Overall verdict
Neutral
5.7/10
1-year performance
+2.98%
Score breakdown
Up 3.0% over 1 year, 70% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.8/10. Weakest: Valuation 3.5/10.
19 analysts, target -0.0% vs the price.
Paychex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides human capital management solutions (HCM) for human resources, payroll processing, employee benefits, and insurance services for small to medium-sized businesses in the United States, Europe, Canada, India, and Israel. It offers technology and advisory solutions; and payroll tax administration services. The company also provides retirement solutions, such as plan implementation, ongoing compliance with government regulations, employee and employer reporting, participant and employer online access, electronic funds transfer, and other administrative services ;
HCM solutions from recruiting and hiring to retirement ; and talent management and talent acquisition services. In addition, it offers payroll solutions, including calculation, preparation, and delivery of employee payroll checks; production of internal accounting records and management reports; preparation of federal, state, and local payroll tax returns; and collection and remittance of clients' payroll obligations.
Further, the company provides workforce management solutions ; benefits administration solutions ; digital marketplace for earned wages, financial wellness solutions, and voluntary lifestyle benefits ; administrative services organization HR outsourcing solutions ; solutions to payroll and non-payroll customers ; retirement and funding solutions ; and insurance services for property and casualty coverage, such as workers' compensation, business-owner policies, cyber security protection, and commercial auto, as well as health and benefits coverage, including health, dental, vision, and life.
Additionally, it offers payroll, HR, employee benefits administration, retirement, insurance, risk management outsourcing, and access to professionally trained HR representatives, virtually and on-site. It markets and sells its solutions primarily through its direct sales force. Paychex, Inc. was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Professional Services
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
John Gibson
Founded
1971
Employees
17 600
Revenue / employee
370 000 USD
Next earnings
December 18, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.22%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.60%
- FMR LLC0.46%
- Rest of the register95.72%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
127.98 USD
52-week low
85.45 USD
1-year performance
2.98%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
2.61%
Rising
Drawdown
-10.10%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
70% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 1.6 times harder.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Paychex | $49,927 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.6 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-51Â % between December 2000 and August 2002. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $4,913. The world ETF, at worst: -53Â %. Back to its high in 60 months.
Paychex earned less than the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Paychex: $49,927
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 118.70 USD - 121.55 USD (3 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 5.20% per year; the company grows at 10.04%.
Gross margin 71.6%, net margin 27.4%, ROIC 21.4%, ROE 47.1%.
Net margin
27.35%
Exceptional
Sector 3.66%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
71.63%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
47.06%
Exceptional
Sector 14.07%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
21.37%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
30.54%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.12x
Fair
Margin stability
1.9 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.0/10Revenue up 5.9% over 1 year, 9.9% a year over 5, EPS 10.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
6.6Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
5.88%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
30.06%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
13.63%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
10.04%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
-0.38%
Revised down
Valuation
3.5/10P/E 22.9x, forward P/E 20.9x, EV/EBITDA 14.7x, PEG 2.28. The multiple sits in the 15th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
22.9x
Expensive
Sector 18.0x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
20.9x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
14.7x
Expensive
Sector 9.2x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
2.28
Very expensive
Sector 0.62|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
120.13 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 15% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
41.0Md USD
Financial strength
7.1/10Cash covers 21.4% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.1x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
Solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
98.01%
Tight
Cash
989M USD
Cash / market cap
2.42%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
21.41%
Tight
Interest coverage
9.7x
Solid
Net debt
3.6Md USD
Equity
3.7Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 116.20 USD
- MM20113.78
- MM50111.53
- MM200103.73
- RSI 1456.3
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+0.27%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+0.40%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-3.27%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.34 % per day
Volatility change
+16.20%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.50 (11) | 5.96 (19) | 6 864 (18) | 3 230 (10) | 1 963 (11) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 27, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 59 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PAYC | 7.7 | 7.5 | 10.9Md USD | 23.2x | 23.3 % | 10.2 % | 31.1 % | -0.3x | 6.0 % | 45.5 % | ||
| 2 | BZ | 7.6 | 7.4 | 8.1Md USD | 11.8x | 53.2 % | 21.2 % | 24.3 % | -6.2x | — | -20.7 % | ||
| 3 | 6098 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 156Md USD | 40.9x | 15.0 % | 18.9 % | 33.5 % | -0.7x | 2.9 % | 101.4 % | ||
| 4 | PCTY | 7.2 | 7.4 | 9.4Md USD | 34.9x | 15.4 % | 10.7 % | 21.8 % | -0.3x | 5.2 % | 26.3 % | ||
| 5 | BFT | 6.9 | 6.7 | 4.9Md USD | 23.7x | 15.5 % | 33.4 % | 16.4 % | 2.1x | 5.0 % | 90.8 % | ||
| 6 | ADP | 5.8 | 5.9 | 121Md USD | 27.2x | 20.3 % | 6.1 % | 43.0 % | 0.2x | 4.3 % | 20.3 % | ||
| 7 | PAYX | 5.7 | 5.9 | 41.0Md USD | 22.9x | 27.4 % | 5.9 % | 21.4 % | 1.1x | 4.9 % | 3.0 % | ||
| 8 | RAND | 5.4 | 4.8 | 7.9Md USD | 21.3x | 1.5 % | 5.2 % | 6.3 % | 1.6x | 8.7 % | 22.3 % | ||
| 9 | ADEN | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.6Md USD | 14.2x | 1.3 % | 1.8 % | 4.5 % | 3.3x | 9.7 % | -9.3 % |
