Overall verdict
Neutral
5.3/10
1-year performance
+23.30%
Score breakdown
Up 23.3% over 1 year, 56% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Shareholder return 7.5/10. Weakest: Profitability 2.8/10.
32 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Diamondback Energy, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, acquires, develops, explores, and exploits unconventional, onshore oil and natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas, the United States. The company primarily focuses on the development of the Spraberry and Wolfcamp formations of the Midland Basin; and the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware Basin, both of which are part of the Permian Basin in West Texas and New Mexico. Diamondback Energy, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
Sector
Energy
Industry
Oil, Gas and Consumable Fuels
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Matthew Van’t Hof
Founded
2007
Employees
1 762
Revenue / employee
8.5M USD
Next earnings
February 12, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.14%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp1.63%
- FMR LLC1.22%
- Rest of the register95.01%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
216.90 USD
52-week low
139.41 USD
1-year performance
23.30%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
20.77%
Rising
Drawdown
-15.87%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
56% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 14 years, from October 2012 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 3.5 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
$10,000 placed at the end of October 2012 are worth today
| Diamondback Energy | $163,792 |
| World ETF | $48,180 |
| S&P 500 | $67,969 |
| Risk-free placement | $12,839 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.5 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-89Â % between October 2018 and March 2020. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $1,128. The world ETF, at worst: -34Â %. Back to its high in 23 months.
Diamondback Energy earned 3 times as much as the world ETF since 2012
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of October 2012, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Diamondback Energy: $163,792
- World ETF: $48,180
- S&P 500: $67,969
- Risk-free placement: $12,839
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 229.42 USD - 269.00 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -7.43% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 41.0%, net margin 10.9%, ROIC 3.9%, ROE 5.2%.
Net margin
10.94%
Fair
Sector 15.43%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
40.96%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
5.21%
Low
Sector 11.74%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
3.85%
Low
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
34.72%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
3.17x
Exceptional
Margin stability
59.5 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.4/10Revenue up 38.4% over 1 year, 39.8% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
18.6Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
38.40%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
55.82%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
62.18%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
14.04%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
6.3/10P/E 24.8x, forward P/E 9.5x, EV/EBITDA 8.1x, PEG 0.40. The multiple sits in the 88th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
24.8x
Very expensive
Sector 12.3x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
9.5x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
8.1x
Expensive
Sector 4.4x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.40
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.13|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
247.06 USD
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 12% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
50.9Md USD
Financial strength
5.1/10Cash covers 4.2% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.5x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.5x
Tight
Gearing (net debt / equity)
28.07%
Very solid
Cash
560M USD
Cash / market cap
1.10%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
4.23%
Stretched
Interest coverage
57.2x
Very solid
Net debt
12.7Md USD
Equity
45.1Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 178.08 USD
- MM20196.63
- MM50194.87
- MM200190.78
- RSI 1433.1
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+2.67%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+8.54%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-0.79%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.48 % per day
Volatility change
+14.70%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19.25 (11) | 23.06 (26) | 19 817 (9) | 14 249 (25) | 5 374 (16) |
| 2027 | 21.66 (17) | 21.54 (29) | 18 851 (10) | 13 532 (26) | 5 979 (17) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 145 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 883 | 6.6 | 7.7 | 142Md USD | 7.0x | 32.8 % | -3.9 % | 15.5 % | -0.7x | 13.5 % | 0.8 % | ||
| 2 | EOG | 6.5 | 7.5 | 79.7Md USD | 9.9x | 28.1 % | 43.1 % | 20.7 % | 0.5x | 9.3 % | 43.3 % | ||
| 3 | COP | 6.4 | 7.0 | 163Md USD | 14.5x | 17.0 % | 30.4 % | 13.1 % | 0.7x | 6.8 % | 54.7 % | ||
| 4 | CNQ | 6.3 | 7.2 | 98.9Md USD | 10.3x | 29.5 % | 34.4 % | 23.1 % | 1.1x | 9.3 % | 55.1 % | ||
| 5 | EQT | 5.9 | 5.4 | 33.0Md USD | 12.5x | 28.5 % | -8.4 % | 8.6 % | 1.4x | 11.6 % | -11.3 % | ||
| 6 | FANG | 5.3 | 5.2 | 50.9Md USD | 24.8x | 10.9 % | 38.4 % | 3.9 % | 1.5x | 12.7 % | 23.3 % | ||
| 7 | WDS | 5.3 | 4.7 | 40.0Md USD | 13.1x | 22.2 % | -5.2 % | 6.2 % | 0.9x | -1.0 % | 15.6 % | ||
| 8 | VG | 5.0 | 5.4 | 31.7Md USD | 6.0x | 31.6 % | 42.9 % | 12.2 % | 5.5x | -23.7 % | 50.5 % | ||
| 9 | DVN | 4.7 | 4.2 | 51.2Md USD | 11.2x | 15.4 % | 82.9 % | 9.6 % | 1.0x | 3.7 % | 31.8 % |
