Overall verdict
Neutral
6.0/10
1-year performance
+22.79%
Score breakdown
Up 22.8% over 1 year, 83% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 10.0/10. Weakest: Growth 3.2/10.
12 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
Banca Mediolanum S.p.A. engages in the provision of various banking products and services in Italy. It offers current accounts; deposits products; and mortgage and personal loans. The company also provides credit cards, debit cards, and prepaid cards ; investment products, such as mutual funds, unit linked policies, investment strategies, trading services, asset management services, social security, and bond issues and certificates ;
and insurance policies, including health and personal, life, serious illness, and autonomy protection, as well as protection assistance, and home and family protection. In addition, it offers SelfyCare Pet for reimbursement of veterinary expenses; SelfyCare Travel for assistance and coverage for risks arising during trips; and SelfyCare LifeProject for a specific life project. Banca Mediolanum S.p.A. founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Basiglio, Italy.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Financial Services
Primary listing
Mil
Italy
CEO
Massimo Doris
Founded
1982
Employees
4 042
Revenue / employee
1.0M EUR
Next earnings
February 3, 2027 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
24.81 EUR
52-week low
15.99 EUR
1-year performance
22.79%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
19.83%
Rising
Drawdown
-5.97%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
83% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 11 years, from December 2015 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 2.3 times harder.
10 000 € placed at the end of December 2015 are worth today
| Banca Mediolanum | 30 602 € |
| World ETF | 34 213 € |
| STOXX Europe 600 | 23 780 € |
| Risk-free placement | 10 962 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.3 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-56 % between November 2019 and March 2020. 10 000 € placed at the top fell to 4 383 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 18 months.
Banca Mediolanum earned less than the world ETF since 2015
Value of 10 000 € placed at the end of December 2015, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Banca Mediolanum: 30 602 €
- World ETF: 34 213 €
- STOXX Europe 600: 23 780 €
- Risk-free placement: 10 962 €
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 23.20 EUR - 28.00 EUR (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -20.10% per year; the company grows at 23.07%.
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Net margin 36.8%, ROE 30.1%.
Net margin
36.75%
Exceptional
Sector 10.40%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
—
Return on equity (ROE)
30.06%
Exceptional
Sector 13.30%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
26.99%
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
118.22%
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
3.22x
Margin stability
5.0 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
3.2/10Revenue up 57.8% over 1 year, 2.5% a year over 5, EPS 23.1% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
3.2Md EUR
Revenue growth (1y)
57.80%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
-16.54%
Declining
EPS growth (1y)
10.98%
Moderate
EPS CAGR (5y)
23.07%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
3.40%
Revised up
Valuation
4.0/10P/E 13.1x, forward P/E 13.7x, PEG 0.57. The multiple sits in the 95th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
13.1x
Fair
Sector 13.8x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
13.7x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
—
Sector 17.2x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
0.57
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.67|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
25.50 EUR
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 5% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
17.3Md EUR
Not scored for a bank or an insurer: its solidity is measured by regulatory capital ratios, which we do not collect.
Net debt / EBITDA
—
Gearing (net debt / equity)
109.17%
Cash
53.9Md EUR
Cash / market cap
311.99%
Cash / total debt
1069.23%
Net debt
4.9Md EUR
Equity
4.5Md EUR
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 11, 2026: 23.44 EUR
- MM2022.89
- MM5023.14
- MM20020.96
- RSI 1454.2
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+1.64%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+7.13%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-2.15%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.71 % per day
Volatility change
+33.01%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.70 (2) | 1.62 (4) | 2 544 (2) | 1 573 (4) | 1 185 (9) |
| 2027 | 1.62 (11) | 1.59 (8) | 2 611 (8) | 1 681 (4) | 1 191 (9) |
Amounts in millions of EUR, EPS in EUR per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 27 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CRBG | 7.7 | 7.4 | 15.8Md USD | 7.7x | 11.0 % | 21.5 % | — | — | — | 20.0 % | ||
| 2 | 8591 | 6.3 | 8.3 | 34.0Md USD | 5.8x | 27.4 % | 2.1 % | 9.0 % | 4.5x | — | 38.7 % | ||
| 3 | 2885 | 6.1 | 5.6 | 29.1Md USD | 17.8x | 21.6 % | 566.8 % | 10.8 % | — | 17.6 % | 114.0 % | ||
| 4 | BMED | 6.0 | 6.0 | 19.2Md USD | 13.1x | 36.8 % | 57.8 % | — | — | — | 22.8 % | ||
| 5 | APO | 5.4 | 3.8 | 72.6Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -3.3 % | -50.3 % | -3.1 % | -0.2x | 11.6 % | -6.1 % | ||
| 6 | BAJAJFINSV | 5.3 | 3.7 | 31.3Md USD | 28.4x | 6.4 % | 17.8 % | — | — | — | -5.8 % | ||
| 7 | PST | 5.3 | 4.6 | 44.8Md USD | 13.8x | 10.4 % | 37.1 % | 12.0 % | 14.7x | 4.9 % | 21.3 % | ||
| 8 | FSR | 5.2 | 4.7 | 32.8Md USD | 15.2x | 26.1 % | 1.5 % | — | — | — | 19.4 % | ||
| 9 | JIOFIN | 2.8 | 2.8 | 16.2Md USD | 87.6x | 30.4 % | 69.5 % | 1.1 % | 7.5x | — | -24.1 % |
