Overall verdict
Buy
7.7/10
1-year performance
-1.79%
Score breakdown
Down 1.8% over 1 year, 50% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 9.6/10. Weakest: Growth 6.6/10.
37 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through B2C, B2B, and trivago segments. The B2C segment includes Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel brand offers various travel products and services; Hotels.com for lodging accommodations; Vrbo, an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations; and Orbitz, Travelocity, ebookers, and Wotif Group.
The B2B segment provides various travel and non-travel companies including airlines, offline travel agents, online retailers, corporate travel management, and financial institutions who leverage its travel technology and tap into its diverse supply to augment their offerings and market Expedia Group rates and availabilities to its travelers. The trivago segment sends referrals to online travel companies and travel service providers from hotel metasearch websites.
In addition, it provides brand advertising through online and offline channels, loyalty programs, mobile apps, and search engine marketing, as well as metasearch, social media, direct and personalized traveler communications on its websites, and through direct e-mail communication with its travelers. The company was formerly known as Expedia, Inc. and changed its name to Expedia Group, Inc. in March 2018. Expedia Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Ariane Gorin
Founded
1996
Employees
16 000
Revenue / employee
920 813 USD
Next earnings
February 4, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.25%
- FMR LLC1.36%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.53%
- Rest of the register94.86%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
342.00 USD
52-week low
185.34 USD
1-year performance
-1.79%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-6.93%
Declining
Drawdown
-22.98%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
50% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 21 years, from July 2005 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 3.1 times harder.
$10,000 placed at the end of July 2005 are worth today
| Expedia Group | $58,737 |
| World ETF | $60,101 |
| S&P 500 | $90,019 |
| Risk-free placement | $14,529 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.1 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-76Â % between October 2007 and February 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $2,440. The world ETF, at worst: -53Â %. Back to its high in 58 months.
Expedia Group kept pace with the world ETF since 2005
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of July 2005, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Expedia Group: $58,737
- World ETF: $60,101
- S&P 500: $90,019
- Risk-free placement: $14,529
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 404.03 USD - 430.00 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -6.49% per year; the company grows at 23.16%.
Gross margin 84.9%, net margin 13.0%, ROIC 33.3%, ROE 141.0%.
Net margin
12.99%
High
Sector 9.68%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
84.93%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
140.98%
Exceptional
Sector 8.46%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
33.30%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
23.09%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.78x
Exceptional
Margin stability
16.7 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.6/10Revenue up 11.9% over 1 year, 23.2% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
16.2Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
11.92%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
26.28%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
15.08%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
2.30%
Revised up
Valuation
8.9/10P/E 15.4x, forward P/E 13.9x, EV/EBITDA 8.7x, PEG 0.24. The multiple sits in the 45th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
15.4x
Cheap
Sector 26.6x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
13.9x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
8.7x
Fair
Sector 12.5x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.24
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.49|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
417.02 USD
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 45% lowest valuations
In line with its history
Market cap
31.6Md USD
Financial strength
9.3/10Cash covers 125.0% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.3x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-48.83%
Net cash
Cash
7.1Md USD
Cash / market cap
22.49%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
125.04%
Net cash
Interest coverage
7.9x
Solid
Net debt
-1.4Md USD
Equity
2.9Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 253.66 USD
- MM20283.64
- MM50279.13
- MM200259.07
- RSI 1440.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.14%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+3.00%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-5.49%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
4.95 % per day
Volatility change
+80.08%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18.99 (28) | 21.19 (30) | 16 392 (35) | 4 211 (33) | 2 326 (26) |
| 2027 | 21.62 (29) | 24.82 (31) | 17 460 (35) | 4 589 (33) | 2 559 (27) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 132 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EXPE | 7.7 | 8.5 | 31.6Md USD | 15.4x | 13.0 % | 11.9 % | 33.3 % | -0.3x | 11.8 % | -1.8 % | ||
| 2 | BKNG | 7.4 | 7.6 | 119Md USD | 17.3x | 25.5 % | -1.3 % | 71.9 % | 0.2x | 7.8 % | -19.5 % | ||
| 3 | ABNB | 6.8 | 6.2 | 107Md USD | 33.8x | 23.0 % | 17.7 % | 31.3 % | -3.3x | 4.7 % | 50.6 % | ||
| 4 | VIK | 6.7 | 5.7 | 40.2Md USD | 29.9x | 19.3 % | 16.5 % | 20.3 % | 1.1x | 2.3 % | 51.6 % | ||
| 5 | TCOM | 6.4 | 7.3 | 29.0Md USD | 9.1x | 36.1 % | 12.1 % | 14.7 % | -2.9x | — | -40.8 % | ||
| 6 | CCL | 6.1 | 6.3 | 41.3Md USD | 13.4x | 11.4 % | 3.5 % | 8.3 % | 3.6x | 7.6 % | 14.7 % | ||
| 7 | RCL | 5.9 | 5.7 | 89.7Md USD | 19.8x | 23.8 % | 8.8 % | 15.1 % | 3.2x | 1.7 % | 26.7 % | ||
| 8 | HLT | 5.1 | 4.0 | 83.9Md USD | 50.9x | 13.4 % | 6.6 % | 24.1 % | 4.4x | 2.3 % | 37.6 % | ||
| 9 | MAR | 5.0 | 4.3 | 111Md USD | 42.8x | 9.7 % | 8.0 % | 21.8 % | 3.9x | 3.2 % | 47.7 % |
