Overall verdict
Buy
7.3/10
1-year performance
+88.40%
Score breakdown
Up 88.4% over 1 year, 34% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 9.5/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 4.3/10.
26 analysts, target +0.9% vs the price.
Seagate Technology Holdings plc engages in providing data storage solutions in Singapore, the United States, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company offers External and internal hard drives; external and internal solid-state drives (SSDs); enterprise hard drives and SSDs; data storage systems; network attached storage (NAS) hard drives; video and analytics hard drives; and hyperscale and cloud solution.
It offers its products for Healthcare, Media & Entertainment, Surveillance & Security, and telecommunication industry. The company sells its products primarily to original equipment manufacturers, distributors, and retailers. The company was founded in 1978 and is based in Singapore.
Sector
Information Technology
Industry
Technology Hardware, Storage and Peripherals
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
William Mosley
Founded
1978
Employees
30 000
Revenue / employee
406 500 USD
Next earnings
January 25, 2027 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
1145.00 USD
52-week low
228.61 USD
1-year performance
88.40%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
92.42%
Rising
Drawdown
-52.61%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
34% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 24 years, from December 2002 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned much more, but shaking 3.6 times harder: once that risk is counted, it did about as well as the ETF.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2002 are worth today
| Seagate Technology | $1,311,590 |
| World ETF | $96,252 |
| S&P 500 | $131,807 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,121 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.6 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-86 % between October 2007 and January 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $1,410. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 37 months.
Seagate Technology earned 14 times as much as the world ETF since 2002
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2002, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Seagate Technology: $1,311,590
- World ETF: $96,252
- S&P 500: $131,807
- Risk-free placement: $15,121
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 285.74 USD - 381.99 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 10.28% per year; the company grows at 20.99%.
Gross margin 50.4%, net margin 31.9%, ROIC 92.0%, ROE 259.4%.
Net margin
31.86%
Exceptional
Sector 6.05%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
50.35%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
259.35%
Exceptional
Sector 12.51%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
91.97%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
30.13%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.95x
High
Margin stability
8.5 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
8.5/10Revenue up 61.0% over 1 year, 2.7% a year over 5, EPS 21.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
13.8Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
61.01%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
65.15%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
212.47%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
20.99%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
11.44%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
5.6/10P/E 28.5x, forward P/E 13.7x, EV/EBITDA 21.9x, PEG 1.36. The multiple sits in the 49th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
28.5x
Expensive
Sector 22.6x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
13.7x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
21.9x
Expensive
Sector 11.6x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
1.36
Fair
Sector 0.16|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
333.86 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 49% lowest valuations
In line with its history
Market cap
125Md USD
Financial strength
9.1/10Cash covers 51.3% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.5x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.5x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
37.71%
Solid
Cash
1.4Md USD
Cash / market cap
1.10%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
51.27%
Solid
Interest coverage
22.3x
Very solid
Net debt
1.3Md USD
Equity
3.5Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 501.62 USD
- MM20619.79
- MM50756.58
- MM200699.22
- RSI 1431.6
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+4.96%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+28.78%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-11.32%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
5.96 % per day
Volatility change
+29.38%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 39.56 (10) | 39.98 (22) | 20 321 (21) | 11 377 (12) | 9 195 (11) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 140 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SNDK | 9.0 | 9.6 | 139Md USD | 7.8x | 67.0 % | 377.9 % | 133.0 % | -0.4x | 12.5 % | 272.8 % | ||
| 2 | A005930 | 8.2 | 8.4 | 944Md USD | 6.0x | 35.8 % | 126.9 % | — | -1.1x | — | 103.4 % | ||
| 3 | DELL | 7.5 | 7.3 | 238Md USD | 21.7x | 7.5 % | 56.7 % | 51.2 % | 1.7x | 3.6 % | 166.3 % | ||
| 4 | HPE | 7.3 | 6.0 | 66.7Md USD | 26.2x | 6.7 % | 32.4 % | 6.6 % | 4.1x | 6.2 % | 112.0 % | ||
| 5 | STX | 7.3 | 7.5 | 125Md USD | 28.5x | 31.9 % | 61.0 % | 92.0 % | 0.5x | 3.3 % | 88.4 % | ||
| 6 | WDC | 7.3 | 7.7 | 117Md USD | 12.2x | 68.6 % | 55.5 % | 109.6 % | -0.1x | 3.7 % | 82.6 % | ||
| 7 | 2382 | 7.0 | 6.6 | 37.2Md USD | 12.7x | 3.0 % | 105.6 % | 32.1 % | 1.2x | -2.9 % | -3.3 % | ||
| 8 | AAPL | 6.3 | 5.5 | 5.2T USD | 39.6x | 27.6 % | 11.7 % | 76.1 % | 0.2x | 2.6 % | 31.8 % | ||
| 9 | 1810 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 99.7Md USD | 21.8x | 7.5 % | 0.2 % | 11.3 % | -1.9x | — | -31.0 % |
