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Which company has the third best AI model end of December?

11 markets
Volume
$220K
24h Vol
+$34K
Liquidity
$59K
Resolution
Wed, Dec 31, 2025

Tags

GrokBig TechTechOpenAIAIGemini 3
View on Polymarket

Which company has the third best AI model end of December?

11 markets
Volume
$220K
24h Vol
+$34K
Liquidity
$59K
Resolution
Wed, Dec 31, 2025

Tags

GrokBig TechTechOpenAIAIGemini 3
View on Polymarket

Markets (11)

YES
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
Vol: $49K
Liq: $3K
+$5K 24h

Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Which company has the third best AI model end of December?

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Outcome
Volume
24h
Chance
Google
$49K
+$5K
90.5%
xAI
$34K
+$4K
5.5%
Z.ai
$17K
+$2K
1.6%
Anthropic
$18K
+$2K
0.3%
DeepSeek
$12K
+$2K
0.3%
OpenAI
$19K
+$2K
0.3%
Moonshot
$12K
+$2K
0.3%
Baidu
$14K
+$2K
0.1%
Meituan
$15K
+$4K
0.1%
Alibaba
$17K
+$7K
0.1%
Mistral
$13K
+$3K
0.1%
3 pinned

Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Google
1H
—
24H
+0.5%
7D
+5.5%
30D
—
Order Book
YES
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
1H
—
24H
+0.5%
7D
+5.5%
30D
—
Order Book
NO
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
Volume
$49K
24h Vol
+$5K
Liquidity
$3K