Overall verdict
Neutral
5.1/10
1-year performance
+36.52%
Score breakdown
Up 36.5% over 1 year, 93% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Growth 7.4/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 1.2/10.
29 analysts, target -0.0% vs the price.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., a hospitality company, engages in managing, franchising, and leasing hotels and resorts. It operates in two segments, Management and Franchise, and Ownership. The company engages in the hotel management and licensing of its brand names, trademarks, and service marks.
It operates a brand portfolio of luxury, lifestyle, full service, focused service, all-suites hotel, and timeshare under the Waldorf Astoria Hotels & Resorts, LXR Hotels & Resorts, Conrad Hotels & Resorts, Signia by Hilton, NoMad, Canopy by Hilton, Graduate by Hilton, Tempo by Hilton, Motto by Hilton, Hilton Hotels & Resorts, DoubleTree by Hilton, Curio Collection by Hilton, Tapestry Collection by Hilton, Outset Collection by Hilton, Embassy Suites by Hilton, Homewood Suites by Hilton, Home2 Suites by Hilton, LivSmart Studios by Hilton, Hilton Garden Inn, Hampton by Hilton, Tru by Hilton, Spark by Hilton, Hilton Grand Vacations, Small Luxury Hotels of the World, AutoCamp, and Hilton Honors brand names.
The company has operations in North America, South America, and Central America, including various Caribbean nations; Europe, the Middle East, and Africa; and the Asia Pacific. Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Christopher Nassetta
Founded
1919
Employees
182 000
Revenue / employee
65 835 USD
Next earnings
February 3, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- FMR LLC5.64%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.49%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.57%
- Rest of the register91.30%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
381.34 USD
52-week low
263.94 USD
1-year performance
36.52%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
30.02%
Rising
Drawdown
-2.19%
Near its high
Position in the 52-week range
93% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 13 years, from December 2013 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned much more, but shaking 2.0 times harder: once that risk is counted, it did about as well as the ETF.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2013 are worth today
| Hilton Worldwide | $82,793 |
| World ETF | $37,124 |
| S&P 500 | $50,631 |
| Risk-free placement | $12,830 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.0 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-51 % between January 2020 and April 2020. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $4,918. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 9 months.
Hilton Worldwide earned 2 times as much as the world ETF since 2013
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2013, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Hilton Worldwide: $82,793
- World ETF: $37,124
- S&P 500: $50,631
- Risk-free placement: $12,830
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 169.39 USD - 174.59 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 15.02% per year; the company grows at 22.71%.
Gross margin 28.6%, net margin 13.4%, ROIC 24.1%, ROE -29.5%.
Net margin
13.40%
High
Sector 9.68%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
28.57%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
-29.50%
Negative
Sector 8.47%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
24.05%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
15.22%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.14x
High
Margin stability
6.0 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.4/10Revenue up 6.6% over 1 year, 22.7% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
12.7Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
6.57%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
36.58%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
33.83%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
1.14%
Revised up
Valuation
1.7/10P/E 50.4x, forward P/E 44.2x, EV/EBITDA 29.3x, PEG 6.96. The multiple sits in the 78th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
50.4x
Very expensive
Sector 24.7x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
44.2x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
29.3x
Very expensive
Sector 12.5x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
6.96
Very expensive
Sector 0.90|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
171.99 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 22% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
83.0Md USD
Financial strength
2.0/10Cash covers 5.9% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 4.4x.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.4x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
—
Cash
830M USD
Cash / market cap
1.00%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
5.94%
Stretched
Interest coverage
4.4x
Tight
Net debt
13.1Md USD
Equity
-6.6Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 379.76 USD
- MM20357.48
- MM50331.33
- MM200323.45
- RSI 1472.1
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+2.01%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+5.03%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+4.36%
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.85 % per day
Volatility change
+29.82%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.45 (13) | 9.14 (26) | 12 986 (20) | 4 073 (24) | 1 915 (14) |
| 2027 | 9.98 (15) | 10.46 (29) | 14 116 (21) | 4 481 (25) | 2 169 (15) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 132 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EXPE | 7.8 | 8.6 | 31.2Md USD | 15.2x | 13.0 % | 11.9 % | 33.3 % | -0.3x | 12.0 % | -3.1 % | ||
| 2 | BKNG | 7.4 | 7.6 | 119Md USD | 17.3x | 25.5 % | -1.3 % | 71.9 % | 0.2x | 7.8 % | -19.5 % | ||
| 3 | ABNB | 6.8 | 6.2 | 107Md USD | 33.8x | 23.0 % | 17.7 % | 31.3 % | -3.3x | 4.7 % | 50.6 % | ||
| 4 | VIK | 6.7 | 5.7 | 40.2Md USD | 29.9x | 19.3 % | 16.5 % | 20.3 % | 1.1x | 2.3 % | 51.6 % | ||
| 5 | TCOM | 6.4 | 7.3 | 29.0Md USD | 9.1x | 36.1 % | 12.1 % | 14.7 % | -2.9x | — | -40.8 % | ||
| 6 | CCL | 6.1 | 6.3 | 41.3Md USD | 13.4x | 11.4 % | 3.5 % | 8.3 % | 3.6x | 7.6 % | 14.7 % | ||
| 7 | RCL | 5.9 | 5.7 | 89.7Md USD | 19.8x | 23.8 % | 8.8 % | 15.1 % | 3.2x | 1.7 % | 26.7 % | ||
| 8 | HLT | 5.1 | 4.0 | 83.0Md USD | 50.4x | 13.4 % | 6.6 % | 24.1 % | 4.4x | 2.3 % | 36.5 % | ||
| 9 | MAR | 5.0 | 4.3 | 111Md USD | 42.8x | 9.7 % | 8.0 % | 21.8 % | 3.9x | 3.2 % | 47.7 % |
