Overall verdict
Neutral
5.1/10
1-year performance
-41.20%
Score breakdown
Down 41.2% over 1 year, 3% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 9.0/10. Weakest: Growth 0.8/10.
41 analysts, target +0.9% vs the price.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through the Alibaba China E-Commerce Group, Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group, Cloud Intelligence Group, and All Others segments. The Alibaba China E-commerce Group segment operates Taobao and Tmall, which are digital retail platforms; Taobao Instant Commerce, a local services and on-demand delivery platform; 1688.com, a domestic wholesale marketplace; and Xianyu, a consumer-to-consumer community and marketplace for idle goods.
Its Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group segment includes AliExpress, a global e-commerce platform ; Trendyol, an e-commerce platform in Turkey ; Lazada, an e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia ; Daraz, an e-commerce platform in South Asia, primarily in Pakistan and Bangladesh ; and Alibaba.com, an integrated international online wholesale marketplace. The Cloud Intelligence Group segment offers a suite of cloud services based on infrastructure-as-a-service, platform-as-a-service, and model-as-a-service.
Its All Others segment comprises Amap, a provider of mobile digital maps, navigation, and real-time traffic information in China ; Cainiao, which provides logistics solutions ; Youku, an online long-form video platform in China ; Freshippo, a retail platform for groceries and fresh goods ; and Alibaba Health, a pharmaceutical and healthcare services platform. Alibaba Group Holding Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, China.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Broadline Retail
Primary listing
Nyse
China
CEO
Mr. Yongming Wu
Founded
1999
Employees
131 462
Revenue / employee
7.8M CNY
Next earnings
November 18, 2026
Institutional holders
- FMR LLC0.14%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.01%
- Rest of the register99.84%
2 13F filings as of September 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
181.10 USD
52-week low
91.99 USD
1-year performance
-41.20%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-37.98%
Declining
Drawdown
-47.74%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
3% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 12 years, from September 2014 to October 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 3.2 times harder.
$10,000 placed at the end of September 2014 are worth today
| Alibaba Group | $11,715 |
| World ETF | $34,635 |
| S&P 500 | $46,809 |
| Risk-free placement | $12,826 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.2 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-80 % between October 2020 and October 2022. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $1,991. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. The share has not returned to its high yet.
Alibaba Group earned less than the world ETF since 2014
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of September 2014, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Alibaba Group: $11,715
- World ETF: $34,635
- S&P 500: $46,809
- Risk-free placement: $12,826
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 95.72 USD - 106.40 USD (2 methods agree)
Gross margin 37.7%, net margin 7.0%, ROIC 5.8%, ROE 7.1%.
Net margin
7.00%
Exceptional
Sector 3.95%|S&P 13.40%
Gross margin
37.70%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
7.07%
Fair
Sector 8.33%|S&P 17.06%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
5.82%
Fair
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
-7.51%
Negative
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
-1.07x
Low
Margin stability
8.3 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
0.8/10Revenue up 15.4% over 1 year, 6.4% a year over 5, EPS -5.1% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
1.1T CNY
Revenue growth (1y)
15.40%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
13.71%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
-17.92%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
-5.14%
Declining
EPS revisions (3 months)
-0.04%
Revised down
Valuation
5.6/10P/E 21.0x, forward P/E 18.4x, EV/EBITDA 17.7x. The multiple sits in the 15th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
21.0x
Fair
Sector 21.2x|S&P 23.6x
Forward P/E
18.4x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
17.7x
Expensive
Sector 11.7x|S&P 15.5x
PEG
—
Sector 0.54|S&P 0.91
Fair value (reverse DCF)
98.65 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 15% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
1.7T CNY
Financial strength
9.0/10Cash covers 160.7% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.8x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.8x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-14.52%
Net cash
Cash
448Md CNY
Cash / market cap
26.30%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
160.69%
Net cash
Interest coverage
5.1x
Solid
Net debt
-169Md CNY
Equity
1.2T CNY
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on November 10, 2026: 102.72 USD
- MM20104.31
- MM50107.80
- MM200123.96
- RSI 1444.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-4.45%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-11.14%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-7.12%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.22 % per day
Volatility change
-11.29%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 34.40 (20) | 44.25 (30) | 1 120 194 (44) | 166 766 (25) | 85 306 (27) |
Amounts in millions of CNY, EPS in CNY per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of November 9, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 118 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE | 6.8 | 7.2 | 46.5Md USD | 26.3x | 5.8 % | 43.4 % | 13.0 % | -4.2x | — | -53.5 % | ||
| 2 | PDD | 6.7 | 7.3 | 113Md USD | 8.8x | 20.7 % | 14.8 % | 22.8 % | -5.3x | — | -42.5 % | ||
| 3 | EBAY | 6.2 | 5.8 | 53.9Md USD | 26.8x | 16.8 % | 12.8 % | 21.0 % | 1.4x | 4.8 % | 43.9 % | ||
| 4 | PRX | 6.1 | 6.6 | 82.8Md USD | 8.1x | 120.2 % | 45.7 % | 16.6 % | 2.3x | 1.8 % | -39.7 % | ||
| 5 | MELI | Uruguay | 5.9 | 5.9 | 76.7Md USD | 40.6x | 4.9 % | 45.1 % | 13.3 % | -0.3x | 11.6 % | -27.5 % | |
| 6 | AMZN | 5.8 | 5.8 | 2.9T USD | 21.5x | 16.9 % | 12.1 % | 19.4 % | 0.3x | -1.6 % | 7.1 % | ||
| 7 | BABA | 5.1 | 4.8 | 255Md USD | 21.0x | 7.0 % | 15.4 % | 5.8 % | -0.8x | -4.7 % | -41.2 % | ||
| 8 | DOL | 5.1 | 4.6 | 40.7Md USD | 43.8x | 17.3 % | 17.6 % | 21.0 % | 2.3x | 2.6 % | 16.5 % | ||
| 9 | WES | 4.9 | 4.4 | 62.6Md USD | 32.0x | 6.1 % | 3.4 % | 14.8 % | 2.1x | 3.4 % | -0.3 % |
