Overall verdict
Buy
7.8/10
1-year performance
+17.82%
Score breakdown
Up 17.8% over 1 year, 48% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 9.2/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 0.7/10.
7 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz, together with its subsidiaries, provides payments, marketplace, and fintech solutions for consumers and merchants in Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, and Ukraine. The company operates through three segments: Payments, Marketplace, and Fintech. The Payments segment offers a platform that facilities transactions between and among merchants and consumers.
This segment provides ways for consumers to pay for shopping transactions and regular household bills, as well as make peer to peer payments; and enables merchants to accept payment online and in store, issue and settle invoices, pay suppliers, and monitor merchant turnover. It also offers proprietary data, which facilitates informed decision-making across multiple areas of business. Its Marketplace Platform segment connects both online and offline merchants with consumers, enabling merchants to increase sales through an omnichannel strategy and allowing consumers to purchase products and services from various merchants.
This segment operates marketplaces through m-commerce, a mobile solution for shopping in person ; e-Commerce, which allows consumers to shop anywhere and anytime with free delivery ; and Kaspi Travel that allows consumers to book domestic and international flights, domestic rail tickets, and international package holidays. It also enhances merchants' sales by connecting payments and fintech products, Kapsi advertising, and other delivery services.
The Fintech Platform segment provides consumers with buy-now-pay-later, finance and savings products, and merchants with merchant finance services. It also involved in the banking; distressed asset management; real estate business; payment processing; online travel; e-grocery; classifieds; and storage and processing of information services. Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Almaty, the Republic of Kazakhstan.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Consumer Finance
Primary listing
Nasdaq
Kazakhstan
CEO
Mr. Mikheil N. Lomtadze
Founded
2008
Employees
14 008
Revenue / employee
223M KZT
Next earnings
February 22, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- FMR LLC1.02%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC0.09%
- Rest of the register98.89%
2 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
109.94 USD
52-week low
68.59 USD
1-year performance
17.82%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
12.09%
Rising
Drawdown
-19.50%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
48% of range
Net margin 32.1%, ROIC 35.9%, ROE 43.0%.
Net margin
32.13%
Exceptional
Sector 15.83%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
—
Return on equity (ROE)
42.95%
Exceptional
Sector 14.13%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
35.95%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
36.80%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.15x
High
Margin stability
13.3 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.0/10Revenue up 16.8% over 1 year, 38.0% a year over 5, EPS 27.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
4.0T KZT
Revenue growth (1y)
16.77%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
173.04%
Hyper-growth
EPS growth (1y)
2.33%
Moderate
EPS CAGR (5y)
26.96%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
-2.55%
Revised down
Valuation
8.7/10forward P/E 6.8x.
P/E (TTM)
—
Sector 11.0x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
6.8x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
—
Sector 12.0x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
—
Sector 0.63|S&P 0.91
Market cap
7.6T KZT
Financial strength
6.6/10Cash covers 133.7% of the debt, gearing 2.9%.
Net debt / EBITDA
—
Gearing (net debt / equity)
2.86%
Solid
Cash
903Md KZT
Cash / market cap
11.94%
Solid
Cash / total debt
133.67%
Net cash
Net debt
93.3Md KZT
Equity
3.3T KZT
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 87.85 USD
- MM2092.21
- MM5095.43
- MM20086.95
- RSI 1439.0
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+1.59%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+8.04%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-3.09%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.10 % per day
Volatility change
+11.77%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5812.00 (1) | 5680.86 (3) | 4 541 081 (2) | 1 586 609 (3) | 1 110 831 (1) |
| 2027 | 6501.99 (4) | 6524.12 (3) | 5 358 433 (3) | 1 844 010 (3) | 1 277 383 (2) |
Amounts in millions of KZT, EPS in KZT per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 124 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KSPI | 7.8 | 7.4 | 16.9Md USD | — | 32.1 % | 16.8 % | 35.9 % | — | 19.6 % | 17.8 % | ||
| 2 | SYF | 7.1 | 7.4 | 22.4Md USD | 7.5x | 17.6 % | -0.8 % | 11.2 % | 0.0x | 42.6 % | -3.4 % | ||
| 3 | 511218 | 6.4 | 5.8 | 24.2Md USD | 16.7x | 24.4 % | 15.8 % | 5.0 % | 4.9x | — | 20.7 % | ||
| 4 | AXP | 6.2 | 6.3 | 217Md USD | 18.2x | 14.1 % | 11.7 % | — | — | — | -12.2 % | ||
| 5 | COF | 6.0 | 5.3 | 119Md USD | 11.6x | 17.1 % | 3.1 % | — | — | — | -10.5 % | ||
| 6 | BAJFINANCE | 5.7 | 5.0 | 70.7Md USD | 31.8x | 24.0 % | 22.9 % | 4.4 % | 5.8x | — | 9.9 % | ||
| 7 | 511243 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 16.3Md USD | 25.5x | 17.8 % | 23.4 % | 2.6 % | 7.8x | — | 6.9 % | ||
| 8 | TATACAP | 5.4 | 4.4 | 15.9Md USD | 25.3x | 17.5 % | 18.3 % | 2.1 % | 8.9x | — | 9.1 % | ||
| 9 | SOFI | 5.2 | 4.6 | 21.1Md USD | 29.9x | 12.1 % | 41.9 % | — | — | — | -46.2 % |
