Overall verdict
Sell
3.4/10
1-year performance
+27.03%
Score breakdown
Up 27.0% over 1 year, 98% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 8.3/10. Weakest: Valuation 0.9/10.
Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the commercial, industrial, infrastructure and construction, and energy businesses in Mexico, North America, Central America, South America, the Caribbean, Europe, and internationally. It operates retail stores and sells various products, including electronics, household items, furniture, clothing, pharmaceuticals, health and beauty products, books, videos, music, toys, sports items, cellphones, technology products, and other merchandise, as well as traditional Mexican food under the Sanborns Cafés, MixUp, iShop, Sears, Dax, and Saks Fifth Avenue brand names.
The company also manufactures and markets products and services, such as electrical and coaxial cables, telecommunications equipment, fiber optics, automotive harnesses, and piping specialized industrial components for construction and infrastructure, energy, automotive, telecommunications, and mining industries under the Condumex brand name ; and engages in the installation of pipelines, fabrication and services for petrochemical, infrastructure projects, civil construction, and housing development.
In addition, it is involved in the exploration, discovery, production, exploitation, refining, transportation, purchasing, and marketing of hydrocarbons and minerals ; transportation of natural gas ; exploration, production, and exploitation of geothermal energy ; and investment, construction, and transmission of gas pipeline. Further, the company engages in the research and development; design of automotive harnesses; development of software; testing of embedded automotive systems; and engineering services. It exports its products. The company was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Industrial Conglomerates
Primary listing
Bmv
Mexico
CEO
Antonio Gomez Garcia
Founded
1980
Employees
84 665
Revenue / employee
2.3M MXN
Next earnings
January 25, 2027 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
174.25 MXN
52-week low
113.10 MXN
1-year performance
27.03%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
46.37%
Rising
Drawdown
-0.87%
Near its high
Position in the 52-week range
98% of range
Range: 87.72 MXN - 105.83 MXN (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 23.83% per year; the company grows at 9.19%.
Gross margin 22.8%, net margin 5.0%, ROIC 5.6%, ROE 7.0%.
Net margin
5.05%
Low
Sector 7.68%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
22.78%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
6.97%
Fair
Sector 9.01%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
5.62%
Fair
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
2.38%
Low
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.47x
Low
Margin stability
2.0 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
3.5/10Revenue up 4.6% over 1 year, 15.1% a year over 5, EPS 9.2% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
195Md MXN
Revenue growth (1y)
4.60%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
5.56%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
-39.27%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
9.19%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
-40.03%
Sharply revised down
Valuation
0.9/10P/E 38.5x, forward P/E 41.0x, EV/EBITDA 18.1x, PEG 4.19. The multiple sits in the 100th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
38.5x
Very expensive
Sector 12.3x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E (adjusted)
41.0x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
18.1x
Expensive
Sector 9.9x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
4.19
Very expensive
Sector 0.39|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
96.77 MXN
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 1% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
385Md MXN
Financial strength
8.3/10Cash covers 47.2% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.8x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
17.01%
Very solid
Cash
24.5Md MXN
Cash / market cap
6.35%
Tight
Cash / total debt
47.18%
Solid
Interest coverage
4.9x
Tight
Net debt
27.4Md MXN
Equity
161Md MXN
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 166.91 MXN
- MM20163.16
- MM50148.40
- MM200137.88
- RSI 1460.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+3.35%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+5.38%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+6.44%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.95 % per day
Volatility change
+36.79%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | — | 4.75 (1) | 208 973 (1) | 27 946 (1) | 9 444 (1) |
| 2027 | — | 5.81 (1) | 221 792 (2) | 33 123 (2) | 10 559 (1) |
Amounts in millions of MXN, EPS in MXN per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 27, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 118 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A402340 | 7.1 | 7.3 | 74.3Md USD | 3.5x | 2665.9 % | -7.6 % | 85.5 % | — | — | 148.9 % | ||
| 2 | 6501 | 6.8 | 6.4 | 138Md USD | 30.0x | 6.5 % | 14.8 % | 10.6 % | -0.2x | 6.0 % | -3.0 % | ||
| 3 | SIE | 6.3 | 6.1 | 229Md USD | 27.4x | 9.7 % | 7.3 % | 7.3 % | 3.3x | 5.0 % | 11.5 % | ||
| 4 | 1 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 35.1Md USD | 7.0x | 13.6 % | -0.5 % | 4.5 % | 2.9x | 17.2 % | 29.2 % | ||
| 5 | 267 | 5.5 | 5.9 | 47.8Md USD | 5.5x | 7.6 % | 3.0 % | — | — | — | 0.4 % | ||
| 6 | MMM | 5.4 | 5.0 | 97.6Md USD | 28.2x | 14.0 % | 1.0 % | 20.8 % | 1.2x | 2.7 % | 12.6 % | ||
| 7 | IHC | 5.4 | 6.0 | 191Md USD | 21.0x | 23.9 % | 30.8 % | 12.7 % | -3.1x | 1.6 % | -20.8 % | ||
| 8 | HON | 5.1 | 4.6 | 72.2Md USD | 9.7x | 22.6 % | 1.3 % | 18.7 % | 2.6x | 2.1 % | 10.5 % | ||
| 9 | GCARSO A1 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 20.7Md USD | 38.5x | 5.0 % | 4.6 % | 5.6 % | 0.8x | 1.2 % | 27.0 % |
