Overall verdict
Neutral
5.8/10
1-year performance
+27.35%
Score breakdown
Up 27.3% over 1 year, 77% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 6.7/10. Weakest: Valuation 2.3/10.
17 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
Philip Morris International Inc. operates as a tobacco company. The company offers cigarettes and smoke-free products, including heat-not-burn, e-vapor, and oral nicotine products under the IQOS, VEEV, and ZYN brands; and consumer accessories, such as lighters and matches. It also offers wellness products. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.
Sector
Consumer Staples
Industry
Tobacco
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Jacek Olczak
Founded
1987
Employees
84 900
Revenue / employee
477 503 USD
Next earnings
February 5, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- FMR LLC3.56%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.54%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.77%
- Rest of the register93.12%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
214.35 USD
52-week low
146.35 USD
1-year performance
27.35%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
24.16%
Rising
Drawdown
-7.17%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
77% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 19 years, from March 2008 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned much more, but shaking 1.5 times harder: once that risk is counted, it did about as well as the ETF.
$10,000 placed at the end of March 2008 are worth today
| Philip Morris | $98,075 |
| World ETF | $47,959 |
| S&P 500 | $80,202 |
| Risk-free placement | $13,002 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.5 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-43 % between June 2017 and March 2020. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $5,713. The world ETF, at worst: -50 %. Back to its high in 15 months.
Philip Morris earned 2 times as much as the world ETF since 2008
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of March 2008, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Philip Morris: $98,075
- World ETF: $47,959
- S&P 500: $80,202
- Risk-free placement: $13,002
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 115.33 USD - 161.49 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 6.72% per year; the company grows at 7.09%.
Gross margin 65.4%, net margin 24.8%, ROIC 33.0%, ROE -113.6%.
Net margin
24.83%
Exceptional
Sector 13.79%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
65.37%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
-113.62%
Negative
Sector 14.71%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
33.01%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
31.61%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.27x
High
Margin stability
3.4 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
3.4/10Revenue up 5.2% over 1 year, 7.2% a year over 5, EPS 7.1% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
43.0Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
5.24%
Strong
Revenue growth (3y)
28.58%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
-4.82%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
7.09%
Strong
EPS revisions (3 months)
-0.60%
Revised down
Valuation
2.3/10P/E 29.0x, forward P/E 27.1x, EV/EBITDA 18.4x, PEG 4.10. The multiple sits in the 80th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
29.0x
Very expensive
Sector 14.1x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
27.1x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
18.4x
Very expensive
Sector 7.7x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
4.10
Very expensive
Sector 1.16|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
138.41 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 20% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
310Md USD
Financial strength
6.3/10Cash covers 14.1% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 2.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.3x
Tight
Gearing (net debt / equity)
—
Cash
6.7Md USD
Cash / market cap
2.16%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
14.10%
Stretched
Interest coverage
9.4x
Solid
Net debt
40.9Md USD
Equity
-5.9Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 194.25 USD
- MM20202.45
- MM50195.68
- MM200182.95
- RSI 1442.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+2.19%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+6.87%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+2.93%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.99 % per day
Volatility change
+14.38%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.34 (5) | 8.35 (16) | 43 609 (14) | 19 441 (6) | 11 787 (6) |
| 2027 | 8.54 (6) | 9.04 (16) | 45 699 (14) | 21 001 (6) | 13 293 (6) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 10, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 26 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HMSP | 6.7 | 7.4 | 4.1Md USD | 8.9x | 18.8 % | 7.8 % | 31.4 % | -0.4x | 13.4 % | -21.0 % | ||
| 2 | 2914 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 61.1Md USD | 17.2x | 15.9 % | 11.8 % | 10.7 % | 0.9x | 8.5 % | 5.8 % | ||
| 3 | IMB | 6.4 | 6.2 | 28.7Md USD | 13.7x | 9.0 % | 2.7 % | 13.4 % | 1.9x | 13.0 % | -9.9 % | ||
| 4 | MO | 6.2 | 6.3 | 129Md USD | 16.0x | 39.2 % | 3.6 % | 38.4 % | 1.4x | 7.0 % | 33.9 % | ||
| 5 | ITC | 6.1 | 6.0 | 37.2Md USD | 18.9x | 24.4 % | 3.9 % | 26.4 % | -0.8x | — | -29.8 % | ||
| 6 | PM | 5.8 | 4.4 | 310Md USD | 29.0x | 24.8 % | 5.2 % | 33.0 % | 2.3x | 4.4 % | 27.3 % | ||
| 7 | BATS | 5.3 | 4.3 | 129Md USD | 15.7x | 24.6 % | -1.0 % | 8.0 % | 2.5x | 5.5 % | 7.0 % | ||
| 8 | A033780 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 13.6Md USD | 16.5x | 16.0 % | 4.3 % | — | 0.3x | — | 25.9 % | ||
| 9 | 6969 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 6.5Md USD | 39.0x | 7.4 % | 20.9 % | 5.2 % | -6.4x | 1.1 % | -37.2 % |
