Md USD | 15.7x | 24.6 % | -1.0 % | 8.0 % | 2.5x | 5.5 % | 7.0 % | ||
| 8 | A033780 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 13.6Md USD | 16.5x | 16.0 % | 4.3 % | — | 0.3x | — | 25.9 % | ||
| 9 | 6969 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 6.5Md USD | 39.0x | 7.4 % | 20.9 % | 5.2 % | -6.4x | 1.1 % | -37.2 % |
