Overall verdict
Buy
7.8/10
1-year performance
+62.60%
Score breakdown
Up 62.6% over 1 year, 54% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 9.6/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 4.5/10.
31 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Twilio Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides customer engagement platform solutions in the United States and internationally. The company provides various application programming interfaces and software solutions for communications between customers and end users, including messaging, voice, email, video interactions, digital engagement centers, marketing campaigns, and user authentication and identity solutions.
It also offers software products to build direct and personalized relationships with their end users, such as Segment, a platform that provides tools to harness the power of contextual data by unifying real-time information collected throughout each customer's journey into a unique profile. Twilio Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Sector
Information Technology
Industry
IT Services
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Khozema Shipchandler
Founded
2008
Employees
5 587
Revenue / employee
906 966 USD
Next earnings
February 12, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- FMR LLC8.77%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.86%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.61%
- Rest of the register88.76%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
308.40 USD
52-week low
105.00 USD
1-year performance
62.60%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
49.69%
Rising
Drawdown
-30.66%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
54% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 10 years, from June 2016 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 4.6 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
$10,000 placed at the end of June 2016 are worth today
| Twilio | $56,173 |
| World ETF | $34,844 |
| S&P 500 | $42,458 |
| Risk-free placement | $12,801 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 4.6 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-90 % between February 2021 and November 2022. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $964. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. The share has not returned to its high yet.
Twilio earned more than the world ETF since 2016
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of June 2016, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Twilio: $56,173
- World ETF: $34,844
- S&P 500: $42,458
- Risk-free placement: $12,801
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 67.01 USD - 187.41 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 10.20% per year; the company grows at 23.53%.
Gross margin 48.1%, net margin 21.8%, ROIC 13.3%, ROE 14.9%.
Net margin
21.82%
Exceptional
Sector 1.90%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
48.08%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
14.91%
Exceptional
Sector 1.93%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
13.29%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
19.05%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.87x
Fair
Margin stability
11.2 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.7/10Revenue up 19.9% over 1 year, 23.5% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
5.8Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
19.93%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
32.43%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
325.81%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
7.91%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
5.7/10P/E 26.9x, forward P/E 23.8x, EV/EBITDA 61.5x, PEG 0.02. The multiple sits in the 83th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
26.9x
Fair
Sector 44.3x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
23.8x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
61.5x
Very expensive
Sector 16.8x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.02
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.78|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
127.21 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 17% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
33.1Md USD
Financial strength
9.6/10Cash covers 273.6% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -3.5x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-3.5x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-20.00%
Net cash
Cash
2.9Md USD
Cash / market cap
8.74%
Solid
Cash / total debt
273.55%
Net cash
Interest coverage
12.4x
Very solid
Net debt
-1.8Md USD
Equity
9.2Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 214.21 USD
- MM20238.23
- MM50253.49
- MM200191.72
- RSI 1438.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+6.26%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+24.39%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+2.18%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
5.00 % per day
Volatility change
+16.91%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.99 (9) | 6.16 (28) | 6 070 (26) | 1 291 (10) | 1 422 (13) |
| 2027 | 3.41 (11) | 6.86 (31) | 6 768 (29) | 1 510 (9) | 555 (14) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 9, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 63 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OKTA | 7.8 | 7.3 | 31.9Md USD | 110.1x | 9.6 % | 10.6 % | 4.3 % | -8.6x | 3.1 % | 113.6 % | ||
| 2 | TWLO | 7.8 | 7.3 | 33.1Md USD | 26.9x | 21.8 % | 19.9 % | 13.3 % | -3.5x | 3.4 % | 62.6 % | ||
| 3 | MDB | 6.6 | 5.8 | 27.2Md USD | 477.2x | 2.1 % | 30.5 % | 2.0 % | -105.3x | 2.4 % | -9.5 % | ||
| 4 | SHOP | 6.6 | 6.5 | 192Md USD | 93.0x | 15.1 % | 30.8 % | 16.5 % | -2.9x | 1.4 % | -3.2 % | ||
| 5 | VRSN | 6.0 | 4.7 | 28.2Md USD | 33.8x | 49.1 % | 5.7 % | -43.7 % | 1.1x | 3.6 % | 27.4 % | ||
| 6 | SNOW | 5.7 | 3.3 | 106Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -20.1 % | 35.1 % | -22.1 % | -0.4x | 1.1 % | 13.1 % | ||
| 7 | NET | 5.3 | 2.7 | 112Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -8.7 % | 39.2 % | -5.0 % | -2.7x | 0.3 % | 32.0 % | ||
| 8 | CRWV | 3.7 | 2.9 | 33.5Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -25.6 % | 168.3 % | -6.5 % | 10.6x | -60.9 % | -36.8 % | ||
| 9 | DCII | 3.7 | 4.3 | 19.2Md USD | 318.6x | 34.8 % | 27.5 % | 16.7 % | 1.1x | -0.8 % | -44.1 % |
