Overall verdict
Neutral
6.0/10
1-year performance
+29.55%
Score breakdown
Up 29.6% over 1 year, 60% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Shareholder return 7.7/10. Weakest: Financial strength 2.5/10.
31 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
Dollar General Corporation, a discount retailer, provides various merchandise products in the southern, southwestern, midwestern, and eastern United States. It offers consumable products, including paper towels, bath tissues, paper dinnerware, trash and storage bags, disinfectants, and laundry products ; packaged food, such as cereals, pasta, canned soups, canned meats, fruits and vegetables, condiments, spices, sugar, and flour ;
and perishables, including milk, eggs, bread, refrigerated and frozen food, beer, wine, and produce ; candy, cookies, crackers, salty snacks, and carbonated beverages ; over-the-counter medicines and personal care products including soap, body wash, shampoo, cosmetics, dental hygiene and foot care products ; pet supplies and pet food ; and tobacco products. The company also provides seasonal products comprising holiday items, toys, batteries, small electronics, greeting cards, stationery, prepaid phones and accessories, gardening supplies, hardware, automotive, and home office supplies ;
home products include kitchen supplies, cookware, small appliances, light bulbs, storage containers, frames, candles, craft supplies and kitchen, and bed and bath soft goods ; and apparel products for infants, toddlers, girls, boys, women and men, as well as socks, underwear, disposable diapers, shoes and accessories. The company was formerly known as J.L. Turner & Son, Inc. and changed its name to Dollar General Corporation in 1968. Dollar General Corporation was founded in 1939 and is based in Goodlettsville, Tennessee.
Sector
Consumer Staples
Industry
Consumer Staples Distribution and Retail
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Todd Vasos
Founded
1939
Employees
194 000
Revenue / employee
220 229 USD
Next earnings
December 3, 2026 (Q3 2027)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.79%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.63%
- FMR LLC0.24%
- Rest of the register96.35%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
158.23 USD
52-week low
99.50 USD
1-year performance
29.55%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
1.48%
Rising
Drawdown
-14.84%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
60% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from November 2009 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 2.1 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
$10,000 placed at the end of November 2009 are worth today
| Dollar General | $57,522 |
| World ETF | $57,106 |
| S&P 500 | $92,833 |
| Risk-free placement | $12,873 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.1 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-74Â % between October 2022 and January 2025. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $2,628. The world ETF, at worst: -34Â %. The share has not returned to its high yet.
Dollar General kept pace with the world ETF since 2009
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of November 2009, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Dollar General: $57,522
- World ETF: $57,106
- S&P 500: $92,833
- Risk-free placement: $12,873
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 145.36 USD - 178.00 USD (3 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 1.04% per year; the company grows at -8.39%.
Gross margin 28.7%, net margin 3.9%, ROIC 7.2%, ROE 19.7%.
Net margin
3.90%
High
Sector 3.14%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
28.67%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
19.69%
Exceptional
Sector 13.84%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
7.24%
Fair
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
4.61%
Fair
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.18x
High
Margin stability
1.5 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.5/10Revenue up 5.2% over 1 year, 4.8% a year over 5, EPS -8.4% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
43.6Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
5.24%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
12.89%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
33.36%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
-8.39%
Declining
EPS revisions (3 months)
7.15%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
7.1/10P/E 17.5x, forward P/E 17.0x, EV/EBITDA 9.3x, PEG 0.42. The multiple sits in the 59th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
17.5x
Fair
Sector 21.6x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
17.0x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
9.3x
Fair
Sector 9.4x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.42
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.42|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
159.77 USD
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 41% highest valuations
In line with its history
Market cap
29.7Md USD
Financial strength
2.5/10Cash covers 10.1% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 4.4x.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.4x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
152.70%
Stretched
Cash
1.6Md USD
Cash / market cap
5.35%
Tight
Cash / total debt
10.08%
Stretched
Interest coverage
7.5x
Solid
Net debt
14.2Md USD
Equity
9.3Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 137.31 USD
- MM20133.35
- MM50128.05
- MM200125.35
- RSI 1456.7
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.89%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+1.03%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+3.15%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
3.26 % per day
Volatility change
+43.70%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 7.91 (29) | 7.88 (17) | 44 547 (27) | 3 599 (22) | 1 740 (25) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 30, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 34 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TGT | 6.4 | 6.7 | 73.9Md USD | 16.9x | 4.1 % | 5.3 % | 12.6 % | 1.9x | 6.0 % | 78.0 % | ||
| 2 | COST | 6.0 | 5.2 | 482Md USD | 52.4x | 3.0 % | 11.1 % | 22.5 % | -0.8x | 1.9 % | 18.7 % | ||
| 3 | DG | 6.0 | 6.2 | 29.7Md USD | 17.5x | 3.9 % | 5.2 % | 7.2 % | 4.4x | 6.8 % | 29.6 % | ||
| 4 | WALMEX * | 5.9 | 5.8 | 51.2Md USD | 18.8x | 4.8 % | 3.0 % | 15.8 % | 0.5x | 4.7 % | -13.1 % | ||
| 5 | CA | 5.7 | 5.6 | 11.2Md USD | 13.1x | 1.8 % | 0.7 % | 5.8 % | 3.2x | 25.2 % | 5.3 % | ||
| 6 | BJ | 5.6 | 5.3 | 14.0Md USD | 24.2x | 2.6 % | 15.7 % | 13.2 % | 2.4x | 2.0 % | 20.2 % | ||
| 7 | DLTR | 5.3 | 5.9 | 26.8Md USD | 17.5x | 8.1 % | 7.0 % | 16.4 % | 2.8x | 7.4 % | 34.7 % | ||
| 8 | WMT | 4.8 | 4.0 | 997Md USD | 45.5x | 3.0 % | 5.9 % | 14.7 % | 1.3x | 1.4 % | 22.6 % | ||
| 9 | 8267 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 22.2Md USD | 43.0x | 0.7 % | 12.9 % | 2.0 % | 2.8x | — | -47.0 % |
