Overall verdict
Buy
7.8/10
1-year performance
+55.03%
Score breakdown
Up 55.0% over 1 year, 60% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 10.0/10. Weakest: Valuation 4.5/10.
41 analysts, target +0.5% vs the price.
ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company offers lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. It also provides extreme ultraviolet lithography systems; and deep ultraviolet lithography systems comprising immersion and dry lithography systems solutions to manufacture various range of semiconductor nodes and technologies.
In addition, the company offers metrology and inspection systems, including YieldStar optical metrology systems, a diffraction-based wafer metrology platform to assess the quality of patterns on the wafers; and HMI electron beam solutions to locate and analyze individual chip defects. Further, it provides computational lithography solutions, and lithography systems and control software solutions; and refurbishes and upgrades lithography systems, as well as offers customer support and related services.
Additionally, the company offers hardware, software, and services to chipmakers to produce the patterns of integrated circuits. It operates in Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, China, rest of Asia, the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States. The company was formerly known as ASM Lithography Holding N.V. and changed its name to ASML Holding N.V. in 2001. ASML Holding N.V. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands.
Sector
Information Technology
Industry
Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment
Primary listing
Euronext
Netherlands
CEO
Mr. Christophe D. Fouquet
Founded
1984
Employees
44 209
Revenue / employee
766 109 EUR
Next earnings
January 27, 2027
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
1741.00 EUR
52-week low
822.20 EUR
1-year performance
55.03%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
49.75%
Rising
Drawdown
-20.92%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
60% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 22 years, from April 2005 to October 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
10 000 € placed at the end of April 2005 are worth today
| ASML Holding | 1 681 476 € |
| World ETF | 72 974 € |
| STOXX Europe 600 | 46 112 € |
| Risk-free placement | 13 105 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.3 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-50 % between October 2007 and November 2008. 10 000 € placed at the top fell to 5 047 €. The world ETF, at worst: -49 %. Back to its high in 13 months.
ASML Holding earned 23 times as much as the world ETF since 2005
Value of 10 000 € placed at the end of April 2005, dividends reinvested, in euros
- ASML Holding: 1 681 476 €
- World ETF: 72 974 €
- STOXX Europe 600: 46 112 €
- Risk-free placement: 13 105 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 825.17 EUR - 1003.19 EUR (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 8.09% per year; the company grows at 23.85%.
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Gross margin 54.3%, net margin 34.1%, ROIC 58.9%, ROE 65.6%.
Net margin
34.14%
Exceptional
Sector 11.46%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
54.34%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
65.64%
Exceptional
Sector 9.56%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
58.94%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
53.61%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.57x
Exceptional
Margin stability
3.0 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.6/10Revenue up 55.2% over 1 year, 18.5% a year over 5, EPS 23.9% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
39.5Md EUR
Revenue growth (1y)
55.16%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
54.28%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
28.45%
Moderate
EPS CAGR (5y)
23.85%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
8.84%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
4.5/10P/E 39.3x, forward P/E 33.0x, EV/EBITDA 32.3x, PEG 1.65. The multiple sits in the 90th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
39.3x
Fair
Sector 44.0x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
33.0x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
32.3x
Expensive
Sector 23.9x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
1.65
Expensive
Sector 0.41|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
902.28 EUR
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 10% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
536Md EUR
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 648.8% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.7x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.7x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-48.82%
Net cash
Cash
12.3Md EUR
Cash / market cap
2.29%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
648.76%
Net cash
Interest coverage
95.5x
Very solid
Net debt
-10.4Md EUR
Equity
21.3Md EUR
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 11, 2026: 1,403.80 EUR
- MM201,414.67
- MM501,478.87
- MM2001,397.51
- RSI 1447.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+2.28%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+12.82%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-2.56%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
3.21 % per day
Volatility change
+18.56%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 41.76 (28) | 41.41 (24) | 44 491 (35) | 19 599 (26) | 15 931 (30) |
| 2027 | 57.02 (29) | 56.43 (27) | 57 389 (38) | 26 885 (27) | 21 381 (31) |
Amounts in millions of EUR, EPS in EUR per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 3, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 221 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6857 | 8.6 | 8.5 | 130Md USD | 38.1x | 39.6 % | 81.7 % | 61.4 % | -0.6x | 2.3 % | 52.5 % | ||
| 2 | LRCX | 7.9 | 7.9 | 295Md USD | 35.1x | 32.3 % | 54.4 % | 53.5 % | -0.2x | 2.2 % | 43.7 % | ||
| 3 | ASML | 7.8 | 7.6 | 595Md USD | 39.3x | 34.1 % | 55.2 % | 58.9 % | -0.7x | 3.9 % | 55.0 % | ||
| 4 | 8035 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 131Md USD | 30.0x | 24.2 % | 48.4 % | — | -0.7x | 3.0 % | 39.2 % | ||
| 5 | AMAT | 7.5 | 7.0 | 314Md USD | 34.1x | 30.1 % | 24.8 % | 32.6 % | -0.2x | 1.8 % | 69.3 % | ||
| 6 | ASM | 7.5 | 7.0 | 36.7Md USD | 35.8x | 26.8 % | 44.9 % | 23.0 % | -0.8x | 2.6 % | 35.5 % | ||
| 7 | TER | 7.5 | 7.2 | 41.5Md USD | 30.5x | 27.5 % | 69.8 % | 41.8 % | -0.0x | 2.5 % | 44.9 % | ||
| 8 | KLAC | 7.4 | 7.1 | 210Md USD | 40.2x | 36.3 % | 28.8 % | 44.8 % | 0.2x | 1.9 % | 33.8 % | ||
| 9 | 002371 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 58.2Md USD | 70.1x | 13.3 % | 1.3 % | 11.1 % | 0.3x | 1.9 % | 36.4 % |
