Overall verdict
Neutral
3.9/10
1-year performance
-10.08%
Score breakdown
Down 10.1% over 1 year, 13% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Shareholder return 8.2/10. Weakest: Profitability 0.0/10.
20 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and Lincoln luxury vehicles in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, and Ford Credit segments. The company sells Ford and Lincoln internal combustion engine and hybrid vehicles, electric vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital services for retail customers; develops EV and digital vehicle technologies, and software; and provides telematics and EV charging solutions.
It also sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, and accessories through distributors and dealers, as well as through dealerships to commercial fleet customers, daily rental car companies, and governments. In addition, it engages in vehicle-related financing and leasing activities to and through automotive dealers. Further, the company provides retail installment sale contracts for new and used vehicles; and direct financing leases for new vehicles to retail and commercial customers, such as leasing companies, government entities, daily rental companies, and fleet customers.
Additionally, it offers wholesale loans to dealers to finance the purchase of vehicle inventory; and loans to dealers to finance working capital and enhance dealership facilities, purchase dealership real estate, and other dealer vehicle programs. Ford Motor Company was incorporated in 1903 and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Automobiles
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
James Farley
Founded
1903
Employees
169 000
Revenue / employee
1.1M USD
Next earnings
February 5, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.01%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.71%
- FMR LLC0.54%
- Rest of the register95.74%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
17.78 USD
52-week low
11.11 USD
1-year performance
-10.08%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-9.26%
Declining
Drawdown
-32.73%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
13% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 3.3 times harder.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Ford Motor | $13,000 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.3 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-92 % between April 2001 and January 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $768. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 153 months.
Ford Motor earned less than the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Ford Motor: $13,000
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 14.39 USD - 19.70 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -5.19% per year; the company grows at 8.05%.
Gross margin 8.1%, the company loses 4.2% of its revenue, ROIC -5.2%, ROE -18.5%.
Net margin
-4.17%
Negative
Sector 1.90%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
8.06%
Low
Return on equity (ROE)
-18.49%
Negative
Sector 3.80%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
-5.16%
Negative
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
2.75%
Low
Margin stability
4.8 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
1.1/10Revenue down 2.0% over 1 year, 8.1% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
187Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
-1.99%
Declining
Revenue growth (3y)
18.48%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
-16.84%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
1.04%
Revised up
Valuation
6.4/10The company loses money, so no valuation multiple can be read: a negative P/E is not a discount.
P/E (TTM)
—
N/A (loss)
Sector 13.5x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
12.3x
Cheap
EV / EBITDA
20.2x
Very expensive
Sector 7.7x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
—
Sector 0.49|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
16.57 USD
Undervalued
Market cap
47.8Md USD
Financial strength
0.7/10Cash covers 20.6% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 14.9x.
Net debt / EBITDA
14.9x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
355.32%
Stretched
Cash
34.1Md USD
Cash / market cap
71.42%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
20.62%
Tight
Interest coverage
-5.0x
Stretched
Net debt
131Md USD
Equity
37.0Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 12.28 USD
- MM2012.19
- MM5012.69
- MM20013.30
- RSI 1448.3
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-1.13%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-0.89%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-5.82%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.84 % per day
Volatility change
-21.44%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.97 (5) | 1.89 (19) | 177 170 (9) | 14 634 (10) | 4 137 (4) |
| 2027 | 1.86 (6) | 1.87 (19) | 180 734 (9) | 15 108 (10) | 7 575 (5) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 72 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1211 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 95.8Md USD | 17.1x | 3.9 % | 20.9 % | 9.5 % | 0.3x | -8.6 % | -18.6 % | ||
| 2 | RACE | 6.6 | 5.9 | 90.7Md USD | 39.4x | 22.5 % | 7.4 % | 28.5 % | 0.5x | 2.6 % | 5.3 % | ||
| 3 | A005380 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 47.1Md USD | 8.2x | 4.2 % | -3.4 % | — | 8.9x | — | -1.5 % | ||
| 4 | 7203 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 253Md USD | 9.9x | 8.1 % | 8.6 % | 6.9 % | 5.0x | -2.0 % | 7.7 % | ||
| 5 | GM | 5.7 | 6.0 | 75.0Md USD | 20.4x | 2.1 % | 2.9 % | 2.5 % | 6.8x | 2.2 % | 25.0 % | ||
| 6 | 7267 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 45.1Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -0.9 % | 12.9 % | -1.1 % | 7.1x | 2.8 % | 17.4 % | ||
| 7 | P911 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 46.3Md USD | 19.1x | 6.3 % | -7.5 % | 7.3 % | 0.6x | 2.1 % | -2.5 % | ||
| 8 | TSLA | 4.4 | 4.0 | 1.5T USD | 429.9x | 3.1 % | -0.2 % | 3.3 % | -2.7x | 0.2 % | -11.1 % | ||
| 9 | F | 3.9 | 3.1 | 47.8Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -4.2 % | -2.0 % | -5.2 % | 14.9x | 10.8 % | -10.1 % |
