Overall verdict
Buy
7.0/10
1-year performance
+7.26%
Score breakdown
Up 7.3% over 1 year, 32% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 9.2/10. Weakest: Financial strength 3.7/10.
22 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Howmet Aerospace Inc. provides advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries in the United States, Japan, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Italy, Canada, Poland, China, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. The Engine Products segment offers airfoils and seamless rolled rings primarily for aircraft engines and industrial gas turbines; and rotating and structural parts.
The Fastening Systems segment produces aerospace fastening systems, as well as commercial transportation, industrial, and other fasteners; and latches, bearings, fluid fittings, and installation tools. The Engineered Structures segment provides titanium ingots and mill products, aluminum and nickel forgings, and machined components and assemblies for aerospace and defense applications; and titanium forgings, extrusions, and forming and machining services for airframe, wing, aero-engine, and landing gear components.
The Forged Wheels segment offers forged aluminum wheels and related products for heavy-duty trucks and commercial transportation markets. The company was formerly known as Arconic Inc. Howmet Aerospace Inc. was founded in 1888 and is based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Aerospace and Defense
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
John Plant
Founded
1888
Employees
25 430
Revenue / employee
324 499 USD
Next earnings
February 11, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- FMR LLC3.62%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.43%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.84%
- Rest of the register93.11%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
310.00 USD
52-week low
183.52 USD
1-year performance
7.26%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
8.87%
Rising
Drawdown
-27.84%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
32% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 2.7 times harder.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Howmet Aerospace | $36,174 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.7 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-86 % between May 2001 and February 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $1,444. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 183 months.
Howmet Aerospace earned less than the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Howmet Aerospace: $36,174
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 120.38 USD - 134.41 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 15.94% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 33.3%, net margin 21.1%, ROIC 22.3%, ROE 37.7%.
Net margin
21.10%
Exceptional
Sector 5.57%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
33.30%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
37.65%
Exceptional
Sector 7.86%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
22.32%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
19.83%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.94x
High
Margin stability
7.1 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.6/10Revenue up 29.4% over 1 year, 9.4% a year over 5, EPS 50.8% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
9.7Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
29.39%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
45.72%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
49.49%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
50.77%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
8.76%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
4.8/10P/E 43.8x, forward P/E 39.5x, EV/EBITDA 30.4x, PEG 0.86. The multiple sits in the 59th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
43.8x
Fair
Sector 39.6x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
39.5x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
30.4x
Expensive
Sector 19.1x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.86
Growth unpriced
Sector 1.43|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
128.53 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 41% highest valuations
In line with its history
Market cap
89.0Md USD
Financial strength
3.7/10Cash covers 11.0% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.0x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
71.38%
Tight
Cash
508M USD
Cash / market cap
0.57%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
10.99%
Stretched
Interest coverage
13.4x
Very solid
Net debt
4.1Md USD
Equity
5.8Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 219.05 USD
- MM20207.78
- MM50221.95
- MM200248.44
- RSI 1453.1
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.31%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+3.53%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-11.69%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
3.92 % per day
Volatility change
+72.93%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.66 (14) | 5.50 (22) | 10 303 (21) | 3 342 (18) | 2 274 (15) |
| 2027 | 6.70 (16) | 6.65 (21) | 11 693 (20) | 3 913 (17) | 2 649 (14) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 2, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 213 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SAF | 8.0 | 8.4 | 145Md USD | 33.5x | 11.6 % | 12.5 % | 23.3 % | -0.3x | 4.1 % | 1.2 % | ||
| 2 | RR. | 7.2 | 7.2 | 146Md USD | 38.2x | 13.1 % | 12.2 % | 50.8 % | -0.5x | 3.9 % | 15.4 % | ||
| 3 | AIR | 7.1 | 7.5 | 183Md USD | 27.0x | 8.0 % | -2.0 % | 18.0 % | -0.4x | 2.5 % | -0.3 % | ||
| 4 | HWM | 7.0 | 6.4 | 89.0Md USD | 43.8x | 21.1 % | 29.4 % | 22.3 % | 1.0x | 2.2 % | 7.3 % | ||
| 5 | RTX | 6.8 | 6.9 | 272Md USD | 32.7x | 8.8 % | 11.1 % | 8.1 % | 2.5x | 3.5 % | 12.6 % | ||
| 6 | GE | 6.7 | 6.1 | 354Md USD | 39.6x | 17.5 % | 15.9 % | 25.0 % | 1.0x | 2.3 % | 10.4 % | ||
| 7 | LMT | 6.6 | 7.0 | 141Md USD | 21.7x | 8.2 % | 11.3 % | 22.7 % | 2.0x | 5.9 % | 35.0 % | ||
| 8 | GD | 6.4 | 6.7 | 99.2Md USD | 21.6x | 8.2 % | 12.9 % | 13.7 % | 1.2x | 5.8 % | 5.1 % | ||
| 9 | BA | 3.9 | 3.2 | 138Md USD | 19.2x | 8.1 % | 3.9 % | 18.2 % | 11.7x | 0.0 % | -10.4 % |
