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GPT-6 released by…?

4 markets
Volume
$214K
24h Vol
+$3K
Liquidity
$18K
Resolution
Wed, Dec 31, 2025

Tags

OpenAIGPT-5Big TechAITechsam altman
View on Polymarket

GPT-6 released by…?

4 markets
Volume
$214K
24h Vol
+$3K
Liquidity
$18K
Resolution
Wed, Dec 31, 2025

Tags

OpenAIGPT-5Big TechAITechsam altman
View on Polymarket

Markets (4)

YES
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
Vol: $16K
Liq: $11K
+$2K 24h
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

GPT-6 released by…?

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Outcome
Volume
24h
Chance
December 31, 2026
$16K
+$2K
85.5%
June 30, 2026
$26K
+$790
46.0%
March 31, 2026
$65K
+$10
14.5%
December 31, 2025NO
$108K
—
0.0%
3 pinned
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
December 31, 2026
1H
+2.0%
24H
-2.0%
7D
-3.5%
30D
-2.0%
Order Book
YES
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
1H
+2.0%
24H
-2.0%
7D
-3.5%
30D
-2.0%
Order Book
NO
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
Volume
$16K
24h Vol
+$2K
Liquidity
$11K