Overall verdict
Neutral
6.0/10
1-year performance
-11.68%
Score breakdown
Down 11.7% over 1 year, 24% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Shareholder return 8.4/10. Weakest: Profitability 3.8/10.
23 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One, National Association, which engages in the provision of various financial products and services in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The company accepts checking accounts, money market deposits, negotiable order of withdrawals, savings deposits, time deposits, and sweep accounts.
Its loan products include credit card and personal loans; auto and retail banking loans; and commercial and multifamily real estate, and commercial and industrial loans. The company offers credit and debit card products; bank lending; and provides advisory, capital markets, net interchange, treasury management, and depository services. It serves consumers, small businesses, and commercial clients through digital channels, branches, cafés, and other distribution channels located in New York, Louisiana, Texas, Maryland, Virginia, New Jersey, and the District of Columbia. Capital One Financial Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Consumer Finance
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Richard Fairbank
Founded
1988
Employees
76 300
Revenue / employee
697 955 USD
Next earnings
January 21, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.49%
- FMR LLC1.89%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp1.05%
- Rest of the register94.56%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
259.63 USD
52-week low
174.24 USD
1-year performance
-11.68%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-20.41%
Declining
Drawdown
-25.09%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
24% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 2.5 times harder.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Capital One | $43,389 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.5 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-85 % between February 2006 and February 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $1,464. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 64 months.
Capital One earned less than the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Capital One: $43,389
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 225.00 USD - 290.00 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -15.73% per year; the company grows at -4.88%.
Net margin 17.1%, ROE 9.3%.
Net margin
17.14%
Fair
Sector 15.83%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
—
Return on equity (ROE)
9.30%
Low
Sector 14.21%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
6.46%
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
33.16%
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.94x
Margin stability
9.8 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
4.0/10Revenue up 3.1% over 1 year, 16.9% a year over 5, EPS -4.9% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
32.8Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
3.11%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
80.67%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
16.34%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
-4.88%
Declining
EPS revisions (3 months)
6.00%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
6.4/10P/E 11.5x, forward P/E 11.1x, PEG 0.02. The multiple sits in the 90th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
11.5x
Fair
Sector 10.9x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
11.1x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
—
Sector 12.0x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.02
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.67|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
252.00 USD
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 10% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
117Md USD
Not scored for a bank or an insurer: its solidity is measured by regulatory capital ratios, which we do not collect.
Net debt / EBITDA
—
Gearing (net debt / equity)
40.47%
Cash
—
Net debt
44.4Md USD
Equity
110Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 195.84 USD
- MM20202.90
- MM50202.91
- MM200200.30
- RSI 1440.0
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-1.95%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-3.53%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-3.29%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.55 % per day
Volatility change
-6.16%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17.56 (14) | 21.62 (19) | 64 070 (15) | 40 790 (1) | 10 814 (12) |
| 2027 | 20.70 (15) | 23.86 (19) | 67 442 (16) | 43 640 (1) | 11 725 (13) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 3, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 124 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KSPI | 8.3 | 8.2 | 17.4Md USD | 7.9x | 32.1 % | 16.8 % | 35.9 % | — | — | 20.4 % | ||
| 2 | SYF | 7.1 | 7.4 | 22.4Md USD | 7.5x | 17.6 % | -0.8 % | 11.2 % | 0.0x | 42.6 % | -3.4 % | ||
| 3 | 511218 | 6.4 | 5.8 | 24.2Md USD | 16.7x | 24.4 % | 15.8 % | 5.0 % | 4.9x | — | 20.7 % | ||
| 4 | AXP | 6.2 | 6.3 | 217Md USD | 18.2x | 14.1 % | 11.7 % | — | — | — | -12.2 % | ||
| 5 | COF | 6.0 | 5.3 | 117Md USD | 11.5x | 17.1 % | 3.1 % | — | — | — | -11.7 % | ||
| 6 | BAJFINANCE | 5.7 | 5.0 | 70.7Md USD | 31.8x | 24.0 % | 22.9 % | 4.4 % | 5.8x | — | 9.9 % | ||
| 7 | 511243 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 16.3Md USD | 25.5x | 17.8 % | 23.4 % | 2.6 % | 7.8x | — | 6.9 % | ||
| 8 | TATACAP | 5.4 | 4.4 | 15.9Md USD | 25.3x | 17.5 % | 18.3 % | 2.1 % | 8.9x | — | 9.1 % | ||
| 9 | SOFI | 5.2 | 4.6 | 21.1Md USD | 29.9x | 12.1 % | 41.9 % | — | — | — | -46.2 % |
