Overall verdict
Buy
6.5/10
1-year performance
+17.42%
Score breakdown
Up 17.4% over 1 year, 89% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.8/10. Weakest: Valuation 2.8/10.
40 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
Mastercard Incorporated, a technology company, provides transaction processing and other payment-related products and services in the United States and internationally. The company offers products and services for account holders, merchants, financial institutions, digital partners, businesses, governments, and other organizations, such as programs that enable issuers to provide consumers with credits to defer payments ;
payment products and solutions that allow its customers to access funds in deposit and other accounts ; prepaid programs services ; consumer bill payment services ; and commercial credit, debit, and prepaid payment products and solutions. It also provides solutions that enable businesses or governments to make payments to businesses, including Virtual Card Number, which is generated dynamically from an existing account and leverages the credit limit of the funding account ;
and a platform to optimize supplier payment enablement campaigns for financial institutions. In addition, the company offers Mastercard Move, which partners with digital messaging and payment platforms to enable consumers to send money directly within applications to other consumers; and partners with central banks, fintechs, and financial institutions, as well as enables various cross-border payment flows.
Further, it provides security solutions ; marketing, personalization, and issuer and merchant loyalty services ; business and operational intelligence, advanced analytics and AI, consulting and agentic solutions, and payments and portfolio optimization ; digital and authentication ; processing and gateway solutions ; and other solutions. The company offers payment solutions and services under the MasterCard, Maestro, and Cirrus names. Mastercard Incorporated was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Financial Services
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Michael Miebach
Founded
1966
Employees
39 800
Revenue / employee
825 025 USD
Next earnings
January 28, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- FMR LLC2.74%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.48%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.77%
- Rest of the register94.02%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
681.99 USD
52-week low
464.52 USD
1-year performance
17.42%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
15.21%
Rising
Drawdown
-3.59%
Near its high
Position in the 52-week range
89% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 20 years, from May 2006 to October 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
$10,000 placed at the end of May 2006 are worth today
| Mastercard | $1,572,327 |
| World ETF | $53,037 |
| S&P 500 | $86,186 |
| Risk-free placement | $14,043 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.0 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-56 % between May 2008 and January 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $4,410. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 31 months.
Mastercard earned 30 times as much as the world ETF since 2006
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of May 2006, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Mastercard: $1,572,327
- World ETF: $53,037
- S&P 500: $86,186
- Risk-free placement: $14,043
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 387.00 USD - 450.80 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 12.70% per year; the company grows at 20.99%.
Gross margin 96.6%, net margin 46.7%, ROIC 60.7%, ROE 231.4%.
Net margin
46.69%
Exceptional
Sector 9.04%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
96.61%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
231.40%
Exceptional
Sector 16.02%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
60.75%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
43.75%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.94x
Fair
Margin stability
4.8 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.4/10Revenue up 13.7% over 1 year, 16.5% a year over 5, EPS 21.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
36.3Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
13.74%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
47.77%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
21.75%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
20.99%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
0.74%
Revised up
Valuation
2.8/10P/E 34.4x, forward P/E 33.5x, EV/EBITDA 26.1x, PEG 1.64. The multiple sits in the 59th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
34.4x
Expensive
Sector 22.1x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
33.5x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
26.1x
Very expensive
Sector 11.1x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
1.64
Expensive
Sector 0.63|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
418.90 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 41% highest valuations
In line with its history
Market cap
573Md USD
Financial strength
7.6/10Cash covers 46.1% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.4x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
191.54%
Stretched
Cash
11.0Md USD
Cash / market cap
1.93%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
46.07%
Solid
Interest coverage
26.2x
Very solid
Net debt
12.9Md USD
Equity
6.7Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 658.84 USD
- MM20633.09
- MM50595.66
- MM200540.11
- RSI 1465.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+1.46%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+2.29%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+4.04%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.76 % per day
Volatility change
+31.41%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19.63 (21) | 20.06 (37) | 37 374 (37) | 23 618 (20) | 17 299 (19) |
| 2027 | 23.06 (23) | 23.16 (39) | 42 089 (36) | 26 793 (22) | 19 689 (19) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 68 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CPAY | 6.9 | 7.0 | 29.6Md USD | 25.4x | 23.6 % | 17.9 % | 12.8 % | 0.5x | 4.5 % | 63.6 % | ||
| 2 | V | 6.6 | 5.9 | 789Md USD | 34.8x | 50.8 % | 13.2 % | 41.0 % | 0.2x | 2.8 % | 26.8 % | ||
| 3 | ADYEN | 6.5 | 6.4 | 30.7Md USD | 24.6x | 39.1 % | 18.3 % | 20.3 % | -8.5x | 1.9 % | -35.6 % | ||
| 4 | MA | 6.5 | 5.8 | 573Md USD | 34.4x | 46.7 % | 13.7 % | 60.7 % | 0.4x | 2.8 % | 17.4 % | ||
| 5 | PYPL | 6.4 | 7.3 | 49.4Md USD | 11.3x | 13.7 % | 1.1 % | 15.0 % | 0.2x | 12.7 % | -10.2 % | ||
| 6 | AFRM | 6.3 | 5.8 | 23.0Md USD | 11.8x | 47.2 % | 36.9 % | 15.0 % | 3.4x | 3.6 % | -11.9 % | ||
| 7 | XYZ | 5.7 | 4.3 | 51.8Md USD | 116.0x | 1.8 % | 9.9 % | 1.6 % | 0.2x | 6.7 % | 29.3 % | ||
| 8 | FISV | 5.0 | 4.2 | 34.0Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -18.9 % | -1.3 % | -7.8 % | 3.3x | 9.4 % | 0.5 % | ||
| 9 | GPN | 5.0 | 3.7 | 26.5Md USD | 119.2x | 1.1 % | 63.7 % | 0.3 % | 3.6x | -0.6 % | 30.7 % |
