Overall verdict
Sell
2.6/10
1-year performance
-66.89%
Score breakdown
Down 66.9% over 1 year, 1% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 7.5/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 0.0/10.
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions for national security, supply chain management, and digital identity markets. It offers supply chain and logistics solutions, such as Data Conflation at Scale, which offers a view of operations enabling real-time tracking of inventory and facilitating predictive analytics to optimize functions, including routes and delivery times ;
Discrete Event Simulation, a course of action analysis and digital twin solution ; and Next-Gen Decision Support solution for macroeconomic and geopolitical forecasting. The company also provides cybersecurity solutions, such as artificial intelligence (AI)-powered/machine-accelerated binary analysis, cyber-physical systems vulnerability testing and evaluation, vulnerability assessment as a service, and specialized services for the department of defense and intelligence community ;
and autonomous systems solutions, AI/machine learning (ML) decision intelligence solutions, and AI orchestration as a service, as well as specialized consulting services. In addition, it offers digital identity services comprising security solutions specializing in customized digital identity, biometrics, AI/ML, and advanced analytics software and solutions for global trade, travel, and digital identity industries ;
and Ask Sage Platform, a generative AI platform for secure AI deployment, orchestration, and agentic capabilities across defense, intelligence, and other highly regulated environments. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.
Sector
Information Technology
Industry
IT Services
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Kevin McAleenan
Founded
2020
Employees
579
Revenue / employee
220 504 USD
Next earnings
March 2, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.41%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.29%
- Rest of the register97.30%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
7.40 USD
52-week low
2.07 USD
1-year performance
-66.89%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-62.16%
Declining
Drawdown
-71.42%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
1% of range
Gross margin 30.2%, the company loses 126.8% of its revenue, ROIC -25.6%, ROE -27.9%.
Net margin
-126.84%
Negative
Sector 5.41%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
30.21%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
-27.90%
Negative
Sector 12.20%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
-25.59%
Negative
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
-51.19%
Negative
Margin stability
85.1 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.7/10Revenue up 31.5% over 1 year.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
142M USD
Revenue growth (1y)
31.49%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
-17.64%
Declining
EPS growth (1y)
—
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
—
Valuation
0.0/10The company loses money, so no valuation multiple can be read: a negative P/E is not a discount.
P/E (TTM)
—
N/A (loss)
Sector 21.9x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E (adjusted)
—
N/A (loss)
EV / EBITDA
—
N/A (loss)
Sector 10.2x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
—
Sector 0.78|S&P 0.91
Market cap
1.0Md USD
Financial strength
7.5/10Cash covers 1277.0% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-38.87%
Net cash
Cash
287M USD
Cash / market cap
28.24%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
1276.99%
Net cash
Interest coverage
-47.5x
Stretched
Net debt
-265M USD
Equity
682M USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 11, 2026: 2.30 USD
- MM202.33
- MM502.56
- MM2003.46
- RSI 1445.1
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-9.91%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-23.88%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-11.98%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
Yes
20-day volatility
5.71 % per day
Volatility change
+47.41%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.41 (2) | — | 156 (2) | -40 (1) | -196 (2) |
| 2027 | -0.25 (2) | — | 172 (2) | -38 (1) | -122 (2) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 28, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 217 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CTSH | 7.2 | 7.8 | 28.8Md USD | 11.7x | 11.8 % | 4.6 % | 15.8 % | -0.2x | 8.2 % | -11.6 % | ||
| 2 | ACN | 6.8 | 7.0 | 150Md USD | 18.7x | 11.3 % | 6.2 % | 20.3 % | 0.0x | 7.8 % | 3.6 % | ||
| 3 | 6701 | 6.7 | 6.4 | 37.4Md USD | 19.0x | 8.3 % | 9.4 % | 12.4 % | -0.3x | 3.0 % | -21.8 % | ||
| 4 | TCS | 6.5 | 6.9 | 95.3Md USD | 17.1x | 18.2 % | 11.2 % | 42.2 % | -0.5x | 5.5 % | -20.4 % | ||
| 5 | 6702 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 37.3Md USD | 23.0x | 7.6 % | 3.7 % | 12.9 % | -0.6x | 2.9 % | -17.0 % | ||
| 6 | INFY | 6.2 | 7.0 | 49.9Md USD | 15.1x | 16.2 % | 10.7 % | 28.8 % | -0.7x | 7.2 % | -25.7 % | ||
| 7 | HCLTECH | 6.1 | 6.2 | 40.7Md USD | 20.3x | 13.3 % | 11.5 % | 23.9 % | -0.9x | — | -12.4 % | ||
| 8 | IBM | 5.8 | 6.2 | 235Md USD | 21.2x | 16.0 % | 4.7 % | 12.4 % | 2.6x | 6.2 % | -19.7 % | ||
| 9 | BBAI | 2.6 | 2.5 | 1.0Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -126.8 % | 31.5 % | -25.6 % | 0.3x | -7.1 % | -66.9 % |
