Overall verdict
Neutral
6.0/10
1-year performance
+19.35%
Score breakdown
Up 19.4% over 1 year, 98% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 10.0/10. Weakest: Valuation 1.0/10.
41 analysts, target -0.0% vs the price.
Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom, Korea, Australia, Taiwan, China, Spain, France, Sweden, Iceland, and New Zealand. It offers merchandise, including sundries, dry groceries, candies, coolers, freezers, liquor, and tobacco ; non-food merchandise comprising consumer electronics, appliances, small electrics, health and beauty aids, hardware, lawn and garden, sporting goods, tires, toys and seasonal, automotive, stamps, tickets, apparel, furniture, domestics, housewares, special order kiosks, and jewelry ;
and fresh food, such as meat, produce, deli, and bakery products. The company is also involved in warehouse ancillary operations, which include gasoline, pharmacies, food courts, optical, hearing aids, and tire installation centers. In addition, it engages in e-commerce, business centers, travel, and other businesses.
Further, the company operates e-commerce sites; and offers branded and private-label products in various categories. The company was formerly known as Costco Companies, Inc. and changed its name to Costco Wholesale Corporation in August 1999. Costco Wholesale Corporation was founded in 1976 and is based in Issaquah, Washington.
Sector
Consumer Staples
Industry
Consumer Staples Distribution and Retail
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Ron Vachris
Founded
1976
Employees
355 000
Revenue / employee
853 955 USD
Next earnings
December 2, 2026
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.43%
- FMR LLC1.04%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.70%
- Rest of the register95.83%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
1096.50 USD
52-week low
844.06 USD
1-year performance
19.35%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
26.88%
Rising
Drawdown
-0.35%
Near its high
Position in the 52-week range
98% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Costco Wholesale | $381,634 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.4 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-40 % between May 2008 and February 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $5,991. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 22 months.
Costco Wholesale earned 6 times as much as the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Costco Wholesale: $381,634
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 472.83 USD - 489.44 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 17.44% per year; the company grows at 13.00%.
Gross margin 12.8%, net margin 3.0%, ROIC 22.5%, ROE 28.4%.
Net margin
3.04%
Fair
Sector 3.32%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
12.82%
Low
Return on equity (ROE)
28.40%
Exceptional
Sector 13.84%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
22.45%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
3.09%
Low
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.02x
Fair
Margin stability
0.3 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.0/10Revenue up 11.1% over 1 year, 9.1% a year over 5, EPS 13.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
303Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
11.10%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
25.12%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
14.95%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
13.00%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
0.57%
Revised up
Valuation
1.0/10P/E 52.6x, forward P/E 47.9x, EV/EBITDA 36.9x, PEG 4.05. The multiple sits in the 66th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
52.6x
Very expensive
Sector 19.1x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
47.9x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
36.9x
Very expensive
Sector 9.4x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
4.05
Very expensive
Sector 0.95|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
481.13 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 34% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
484Md USD
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 209.2% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.8x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.8x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-31.06%
Net cash
Cash
21.3Md USD
Cash / market cap
4.40%
Tight
Cash / total debt
209.22%
Net cash
Interest coverage
77.1x
Very solid
Net debt
-11.1Md USD
Equity
35.8Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 11, 2026: 1,087.52 USD
- MM201,020.55
- MM50960.23
- MM200974.26
- RSI 1473.2
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+1.02%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+1.66%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+3.07%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
Yes
20-day volatility
1.40 % per day
Volatility change
+11.01%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 22.83 (34) | 22.79 (29) | 329 726 (34) | 15 852 (21) | 10 134 (31) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 34 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TGT | 6.4 | 6.7 | 73.9Md USD | 16.9x | 4.1 % | 5.3 % | 12.6 % | 1.9x | 6.0 % | 78.0 % | ||
| 2 | COST | 6.0 | 5.2 | 484Md USD | 52.6x | 3.0 % | 11.1 % | 22.5 % | -0.8x | 1.9 % | 19.4 % | ||
| 3 | DG | 5.9 | 6.2 | 30.3Md USD | 17.9x | 3.9 % | 5.2 % | 7.2 % | 4.4x | 6.6 % | 37.0 % | ||
| 4 | WALMEX * | 5.9 | 5.8 | 51.2Md USD | 18.8x | 4.8 % | 3.0 % | 15.8 % | 0.5x | 4.7 % | -13.1 % | ||
| 5 | CA | 5.7 | 5.6 | 11.2Md USD | 13.1x | 1.8 % | 0.7 % | 5.8 % | 3.2x | 25.2 % | 5.3 % | ||
| 6 | BJ | 5.6 | 5.3 | 14.0Md USD | 24.2x | 2.6 % | 15.7 % | 13.2 % | 2.4x | 2.0 % | 20.2 % | ||
| 7 | DLTR | 5.3 | 5.9 | 26.8Md USD | 17.5x | 8.1 % | 7.0 % | 16.4 % | 2.8x | 7.4 % | 34.7 % | ||
| 8 | WMT | 4.8 | 4.0 | 997Md USD | 45.5x | 3.0 % | 5.9 % | 14.7 % | 1.3x | 1.4 % | 22.6 % | ||
| 9 | 8267 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 22.2Md USD | 43.0x | 0.7 % | 12.9 % | 2.0 % | 2.8x | — | -47.0 % |
