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Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

7 markets
Volume
$871K
24h Vol
+$4K
Liquidity
$148K
Resolution
Sat, Jan 31, 2026

Tags

FedEconomyEconomic PolicyFed RatesParlaysFinance
View on Polymarket

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

7 markets
Volume
$871K
24h Vol
+$4K
Liquidity
$148K
Resolution
Sat, Jan 31, 2026

Tags

FedEconomyEconomic PolicyFed RatesParlaysFinance
View on Polymarket

Markets (7)

YES
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
Vol: $269K
Liq: $64K
+$2K 24h
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 28–29, 2025; December 9–10, 2025; and January 27–28, 2026. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm If no statement is released for the January 2026 meeting by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Loading chart...
Outcome
Volume
24h
Chance
Cut–Cut–Pause
$269K
+$2K
95.8%
Cut–Cut–Cut
$240K
+$2K
4.2%
Other
$65K
+$267
0.1%
Cut–Pause–PauseNO
$69K
—
0.0%
Pause–Cut–PauseNO
$151K
—
0.0%
Cut–Pause–CutNO
$44K
—
0.0%
Pause–Cut–CutNO
$32K
—
0.0%
2 pinned
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 28–29, 2025; December 9–10, 2025; and January 27–28, 2026. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm If no statement is released for the January 2026 meeting by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Cut–Cut–Pause
1H
—
24H
+0.1%
7D
+0.3%
30D
+20.3%
Order Book
YES
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
1H
—
24H
+0.1%
7D
+0.3%
30D
+20.3%
Order Book
NO
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
Volume
$269K
24h Vol
+$2K
Liquidity
$64K