Overall verdict
Neutral
4.0/10
1-year performance
+32.40%
Score breakdown
Up 32.4% over 1 year, 23% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Growth 10.0/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 0.0/10.
11 analysts, target +0.4% vs the price.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers in United States. The company offers integrated launch and space services technology that is committed to enabling launch, transit, and operations in space. It also provides Launch solutions, such as Alpha, a responsive launch services; and Eclipse, a medium-lift launch vehicles.
In addition, the company offers spacecraft solutions platforms, including Blue Ghost, a lunar delivery and operation service; and Elytra, which provides space maneuverability and servicing. Further, it provides software and sensor solutions; national security software and big data processing capabilities; and responsive space services, as well as Ocula, a lunar imaging service. Firefly Aerospace Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Leander, Texas.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Aerospace and Defense
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Jason Kim
Founded
2017
Employees
1 409
Revenue / employee
113 453 USD
Next earnings
March 19, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.27%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.15%
- FMR LLC0.11%
- Rest of the register98.47%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
62.17 USD
52-week low
14.45 USD
1-year performance
32.40%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
10.34%
Rising
Drawdown
-58.98%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
23% of range
Gross margin 16.1%, the company loses 88.4% of its revenue, ROIC -29.6%, ROE -31.0%.
Net margin
-88.37%
Negative
Sector 5.60%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
16.12%
Low
Return on equity (ROE)
-30.99%
Negative
Sector 7.94%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
-29.64%
Negative
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
-95.33%
Negative
Revenue to net income
Growth
10.0/10Revenue up 259.6% over 1 year.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
367M USD
Revenue growth (1y)
259.61%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
—
EPS growth (1y)
—
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
—
Valuation
0.0/10The company loses money, so no valuation multiple can be read: a negative P/E is not a discount.
P/E (TTM)
—
N/A (loss)
Sector 39.6x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E (adjusted)
—
N/A (loss)
EV / EBITDA
—
N/A (loss)
Sector 19.1x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
—
Sector 1.43|S&P 0.91
Market cap
4.4Md USD
Financial strength
3.5/10Cash covers 740.8% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.2x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.2x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-40.45%
Net cash
Cash
535M USD
Cash / market cap
12.21%
Solid
Cash / total debt
740.78%
Net cash
Interest coverage
-53.7x
Stretched
Net debt
-463M USD
Equity
1.1Md USD
Closed daily candles, 15 months
Last close on November 10, 2026: 23.70 USD
- MM2018.41
- MM5020.43
- MM20026.83
- RSI 1462.1
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-3.42%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-2.29%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-10.77%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
10.50 % per day
Volatility change
+76.24%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.14 (3) | -1.84 (5) | 444 (2) | -275 (6) | -362 (8) |
| 2027 | -1.48 (9) | -1.71 (6) | 715 (8) | -171 (6) | -260 (8) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 213 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SAF | 8.0 | 8.4 | 145Md USD | 33.5x | 11.6 % | 12.5 % | 23.3 % | -0.3x | 4.1 % | 1.2 % | ||
| 2 | RR. | 7.2 | 7.2 | 146Md USD | 38.2x | 13.1 % | 12.2 % | 50.8 % | -0.5x | 3.9 % | 15.4 % | ||
| 3 | AIR | 7.1 | 7.5 | 183Md USD | 27.0x | 8.0 % | -2.0 % | 18.0 % | -0.4x | 2.5 % | -0.3 % | ||
| 4 | RTX | 6.8 | 6.9 | 272Md USD | 32.7x | 8.8 % | 11.1 % | 8.1 % | 2.5x | 3.5 % | 12.6 % | ||
| 5 | GE | 6.7 | 6.1 | 354Md USD | 39.6x | 17.5 % | 15.9 % | 25.0 % | 1.0x | 2.3 % | 10.4 % | ||
| 6 | LMT | 6.6 | 7.0 | 141Md USD | 21.7x | 8.2 % | 11.3 % | 22.7 % | 2.0x | 5.9 % | 35.0 % | ||
| 7 | GD | 6.4 | 6.7 | 99.2Md USD | 21.6x | 8.2 % | 12.9 % | 13.7 % | 1.2x | 5.8 % | 5.1 % | ||
| 8 | FLY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 4.4Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -88.4 % | 259.6 % | -29.6 % | 1.2x | -8.0 % | 32.4 % | ||
| 9 | BA | 3.9 | 3.2 | 138Md USD | 19.2x | 8.1 % | 3.9 % | 18.2 % | 11.7x | 0.0 % | -10.4 % |
