Overall verdict
Neutral
6.1/10
1-year performance
-21.42%
Score breakdown
Down 21.4% over 1 year, 9% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.0/10. Weakest: Valuation 2.9/10.
6 analysts, target +0.5% vs the price.
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd produces and sells rare earth metals in China and internationally. The company offers rare earth salts, rare earth oxides, and rare earth golds. It also provides rare earth new material products, such as rare earth magnetic, polishing, hydrogen storage, and catalytic materials ; rare earth composites ; rare earth alloys ; and rare earth end-use products comprising earth permanent magnet high-efficiency energy-saving motors, solid-state hydrogen-powered two-wheeled vehicles, etc. The company was formerly known as Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Rare-Earth (Group) Hi-Tech Co., Ltd. and changed its name to China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd in January 2015. China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Baotou, China.
Sector
Materials
Industry
Metals and Mining
Primary listing
Sse
China
CEO
Yedong Qu
Founded
1961
Employees
10 948
Revenue / employee
3.7M CNY
Next earnings
April 16, 2027 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
63.57 CNY
52-week low
33.96 CNY
1-year performance
-21.42%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-20.60%
Declining
Drawdown
-42.39%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
9% of range
Range: 17.60 CNY - 28.41 CNY (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 22.93% per year; the company grows at 19.80%.
Gross margin 16.7%, net margin 8.1%, ROIC 14.3%, ROE 16.9%.
Net margin
8.13%
Fair
Sector 10.53%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
16.73%
Low
Return on equity (ROE)
16.85%
Exceptional
Sector 11.00%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
14.32%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
3.18%
Fair
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.39x
High
Margin stability
5.1 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.8/10Revenue up 36.0% over 1 year, 14.2% a year over 5, EPS 19.8% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
53.6Md CNY
Revenue growth (1y)
35.96%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
14.47%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
124.19%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
19.80%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
—
Valuation
2.9/10P/E 30.4x, forward P/E 26.9x, EV/EBITDA 31.4x, PEG 1.53. The multiple sits in the 64th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
30.4x
Expensive
Sector 16.5x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
26.9x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
31.4x
Very expensive
Sector 8.6x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
1.53
Expensive
Sector 0.55|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
23.00 CNY
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 36% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
132Md CNY
Financial strength
6.5/10Cash covers 70.7% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.5x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.5x
Tight
Gearing (net debt / equity)
8.26%
Very solid
Cash
7.2Md CNY
Cash / market cap
5.41%
Tight
Cash / total debt
70.74%
Very solid
Interest coverage
28.3x
Very solid
Net debt
3.0Md CNY
Equity
35.8Md CNY
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 11, 2026: 36.83 CNY
- MM2035.82
- MM5036.91
- MM20045.61
- RSI 1454.9
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-2.44%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-6.48%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-5.70%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.49 % per day
Volatility change
-42.56%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.36 (1) | 1.29 (1) | 53 553 (4) | 6 606 (4) | 4 794 (2) |
| 2027 | 1.48 (5) | 1.45 (2) | 60 330 (5) | 7 971 (4) | 5 447 (5) |
Amounts in millions of CNY, EPS in CNY per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 27, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 222 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 601899 | 8.0 | 8.6 | 109Md USD | 10.3x | 18.9 % | 3.2 % | 23.8 % | 1.0x | 10.1 % | -9.3 % | ||
| 2 | GMEXICO B | 7.6 | 8.4 | 93.5Md USD | 13.4x | 31.0 % | 27.8 % | 18.9 % | 0.0x | 6.1 % | 41.0 % | ||
| 3 | 603993 | 6.9 | 7.9 | 42.1Md USD | 9.4x | 11.2 % | 41.9 % | 33.8 % | -0.3x | 3.2 % | -16.6 % | ||
| 4 | RIO | 6.3 | 7.1 | 144Md USD | 11.5x | 19.6 % | 4.2 % | 14.5 % | 0.7x | 3.9 % | 20.1 % | ||
| 5 | 600111 | 6.1 | 5.8 | 19.8Md USD | 30.4x | 8.1 % | 36.0 % | 14.3 % | 1.5x | 1.3 % | -21.4 % | ||
| 6 | BHP | 5.8 | 6.3 | 208Md USD | 20.8x | 16.8 % | 9.6 % | 13.5 % | 0.3x | 5.6 % | 39.1 % | ||
| 7 | GLEN | 5.3 | 5.4 | 78.4Md USD | 15.4x | 1.8 % | 3.8 % | 8.1 % | 3.8x | -0.1 % | 41.9 % | ||
| 8 | 1211 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 59.0Md USD | 29.4x | 19.0 % | 16.2 % | 8.2 % | 1.5x | 1.3 % | -4.2 % | ||
| 9 | AAL | 3.7 | 2.1 | 54.7Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -6.6 % | 0.9 % | -3.9 % | 1.5x | 3.8 % | 38.0 % |
