Overall verdict
Buy
6.8/10
1-year performance
+55.56%
Score breakdown
Up 55.6% over 1 year, 34% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 9.7/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 4.5/10.
12 analysts, target +0.6% vs the price.
Onto Innovation Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and support of process control tools that perform macro-defect inspection and metrology in the United States, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, China, Southeast Asia, Asia, and Europe. The company offers lithography systems and process control analytical software ; and automated and integrated metrology systems, silicon wafer all-surface inspection, macro defect inspection, automated defect classification and pattern analysis, yield analysis, opaque film metrology, 4D business, advanced packaging lithography, process control software, and yield management software products.
It also provides process and yield management solutions, and device packaging and test facilities through standalone systems for optical metrology, macro-defect inspection, packaging lithography, and transparent and opaque thin film measurements. In addition, the company offers process control software portfolio that includes solutions for standalone tools, groups of tools, and factory-wide suites.
Further, it engages in systems and software, spare parts, and other services, as well as offers software licensing services; and provides advanced product lines, such as FAaST, CnCV, and MBIR. The company's products are used in semiconductor and advanced packaging device manufacturers ; silicon wafers ; semiconductor integrated circuit fabricators ; light emitting diodes ; vertical-cavity surface-emitting lasers ;
micro-electromechanical systems ; CMOS image sensors ; silicon and compound semiconductor power devices ; analog devices ; RF filters ; data storage ; and various industrial and scientific applications. Onto Innovation Inc. was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts.
Sector
Information Technology
Industry
Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Michael Plisinski
Founded
1940
Employees
1 615
Revenue / employee
622 454 USD
Next earnings
February 18, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.24%
- FMR LLC2.14%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.81%
- Rest of the register94.82%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
386.46 USD
52-week low
121.58 USD
1-year performance
55.56%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
29.46%
Rising
Drawdown
-45.53%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
34% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned much more, but shaking 4.3 times harder: once that risk is counted, it did about as well as the ETF.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Onto Innovation | $145,933 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 4.3 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-97 % between July 2001 and November 2008. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $342. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 114 months.
Onto Innovation earned 2 times as much as the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Onto Innovation: $145,933
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 112.58 USD - 176.65 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 14.63% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 50.3%, net margin 11.5%, ROIC 5.5%, ROE 7.6%.
Net margin
11.53%
Fair
Sector 11.46%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
50.25%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
7.60%
Fair
Sector 9.59%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
5.54%
Low
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
18.88%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.64x
Exceptional
Margin stability
17.7 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
4.9/10Revenue up 87.8% over 1 year, 12.6% a year over 5, EPS 34.6% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
1.3Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
87.79%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
0.01%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
65.47%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
34.65%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
4.78%
Revised up
Valuation
5.8/10P/E 69.1x, forward P/E 40.8x, EV/EBITDA 28.4x, PEG 1.99. The multiple sits in the 66th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
69.1x
Expensive
Sector 43.2x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
40.8x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
28.4x
Fair
Sector 23.9x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
1.99
Expensive
Sector 1.05|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
144.61 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 34% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
10.3Md USD
Financial strength
9.7/10Cash covers 85.0% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -2.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.3x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
11.20%
Very solid
Cash
1.3Md USD
Cash / market cap
12.11%
Solid
Cash / total debt
84.95%
Very solid
Interest coverage
623.5x
Very solid
Net debt
222M USD
Equity
2.0Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 197.51 USD
- MM20206.19
- MM50250.75
- MM200260.03
- RSI 1442.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+0.80%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+14.24%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-13.13%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
7.05 % per day
Volatility change
+39.16%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.16 (8) | 8.48 (12) | 1 487 (11) | 484 (3) | 266 (5) |
| 2027 | 10.68 (8) | 12.86 (12) | 2 021 (11) | 735 (3) | 520 (5) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 221 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6857 | 8.6 | 8.5 | 130Md USD | 38.1x | 39.6 % | 81.7 % | 61.4 % | -0.6x | 2.3 % | 52.5 % | ||
| 2 | LRCX | 7.9 | 7.9 | 295Md USD | 35.1x | 32.3 % | 54.4 % | 53.5 % | -0.2x | 2.2 % | 43.7 % | ||
| 3 | ASML | 7.8 | 7.6 | 576Md USD | 40.1x | 34.1 % | 55.2 % | 58.9 % | -0.7x | 4.2 % | 57.7 % | ||
| 4 | 8035 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 131Md USD | 30.0x | 24.2 % | 48.4 % | — | -0.7x | 3.0 % | 39.2 % | ||
| 5 | AMAT | 7.5 | 7.0 | 314Md USD | 34.1x | 30.1 % | 24.8 % | 32.6 % | -0.2x | 1.8 % | 69.3 % | ||
| 6 | TER | 7.5 | 7.2 | 41.5Md USD | 30.5x | 27.5 % | 69.8 % | 41.8 % | -0.0x | 2.5 % | 44.9 % | ||
| 7 | KLAC | 7.4 | 7.1 | 210Md USD | 40.2x | 36.3 % | 28.8 % | 44.8 % | 0.2x | 1.9 % | 33.8 % | ||
| 8 | ONTO | 6.8 | 5.9 | 10.3Md USD | 69.1x | 11.5 % | 87.8 % | 5.5 % | -2.3x | 2.4 % | 55.6 % | ||
| 9 | 002371 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 58.2Md USD | 70.1x | 13.3 % | 1.3 % | 11.1 % | 0.3x | 1.9 % | 36.4 % |
