Overall verdict
Neutral
5.5/10
1-year performance
+17.40%
Score breakdown
Up 17.4% over 1 year, 96% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Growth 5.9/10. Weakest: Profitability 4.1/10.
16 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides technology and data to financial institutions, corporations, and government entities in the United States, the United Kingdom, the European Union, Canada, Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. It operates through three segments: Exchanges, Fixed Income and Data Services, and Mortgage Technology. The Exchanges segment operates regulated marketplace technology for the listing, trading, and clearing of an array of derivatives contracts and financial securities, such as commodities, interest rates, foreign exchange and equities, and corporate and exchange-traded funds, as well as data and connectivity services related to its exchanges and clearing houses.
The Fixed Income and Data Services segment provides fixed income pricing, reference data, indices, analytics, and execution services, as well as global CDS clearing and multi-asset class data delivery technology. The Mortgage Technology segment offers a technology platform that provides customers comprehensive and digital workflow tools to address inefficiencies and mitigate risks that exist in the U.S. residential mortgage market life cycle from application through closing, servicing, and the secondary market. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Capital Markets
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Jeffrey Sprecher
Founded
2000
Employees
12 844
Revenue / employee
952 040 USD
Next earnings
February 4, 2027 (Q4 2026)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.31%
- FMR LLC1.44%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.54%
- Rest of the register95.71%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
180.71 USD
52-week low
121.79 USD
1-year performance
17.40%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
10.65%
Rising
Drawdown
-1.21%
Near its high
Position in the 52-week range
96% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 21 years, from November 2005 to October 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
$10,000 placed at the end of November 2005 are worth today
| Intercontinental | $308,458 |
| World ETF | $57,167 |
| S&P 500 | $88,444 |
| Risk-free placement | $14,355 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.1 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-71 % between December 2007 and February 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $2,949. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 56 months.
Intercontinental earned 5 times as much as the world ETF since 2005
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of November 2005, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Intercontinental: $308,458
- World ETF: $57,167
- S&P 500: $88,444
- Risk-free placement: $14,355
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 167.00 USD - 172.79 USD (3 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 4.26% per year; the company grows at 8.90%.
Gross margin 69.4%, net margin 30.9%, ROIC 8.5%, ROE 14.2%.
Net margin
30.88%
Fair
Sector 28.46%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
69.38%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
14.22%
Fair
Sector 20.23%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
8.54%
Low
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
39.15%
Fair
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.27x
High
Margin stability
10.8 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.9/10Revenue up 11.3% over 1 year, 9.9% a year over 5, EPS 8.9% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
13.5Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
11.31%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
33.23%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
17.45%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
8.90%
Low
EPS revisions (3 months)
0.75%
Revised up
Valuation
4.8/10P/E 24.4x, forward P/E 23.9x, EV/EBITDA 16.8x, PEG 2.74. The multiple sits in the 48th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
24.4x
Fair
Sector 24.4x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
23.9x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
16.8x
Fair
Sector 14.6x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
2.74
Very expensive
Sector 0.50|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
167.26 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 48% lowest valuations
In line with its history
Market cap
99.8Md USD
Financial strength
5.9/10Cash covers 25.7% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 2.7x.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.7x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
59.45%
Solid
Cash
6.2Md USD
Cash / market cap
6.18%
Tight
Cash / total debt
25.71%
Tight
Interest coverage
6.8x
Solid
Net debt
17.8Md USD
Equity
30.0Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 11, 2026: 180.59 USD
- MM20166.00
- MM50159.64
- MM200154.53
- RSI 1472.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.16%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+0.03%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+2.50%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.01 % per day
Volatility change
+35.44%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.48 (4) | 8.18 (15) | 11 111 (13) | 7 571 (8) | 4 213 (3) |
| 2027 | 7.44 (4) | 8.94 (15) | 11 816 (13) | 7 961 (9) | 4 028 (3) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 2, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 59 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 388 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 62.3Md USD | 24.5x | 62.0 % | 1.2 % | 35.5 % | -12.5x | — | -12.1 % | ||
| 2 | SPGI | 6.1 | 5.3 | 138Md USD | 28.3x | 31.7 % | 6.8 % | 13.3 % | 1.6x | 4.1 % | 1.5 % | ||
| 3 | LSEG | 6.0 | 5.6 | 59.6Md USD | 35.2x | 14.6 % | 5.0 % | 4.9 % | 1.7x | 8.4 % | 5.1 % | ||
| 4 | CME | 5.9 | 6.1 | 113Md USD | 25.9x | 63.4 % | 13.0 % | 14.2 % | -0.2x | 3.8 % | 13.1 % | ||
| 5 | DB1 | 5.9 | 5.6 | 63.2Md USD | 28.2x | 27.2 % | 149.8 % | 12.7 % | -2.8x | 5.3 % | 56.0 % | ||
| 6 | MCO | 5.8 | 5.8 | 88.8Md USD | 31.4x | 35.3 % | 0.8 % | 27.0 % | 1.2x | 3.4 % | 5.8 % | ||
| 7 | National Stock | 544937 | 5.8 | 4.7 | 50.9Md USD | — | — | 2.3 % | — | -4.3x | — | 10.5 % | |
| 8 | NDAQ | 5.6 | 4.8 | 60.9Md USD | 30.0x | 22.8 % | 20.9 % | 9.9 % | 2.8x | 3.7 % | 24.8 % | ||
| 9 | ICE | 5.5 | 5.0 | 99.8Md USD | 24.4x | 30.9 % | 11.3 % | 8.5 % | 2.7x | 5.3 % | 17.4 % |
