Overall verdict
Neutral
5.3/10
1-year performance
+45.77%
Score breakdown
Up 45.8% over 1 year, 89% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 7.0/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 2.3/10.
25 analysts, target +0.0% vs the price.
Deere & Company manufactures and distributes various equipment worldwide. It operates through four segments: Production and Precision Agriculture, Small Agriculture and Turf, Construction and Forestry, and Financial Services. The Production and Precision Agriculture segment provides track and row crop tractors, harvesters, cotton pickers and strippers, sugarcane harvesters and loaders, soil preparation, tillage, seeding, and crop care equipment ;
and application equipment, such as sprayers and nutrient management, soil preparation machinery, and related attachments and service parts. The Small Agriculture and Turf segment offers specialty, utility, and compact tractors ; self-propelled forage harvesters and attachments ; rotary mowers, hay and forage equipment, and utility vehicles ; turf and utility equipment, including riding lawn, commercial mowing, and golf course equipment, and utility vehicles, as well as implements for mowing, tilling, snow and debris handling, aerating, residential, commercial, golf, and sports turf care applications.
The Construction and Forestry segment provides backhoe loaders, crawler dozers and loaders, loaders, excavators, motor graders, articulated dump trucks, skid-steer loaders, milling machines, recyclers, slipform and asphalt pavers, surface miners, compactors, tandem, static rollers, mobile crushers and screens, mobile and stationary asphalt plants, and log harvesters ; and road building and rehabilitation equipment.
The Financial Services segment finances sales and leases agriculture and turf, and construction and forestry equipment. It also offers wholesale financing to dealers of the foregoing equipment; and extended equipment warranties. It has a strategic partnership with Tarter USA to develop and produce flex wing rotary cutters. It also has strategic partnership with Yamaha Motor Corporation, Usa to co-develop future side-by-side vehicles. The company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in Moline, Illinois.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Machinery
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
John May
Founded
1837
Employees
73 100
Revenue / employee
624 186 USD
Next earnings
November 25, 2026 (Q4 2026)
Institutional holders
- FMR LLC3.43%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.15%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.84%
- Rest of the register93.58%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
721.22 USD
52-week low
455.90 USD
1-year performance
45.77%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
48.44%
Rising
Drawdown
-4.09%
Near its high
Position in the 52-week range
89% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Deere | $480,588 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.9 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-70 % between December 2007 and February 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $3,009. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 23 months.
Deere earned 7 times as much as the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Deere: $480,588
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 314.96 USD - 424.18 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 18.94% per year; the company grows at 16.32%.
Gross margin 36.8%, net margin 10.2%, ROIC 7.1%, ROE 18.3%.
Net margin
10.16%
Exceptional
Sector 6.91%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
36.78%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
18.33%
Exceptional
Sector 10.52%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
7.05%
Fair
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
6.73%
High
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.66x
Fair
Margin stability
4.0 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
4.1/10Revenue up 5.0% over 1 year, 5.1% a year over 5, EPS 16.3% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
48.0Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
4.96%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
-13.11%
Declining
EPS growth (1y)
7.26%
Moderate
EPS CAGR (5y)
16.32%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
-0.05%
Revised down
Valuation
2.7/10P/E 38.4x, forward P/E 38.2x, EV/EBITDA 19.0x, PEG 2.36. The multiple sits in the 100th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
38.4x
Expensive
Sector 20.5x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
38.2x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
19.0x
Expensive
Sector 10.7x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
2.36
Very expensive
Sector 0.70|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
369.57 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 1% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
187Md USD
Financial strength
3.0/10Cash covers 16.0% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 4.8x.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.8x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
192.23%
Stretched
Cash
10.3Md USD
Cash / market cap
5.51%
Tight
Cash / total debt
16.01%
Tight
Interest coverage
4.5x
Tight
Net debt
53.9Md USD
Equity
28.0Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 687.64 USD
- MM20655.46
- MM50668.89
- MM200610.34
- RSI 1460.6
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+2.87%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+10.15%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+2.33%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.44 % per day
Volatility change
-29.15%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 22.89 (22) | 22.91 (20) | 44 693 (14) | 8 978 (12) | 6 018 (18) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 10, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 23 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 6.4 | 7.3 | 1.9Md USD | 8.9x | 7.2 % | 21.4 % | 10.4 % | -3.0x | 16.1 % | 0.4 % | ||
| 2 | TTC | 6.1 | 5.8 | 10.1Md USD | 28.6x | 7.6 % | 8.3 % | 14.8 % | 1.1x | 7.0 % | 48.4 % | ||
| 3 | 6326 | 5.8 | 6.1 | 17.7Md USD | 10.6x | 8.2 % | 5.1 % | 6.9 % | 5.0x | 8.6 % | 18.1 % | ||
| 4 | ESCORTS | 5.7 | 6.3 | 2.8Md USD | 20.5x | 10.4 % | 16.2 % | 10.7 % | -4.5x | — | -32.4 % | ||
| 5 | DE | 5.3 | 4.0 | 187Md USD | 38.4x | 10.2 % | 5.0 % | 7.1 % | 4.8x | 1.7 % | 45.8 % | ||
| 6 | AGCO | 4.8 | 3.6 | 7.8Md USD | 29.2x | 2.8 % | -8.6 % | 4.1 % | 1.7x | 3.8 % | 9.0 % | ||
| 7 | CNH | 4.5 | 2.5 | 15.2Md USD | 58.4x | 1.4 % | -1.0 % | 0.8 % | 7.0x | 4.1 % | 29.8 % | ||
| 8 | ALG | 4.4 | 5.1 | 1.7Md USD | 21.8x | 4.7 % | -4.0 % | 5.6 % | -0.4x | 8.1 % | -14.5 % | ||
| 9 | HUSQ B | 4.4 | 4.3 | 1.9Md USD | 18.9x | 2.3 % | -2.1 % | 2.9 % | 2.1x | 15.9 % | -26.3 % |
