Overall verdict
Sell
3.2/10
1-year performance
-12.59%
Score breakdown
Down 12.6% over 1 year, 5% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Valuation 3.6/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 0.4/10.
8 analysts, target -0.1% vs the price.
Avis Budget Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides car and truck rentals, car sharing, and ancillary products and services to businesses and consumers in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Asia, and Australasia. The company operates the Avis brand, which offers vehicle rental and other mobility solutions to the commercial and leisure segments of the travel industry and the Zipcar brand, a car sharing network that offers vehicle rental and other mobility solutions comprising budget car rental and budget truck.
It also operates various other car rental brands, such as Payless, Apex, Maggiore, Morini Rent, FranceCars, AmicoBlu, Turiscar, and ACL Hire and McNicoll vehicle Hire. The company was formerly known as Cendant Corporation and changed its name to Avis Budget Group, Inc. in September 2006. Avis Budget Group, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is based in Parsippany, New Jersey.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Ground Transportation
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Mr. Brian J. Choi
Founded
1946
Employees
25 000
Revenue / employee
466 080 USD
Next earnings
February 11, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.00%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.27%
- FMR LLC0.26%
- Rest of the register98.46%
3 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
847.70 USD
52-week low
85.96 USD
1-year performance
-12.59%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-1.77%
Declining
Drawdown
-85.09%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
5% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 26 years, from December 2000 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, but once risk is counted it did about as well as the ETF.
$10,000 placed at the end of December 2000 are worth today
| Avis Budget Group | $11,220 |
| World ETF | $65,117 |
| S&P 500 | $91,204 |
| Risk-free placement | $15,894 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 5.3 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-100 % between June 2004 and February 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $16. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 153 months.
Avis Budget Group earned less than the world ETF since 2000
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of December 2000, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Avis Budget Group: $11,220
- World ETF: $65,117
- S&P 500: $91,204
- Risk-free placement: $15,894
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Gross margin 24.2%, the company loses 7.0% of its revenue, ROIC -3.3%, ROE 29.0%.
Net margin
-6.98%
Negative
Sector 4.68%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
24.22%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
28.95%
Exceptional
Sector 9.02%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
-3.28%
Negative
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
-94.87%
Negative
Margin stability
11.5 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
3.4/10Revenue down 2.4% over 1 year, 16.6% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
11.6Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
-2.36%
Declining
Revenue growth (3y)
-2.85%
Declining
EPS growth (1y)
-49.17%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
222.94%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
3.6/10The company loses money, so no valuation multiple can be read: a negative P/E is not a discount.
P/E (TTM)
—
N/A (loss)
Sector 13.3x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
47.8x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
1.5x
Cheap
Sector 5.6x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
—
Sector 0.63|S&P 0.91
Market cap
4.5Md USD
Financial strength
0.5/10Cash covers 2.0% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 5.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
5.3x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
—
Cash
564M USD
Cash / market cap
12.63%
Solid
Cash / total debt
2.00%
Stretched
Interest coverage
0.9x
Stretched
Net debt
27.7Md USD
Equity
-3.0Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 124.08 USD
- MM20108.96
- MM50113.50
- MM200153.50
- RSI 1463.9
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-1.20%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-2.66%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-10.67%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
Yes
20-day volatility
3.69 % per day
Volatility change
-2.13%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.65 (5) | 2.23 (3) | 11 662 (5) | 835 (6) | 94 (5) |
| 2027 | 5.77 (5) | 4.02 (4) | 11 824 (7) | 906 (7) | 205 (5) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 5, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 35 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RENT3 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 5.7Md USD | 7.7x | 9.0 % | 14.4 % | 6.4 % | 2.5x | 2.4 % | -29.0 % | ||
| 2 | C52 | 6.7 | 7.3 | 2.2Md USD | 13.3x | 4.0 % | 13.0 % | 5.4 % | 1.1x | 4.7 % | -12.2 % | ||
| 3 | UBER | 6.1 | 6.4 | 144Md USD | 41.9x | 6.1 % | 9.6 % | 8.1 % | 0.6x | 7.2 % | -24.5 % | ||
| 4 | GRAB | 5.9 | 6.5 | 13.5Md USD | 24.5x | 14.8 % | 27.4 % | 8.4 % | -12.5x | 1.2 % | -44.6 % | ||
| 5 | SIX2 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 3.6Md USD | 11.4x | 6.8 % | 9.9 % | 5.9 % | 5.0x | 1.1 % | -0.3 % | ||
| 6 | LYFT | 5.5 | 5.5 | 6.5Md USD | 2.5x | 40.7 % | 8.1 % | 94.7 % | 225.1x | 17.3 % | -27.1 % | ||
| 7 | AYV | 4.6 | 3.9 | 8.6Md USD | 7.8x | 4.1 % | -0.1 % | 2.6 % | 4.1x | -92.9 % | -9.3 % | ||
| 8 | DIDI.Y | 4.5 | 2.6 | 15.0Md USD | 149.8x | 0.3 % | 17.8 % | 0.8 % | 11.3x | — | -39.2 % | ||
| 9 | CAR | 3.2 | 2.7 | 4.5Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -7.0 % | -2.4 % | -3.3 % | 5.3x | -246.9 % | -12.6 % |
