Overall verdict
Neutral
5.7/10
1-year performance
+16.94%
Score breakdown
Up 16.9% over 1 year, 50% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.0/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 0.6/10.
25 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
United Airlines Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in the United States, Canada, Atlantic, the Pacific, and Latin America. It transports people and cargo through its mainline and regional fleets. The company also offers ground handling, flight academy, frequent flyer award non-travel redemptions, and maintenance services for third parties.
In addition, it provides freight and mail transportation services to commercial businesses, freight forwarders, logistics firms, and national postal services, as well as loyalty programs. The company distributes its products through direct channels, such as the Company's website and the Company's mobile app; and traditional travel agencies, online travel agencies, and other intermediaries. The company was formerly known as United Continental Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to United Airlines Holdings, Inc. in June 2019. United Airlines Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Passenger Airlines
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
J. Kirby
Founded
1968
Employees
113 200
Revenue / employee
521 820 USD
Next earnings
January 19, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- FMR LLC5.99%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.88%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.39%
- Rest of the register90.74%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
138.77 USD
52-week low
84.64 USD
1-year performance
16.94%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
-0.75%
Rising
Drawdown
-19.47%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
50% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 21 years, from January 2006 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 3.9 times harder.
$10,000 placed at the end of January 2006 are worth today
| United Airlines | $26,553 |
| World ETF | $53,610 |
| S&P 500 | $86,536 |
| Risk-free placement | $14,258 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.9 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-93 % between October 2007 and June 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $712. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 55 months.
United Airlines earned less than the world ETF since 2006
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of January 2006, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- United Airlines: $26,553
- World ETF: $53,610
- S&P 500: $86,536
- Risk-free placement: $14,258
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 116.39 USD - 203.00 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 11.36% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 26.1%, net margin 5.5%, ROIC 8.0%, ROE 22.3%.
Net margin
5.46%
Exceptional
Sector 3.35%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
26.06%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
22.31%
Exceptional
Sector 10.12%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
7.97%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
1.70%
Fair
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.31x
Low
Margin stability
15.5 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
3.1/10Revenue up 17.4% over 1 year, 30.9% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
65.6Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
17.41%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
31.40%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
8.26%
Moderate
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
-31.69%
Sharply revised down
Valuation
6.9/10P/E 10.2x, forward P/E 12.8x, EV/EBITDA 6.8x, PEG 1.13. The multiple sits in the 68th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
10.2x
Fair
Sector 13.8x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
12.8x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
6.8x
Fair
Sector 6.2x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
1.13
Fair
Sector 0.16|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
166.07 USD
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 32% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
36.3Md USD
Financial strength
5.3/10Cash covers 42.7% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 2.4x.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4x
Solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
110.63%
Stretched
Cash
14.7Md USD
Cash / market cap
40.36%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
42.73%
Solid
Interest coverage
3.6x
Tight
Net debt
19.6Md USD
Equity
17.8Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 120.56 USD
- MM20105.30
- MM50107.77
- MM200108.16
- RSI 1464.9
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.76%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+1.37%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-5.75%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
3.62 % per day
Volatility change
+29.73%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.72 (7) | 7.08 (24) | 68 691 (23) | 6 838 (8) | 2 834 (6) |
| 2027 | 11.92 (9) | 11.75 (24) | 73 555 (24) | 9 150 (9) | 3 805 (8) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 10, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 65 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LTM | 7.4 | 7.4 | 14.3Md USD | 9.5x | 9.8 % | 14.8 % | 16.8 % | 1.4x | 11.0 % | 16.9 % | ||
| 2 | IAG | 7.0 | 7.5 | 26.3Md USD | 8.2x | 9.2 % | 4.7 % | 16.2 % | 0.8x | 17.6 % | 20.7 % | ||
| 3 | RYA | 6.9 | 6.8 | 30.6Md USD | 15.3x | 11.3 % | 4.0 % | 16.7 % | -0.5x | 5.6 % | -4.2 % | ||
| 4 | LUV | 6.2 | 6.5 | 22.8Md USD | 22.2x | 3.3 % | 21.2 % | 8.6 % | 1.2x | -2.5 % | 41.7 % | ||
| 5 | UAL | 5.7 | 5.5 | 36.3Md USD | 10.2x | 5.5 % | 17.4 % | 8.0 % | 2.4x | 3.1 % | 16.9 % | ||
| 6 | DAL | 5.6 | 5.1 | 60.1Md USD | 18.3x | 4.6 % | 21.1 % | 8.9 % | 1.9x | 5.0 % | 56.2 % | ||
| 7 | C6L | 4.9 | 4.9 | 17.5Md USD | 19.0x | 5.8 % | 5.0 % | 4.6 % | 0.1x | 11.5 % | 8.0 % | ||
| 8 | INDIGO | 3.8 | 3.0 | 22.3Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -4.4 % | 25.9 % | -5.5 % | 1.3x | — | -1.9 % | ||
| 9 | 753 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 15.8Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -1.3 % | 2.9 % | -1.1 % | 8.5x | 7.6 % | -28.3 % |
