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Which company will have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

9 markets
Volume
$4.2M
24h Vol
+$37K
Liquidity
$166K
Resolution
Wed, Dec 31, 2025

Tags

TechGrokGPT-5OpenAIAIBig TechBest of 2025
View on Polymarket

Which company will have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

9 markets
Volume
$4.2M
24h Vol
+$37K
Liquidity
$166K
Resolution
Wed, Dec 31, 2025

Tags

TechGrokGPT-5OpenAIAIBig TechBest of 2025
View on Polymarket

Markets (9)

YES
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
Vol: $494K
Liq: $8K
+$5K 24h

Description

This market will resolve to the company which owns the model that has the top LiveBench “coding average” score, as based off the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Which company will have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

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Outcome
Volume
24h
Chance
OpenAI
$494K
+$5K
95.0%
Anthropic
$507K
+$7K
3.2%
Google
$420K
+$15K
0.8%
DeepSeek
$171K
+$6K
0.1%
Alibaba
$1.1M
—
0.1%
Z.ai
$1.0M
—
0.1%
xAI
$295K
+$1K
0.1%
Moonshot
$120K
+$2K
0.1%
Mistral
$87K
—
0.1%
2 pinned

Description

This market will resolve to the company which owns the model that has the top LiveBench “coding average” score, as based off the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
OpenAI
1H
-0.4%
24H
+1.1%
7D
+17.4%
30D
+85.8%
Order Book
YES
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
1H
-0.4%
24H
+1.1%
7D
+17.4%
30D
+85.8%
Order Book
NO
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
Volume
$494K
24h Vol
+$5K
Liquidity
$8K